MEDP technical analysis
MEDP Technical Analysis
Analysis date
June 17, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
June 16, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
MEDP Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- MEDP
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- June 16, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 459.92 | June 16, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 459.92 | June 16, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
MEDP Technical Analysis Summary
MEDP (Medpace Holdings) shows a mixed technical picture after a significant correction from its 52-week high of $628.92. Price at $459.92 has declined roughly 27% from that high, placing the stock in a corrective phase within a longer-term bullish structure. On the daily chart, price is trading below SMA20 ($480) and SMA50 ($490) but remains above SMA200 ($375), creating a bearish short-term vs. bullish long-term divergence. RSI14 at 42 on the daily chart reflects weak momentum leaning toward oversold territory. The daily MACD is negative with the MACD line below the signal line, confirming near-term bearish pressure. The weekly timeframe shows a clearer corrective pattern with price below SMA20 ($510) and SMA50 ($495), though SMA200 ($320) continues to slope upward, reflecting the multi-year uptrend remains intact. The stock is at the midpoint of its 52-week range (~49.5%), suggesting room for movement in either direction. A catalyst-driven move above $500 would be needed to signal trend improvement.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (June 16, 2026)
- Trend
- Corrective within a longer-term uptrend. Price at $459.92 is below SMA20 ($480, -4.2%) and SMA50 ($490, -6.1%) but well above SMA200 ($375, +22.6%). SMA20 and SMA50 are both sloping downward while SMA200 continues to rise, producing a bearish short-term vs. bullish long-term divergence. The 52-week position around 49.5% reflects a neutral positioning within the annual range.
- Momentum
- Bearish with deteriorating bias. RSI14 at 42.5 is below the 50 midline, indicating bearish momentum without reaching oversold territory. MACD line at -8.5 is below the signal line at -5.2, and the histogram at -3.3 is negative and expanding, suggesting bearish momentum is accelerating. The correction from the $628 high has been persistent and lacks a clear reversal signal.
- Volatility
- Moderate to elevated. ATR14 at $12.50 (2.7% of price) suggests average daily movement of about $12-13. Bollinger Bands have widened during the correction, with the lower band around $435 and the upper band around $525, reflecting increased volatility. Price is trading in the lower half of the bands, consistent with the downtrend.
- Volume
- Above average on down days. Latest volume of 483,000 is 133% of the 20-period average (362,000), indicating elevated participation during the sell-off. This is a bearish volume characteristic as higher volume on down moves suggests distribution. Several recent sessions show above-average volume on red candles.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a clear corrective phase. Price has broken below both SMA20 and SMA50, and the MACD is firmly bearish with an expanding negative histogram. RSI at 42.5 has room to move lower before reaching oversold levels. The stock has lost over a quarter of its value from the 52-week high, but it remains well above SMA200 ($375) on the daily and above the 52-week low ($294). The elevated volume on down days suggests institutional distribution. The stock is approaching a potential support zone around $440-$450 where the 60-day low sits. A bounce from this level with volume confirmation would be the first step toward stabilization. The current setup does not yet show a clear bottoming pattern.
Weekly (June 15, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Corrective within secular uptrend. Price at $459.92 is below SMA20 ($510) and SMA50 ($495) but significantly above SMA200 ($320). The stock has been in a structural uptrend since its 2022 lows near $160, and the current pullback from $628 represents a 27% decline within that longer-term uptrend. SMA200 continues to slope upward at a healthy angle.
- Momentum
- Bearish but approaching potential support. RSI14 at 44 on the weekly chart has declined from overbought levels above 70 seen earlier in the year. MACD line at -6.8 is below the signal line at -3.0 with a negative histogram of -3.8. The weekly MACD turned bearish about 8-10 weeks ago, consistent with the timing of the correction.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at $18.50 (4.0% of price) reflects wider weekly ranges during the correction phase. Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart show the lower band near $400 and the upper band near $620, with price in the lower half indicating the corrective phase is active.
- Volume
- Above average during the correction. Weekly volume of 2.1 million is 115% of the 20-week average, with the highest volume weeks coinciding with the sharpest down moves — a characteristic of a sell-off rather than a consolidation.
Assessment
The weekly chart confirms the stock is in a significant correction. After a powerful rally from $294 to $628 (113% gain), the stock has retraced approximately 27%. This type of correction is not unusual after such a move. The important structural support lies at SMA200 ($320), which is roughly 30% below the current price. The stock is not yet at oversold levels on the weekly RSI, suggesting the correction may have further to run in terms of time if not price. The uptrend from 2022 remains intact as long as price holds above the SMA200. The 52-week low of $294 provides a hard floor.
Key indicators
MEDP Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 42.5 | 44.0 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -8.5 / -5.2 / -3.3 | -6.8 / -3.0 / -3.8 |
| ATR (14) | $12.50 (2.7%) | $18.50 (4.0%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | $435 - $525 | $400 - $620 |
| SMA (20) | $480 | $510 |
| SMA (50) | $490 | $495 |
| SMA (200) | $375 | $320 |
Price structure
MEDP Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | $459.92 | $459.92 |
| 1-Period Return | -0.36% | -2.1% |
| 5-Period Return | -3.8% | -6.5% |
| 20-Period Return | -8.2% | -12.4% |
| 60-Period Return | -22.5% | -24.8% |
| 252-Period Return | +54.4% | +49.2% |
| 52-Week Low | $294.07 | $294.07 |
| 52-Week High | $628.92 | $628.92 |
| 52-Week Position | 49.5% | 49.5% |
Key levels
MEDP Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | $505 | $540 |
| 20-Period Low | $445 | $435 |
| 60-Period High | $580 | $629 |
| 60-Period Low | $440 | $410 |
Scenarios
MEDP Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price establishes a higher low above $445 (20-day low) and reclaims SMA20 ($480) with above-average volume, followed by a break above SMA50 ($490) to signal trend improvement.
Invalidation
Price breaks below $440 (60-day low) and fails to hold the $435-$445 support zone, extending the correction toward $410-$400.
What to watch
Daily RSI reclaiming 50; MACD histogram contracting toward zero; volume declining on down days and increasing on up days; weekly RSI holding above 40.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between $445 support and SMA20 resistance ($480-$490) as the market digests the recent sell-off and awaits the July 22 earnings report.
Invalidation
A decisive break above $500 (psychological level) or below $435 (lower Bollinger Band) on increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI fluctuating between 35 and 50; MACD histogram flattening near zero; volume declining to average levels; options implied volatility ahead of earnings.
Bearish
Trigger
Price fails to hold above $440 and breaks below the $435-$445 support cluster, accelerating toward the next major support at $400-$410.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above $460 (current price) with diminishing volume on pullbacks and establishes a higher low above $445.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 35; MACD histogram expanding further negative; weekly MACD remaining below signal line; short interest trends; analyst downgrades.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending June 16, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of June 15, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily June 16, 2026, weekly June 15, 2026 week. Generated June 17, 2026.
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