MKL technical analysis
MKL Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 7, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 5, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
MKL Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- MKL
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 5, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 1,878.03 | August 5, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 1,878.03 | August 5, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
MKL Technical Analysis Summary
MKL (Markel Group) is in a corrective phase as of early August 2026 after a sharp pullback from its 52-week high. On the daily chart, price at 1,878.03 is below SMA20 (1,949.28), SMA50 (1,900.60), and SMA200 (1,974.22), and RSI14 at 40.69 is below the 50 midline, indicating weakening short-term momentum. The daily MACD line at -4.66 sits below the signal line at 11.31 with a negative histogram of -15.97, confirming a bearish crossover that is still expanding. The stock fell about 6.8% over the past five sessions, and the 52-week position at 32.49% places it in the lower third of its annual range. The weekly chart is mixed: price at 1,882.34 sits just below SMA20 (1,889.47) and below SMA50 (1,969.46) but comfortably above SMA200 (1,651.97), and the weekly MACD histogram has turned positive at 13.06, hinting that downside momentum may be easing. Near-term support rests at the 20-day low of 1,856.73, then the 60-day low of 1,761.00 and the 52-week low of 1,719.41. Resistance sits at SMA20 (1,949.28), then SMA200 (1,974.22), with the 20-day high at 2,054.37 and the 52-week high at 2,207.59 above them. A hold above 1,856.73 would suggest the pullback is stabilizing; a break below it would open the path toward 1,761.00 and the 52-week low.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 5, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 1,878.03 is below SMA20 (1,949.28, -3.66%), SMA50 (1,900.60, -1.19%), and SMA200 (1,974.22, -4.87%), meaning all three major averages now sit above price after the late-July decline. SMA20 (1,949.28) remains above SMA50 (1,900.60), so the averages have not yet arranged into a clean bearish stack, but the 52-week position at 32.49% places the stock in the lower third of its annual range.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 40.69 is below the 50 midline and moving lower, showing negative momentum that is not yet oversold. The MACD line at -4.66 has crossed below the signal line at 11.31, and the histogram at -15.97 is deeply negative, indicating the bearish crossover is still expanding. Momentum has turned against the stock after the late-July breakdown.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 43.46 (2.31% of price) reflects above-average daily movement for a high-priced insurance and holding company, consistent with the sharp swings of the past two weeks. Bollinger Bands (1,855.63 to 2,042.93) are wide, and price is trading in the lower half of the band near the 20-day low, which is typical of the early phase of a sharp selloff.
- Volume
- Slightly above average. Latest volume of 71,000 is 107% of the 20-period average (66,500). Participation has picked up versus quieter summer levels, and the heaviest down days of the late-July selloff traded well above the average, so the decline has been accompanied by real volume rather than a low-participation drift.
Assessment
The daily chart has turned down after a sharp pullback. Price is below all three major SMAs, RSI has dropped below 50, and the daily MACD shows a bearish crossover with a negative histogram. The 52-week position at 32.49% reflects a stock in the lower third of its annual range after giving back a large share of its 2026 gains. The 20-day low at 1,856.73 is the immediate support to watch; a sustained break below it would point toward the 60-day low at 1,761.00 and the 52-week low at 1,719.41. First resistance is SMA20 at 1,949.28, with SMA200 at 1,974.22 above it. Until price reclaims SMA20, the path of least resistance is lower, but the selloff has not yet reached oversold readings, so a stabilization attempt near the 1,856 to 1,761 zone is plausible.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 1,882.34 sits just below SMA20 (1,889.47, -0.38%) and below SMA50 (1,969.46, -4.42%), while remaining comfortably above SMA200 (1,651.97, +13.94%). The multi-year uptrend is intact on the weekly view, but the shorter-term averages have rolled over as the stock corrected from the 52-week high near 2,207.59.
- Momentum
- Neutral with improving signs. RSI14 at 45.92 is below the 50 midline but not deeply negative. The MACD line at -9.67 has moved above the signal line at -22.73, and the histogram is positive at 13.06, indicating weekly downside momentum is easing and a bullish crossover is in place even though price remains below the key weekly averages.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 89.46 (4.75% of price) reflects wide weekly ranges for a high-priced insurance holding company, and recent weeks have seen some of the largest swings of the year. Bollinger Bands (1,764.59 to 2,014.36) are wide, with price in the lower half of the band after the selloff.
- Volume
- Above average. Weekly volume of 447,900 is 131% of the 20-week average (340,885), showing that the pullback has been accompanied by above-normal participation. The elevated volume on recent down weeks adds weight to the corrective move.
Assessment
The weekly chart shows a strong 2026 advance that has recently rolled over. Price remains above the weekly SMA200 (1,651.97), so the multi-year uptrend is intact, but it has slipped below SMA20 and SMA50, and RSI sits below 50. The positive weekly MACD histogram is the one constructive signal, suggesting the pace of the decline is slowing. Weekly support sits at the 20-week low of 1,719.41, which is also the 52-week low, with the 60-week high of 2,207.59 as the main resistance. A weekly close back above SMA20 (1,889.47) would be the first sign of stabilization, while a break below the 52-week low would put the long-term trend under pressure.
Key indicators
MKL Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 40.69 | 45.92 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -4.66 / 11.31 / -15.97 | -9.67 / -22.73 / 13.06 |
| ATR (14) | 43.46 (2.31%) | 89.46 (4.75%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 1,855.63 - 2,042.93 | 1,764.59 - 2,014.36 |
| SMA (20) | 1,949.28 | 1,889.47 |
| SMA (50) | 1,900.60 | 1,969.46 |
| SMA (200) | 1,974.22 | 1,651.97 |
Price structure
MKL Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 1,878.03 | 1,882.34 |
| 1-Period Return | -0.51% | -5.63% |
| 5-Period Return | -6.80% | -1.96% |
| 20-Period Return | -4.04% | -3.11% |
| 60-Period Return | +3.49% | -4.13% |
| 252-Period Return | -3.51% | +56.62% |
| 52-Week Low | 1,719.41 | 1,719.41 |
| 52-Week High | 2,207.59 | 2,207.59 |
| 52-Week Position | 32.49% | 33.38% |
Key levels
MKL Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 2,054.37 | 2,054.37 |
| 20-Period Low | 1,856.73 | 1,719.41 |
| 60-Period High | 2,054.37 | 2,207.59 |
| 60-Period Low | 1,761.00 | 1,719.41 |
Scenarios
MKL Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price holds above the 20-day low at 1,856.73 and reclaims SMA20 (1,949.28), then a daily close back above SMA200 (1,974.22) would signal that the pullback is over and the stock is resuming its advance toward the 20-day high at 2,054.37 and the 52-week high at 2,207.59.
Invalidation
Price breaks decisively below the 20-day low at 1,856.73 and then the 60-day low at 1,761.00, which would extend the correction.
What to watch
Daily RSI recovering above 50; MACD histogram turning less negative and the MACD line crossing back above the signal; weekly RSI climbing back above 50; volume expanding on up days; insurance underwriting results and investment portfolio performance.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price stabilizes between support at 1,856.73 (20-day low) and resistance around SMA20 at 1,949.28 and SMA200 at 1,974.22, consolidating the sharp late-July move.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 1,974.22 or below 1,761.00 with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI drifting between 35 and 50; MACD histogram narrowing toward zero; volume settling back toward the 20-day average; repeated buying interest near the 1,856 to 1,761 zone.
Bearish
Trigger
Price loses the 20-day low at 1,856.73 and breaks the 60-day low at 1,761.00, opening a path toward the 52-week low at 1,719.41. A break below the 52-week low would put the longer-term uptrend under pressure.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds SMA20 (1,949.28) and forms a higher low above 1,856.73.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 35; MACD histogram making new lows; weekly MACD rolling back over; volume expanding on down days; negative developments in insurance operations or the investment portfolio.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 5, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 5, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 7, 2026.
Related Tools
AI Chart Analyzer
Upload a TradingView chart screenshot and get instant AI-powered technical analysis. Identify patterns, support and resistance, and key levels.
Support and Resistance Calculator
Calculate key support and resistance levels for any stock. Identify potential price zones where reversals or breakouts may occur.
RSI Calculator
Calculate the Relative Strength Index for any stock. Determine overbought and oversold conditions with customizable periods.