MAIR technical analysis

MAIR Technical Analysis

Analysis date

July 17, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

July 16, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

MAIR Data Verification

Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.

Symbol
MAIR
Market
NYSE
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
July 16, 2026

No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.

SourceLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)27.45July 16, 2026-Verified
Massive API (independent)27.45July 16, 2026 (previous close)0.00%Verified

Bottom line

MAIR Technical Analysis Summary

MAIR (Madison Air Solutions) shows a consolidating technical picture after its post-IPO price discovery phase. On the daily chart, price at 27.45 is trading above SMA20 (26.18) and SMA50 (25.72), suggesting short-term bullish momentum. Price remains below SMA200 (29.84), confirming the longer-term trend is still in a transitional phase. RSI14 at 56.32 on the daily chart indicates neutral bullish momentum with room for further upside. The daily MACD is positive with the MACD line above the signal line, and the histogram at 0.21 is positive — a constructive signal. The weekly timeframe shows price consolidating near the upper end of its recent range with all SMAs trending upward, though SMA200 at 28.93 remains untested. Key resistance lies at 29.50 (recent swing high) and SMA200 (29.84). Support rests at 25.18 (20-day low) and 23.50 (50-day low). A sustained move above 29.84 would signal a bullish trend shift.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (July 16, 2026)

Trend
Bullish but cautious. Price at 27.45 is above SMA20 (26.18, +4.85%) and SMA50 (25.72, +6.73%) but remains below SMA200 (29.84, -8.01%). SMA20 and SMA50 are upward-sloping while SMA200 is flat to slightly declining, reflecting the stock's transitional phase as it builds a post-IPO price base.
Momentum
Bullish with moderate bias. RSI14 at 56.32 is above the 50 midline, indicating bullish momentum without overbought conditions. MACD line at 0.45 is above the signal line at 0.24, and the histogram at 0.21 is positive — a constructive signal that suggests steady upward momentum.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 0.92 (3.35% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 3.4%. Bollinger Bands (24.48 to 29.42) show price trading in the middle to upper band range. Band width is normal, indicating no unusual volatility expansion.
Volume
Below average. Latest volume of 425,800 is 62% of the 20-period average (687,200), indicating reduced participation. The consolidation phase shows declining volume, which is typical during base-building.

Assessment

The daily chart shows a healthy consolidation pattern after the stock's initial price discovery phase. MAIR has established support above SMA50 and is testing higher levels. The bullish MACD and RSI above 50 support a constructive short-term outlook. However, the stock remains below SMA200, and volume has been declining during consolidation. A breakout above 29.50 with expanding volume would confirm the next leg higher. The 52-week position at 55% reflects the stock is in the upper half of its established range.

Weekly (July 13, 2026 week)

Trend
Neutral with improving bias. Price at 27.10 is above SMA20 (25.45) and SMA50 (24.12) but below SMA200 (28.93). The SMAs are gradually sloping upward, indicating a slowly improving trend structure from the post-IPO base.
Momentum
Bullish. RSI14 at 58.40 is above the 50 midline, reflecting increasing bullish momentum at the weekly level. MACD line at 0.62 is above the signal line at 0.38, and the histogram at 0.24 is positive, suggesting sustained upward momentum over the weekly timeframe.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 1.85 (6.82% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges for a mid-cap industrial stock. Bollinger Bands (22.85 to 30.45) are widening slightly, suggesting potential for increased directional movement.
Volume
Near average. Weekly volume of 2,145,000 is 88% of the 20-week average (2,438,000), indicating reasonable participation levels.

Assessment

The weekly chart reflects a stock in transition — building a post-IPO base and establishing a trend. SMA20 and SMA50 are sloping upward, and the MACD is positive with a rising histogram. The key challenge is SMA200 at 28.93, which represents the next major resistance. The stock has been forming higher lows since establishing support near the 22.00 level. A weekly close above SMA200 with strong volume would be a meaningful technical development. The current setup is constructive but requires a catalyst to break above resistance.

Key indicators

MAIR Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)56.3258.40
MACD (12, 26, 9)0.45 / 0.24 / 0.210.62 / 0.38 / 0.24
ATR (14)0.92 (3.35%)1.85 (6.82%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)24.48 - 29.4222.85 - 30.45
SMA (20)26.1825.45
SMA (50)25.7224.12
SMA (200)29.8428.93

Price structure

MAIR Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price27.4527.10
1-Period Return+1.10%+0.74%
5-Period Return+3.20%+5.80%
20-Period Return+8.50%+12.40%
60-Period Return+15.80%+18.20%
252-Period Return+22.40%+25.10%
52-Week Low20.1520.15
52-Week High33.4033.40
52-Week Position55.00%52.80%

Key levels

MAIR Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High29.5030.45
20-Period Low25.1824.50
60-Period High30.8033.40
60-Period Low22.4020.15

Scenarios

MAIR Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price breaks above SMA200 (29.84) on the daily chart with above-average volume and holds above the level.

Invalidation

Price falls back below SMA20 (26.18) and breaks the 20-day low at 25.18.

What to watch

Daily RSI holding above 55; MACD histogram continuing to expand; weekly RSI sustained above 55; volume increasing on break attempts above 29.50.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price oscillates between SMA20 support (26.18) and SMA200 resistance (29.84) with no clear directional bias.

Invalidation

A decisive break above 29.84 or below 25.18 with increasing volume.

What to watch

RSI staying between 45 and 60; MACD histogram fluctuating around current levels; volume remaining near average or declining.

Bearish

Trigger

Price fails to hold above SMA50 (25.72) and breaks below the 20-day low at 25.18, re-entering the lower end of the post-IPO range.

Invalidation

Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 (26.18) and establishes a higher low above 25.18.

What to watch

Daily RSI falling below 50; MACD histogram turning negative; volume increasing on down days; weekly MACD crossing back below the signal line.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP, primary) and Massive API (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 1 year (252 completed bars) ending July 16, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 2 years (104 completed bars) ending the week of July 13, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 16, 2026, weekly July 13, 2026 week. Generated July 17, 2026.