FERG technical analysis
FERG Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 14, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 13, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
FERG Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- FERG
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 13, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FMP (primary) | 221.46 | July 10, 2026 (previous close) | - | Verified |
| Massive (independent) | 221.46 | July 10, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
FERG Technical Analysis Summary
FERG is in a corrective phase after declining from its April 2026 high near $263.59 to the current $221.46, a drop of about 16%. The daily chart shows price below both the SMA20 and SMA50, indicating short-term bearish momentum. However, price remains above the SMA200 on both daily and weekly timeframes, suggesting the longer-term uptrend may still be intact. RSI near 38 on the daily is approaching oversold, which could attract mean-reversion buyers, while the weekly RSI at 42 confirms the pullback has room to run before reaching deeply oversold levels. The MACD is negative on both timeframes, confirming the corrective character. Key support rests at the SMA200 near $218 and the May swing low around $205. Resistance sits at SMA20 ($230) and SMA50 ($242). A sustained move above $242 would suggest the correction is losing steam.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 13, 2026)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 221.46 is below SMA20 (229.80) and SMA50 (242.15), confirming a short-term downtrend. The SMA20 crossed below the SMA50 in early June, a bearish signal. Price remains above SMA200 (218.35), which still carries a slight upward slope, suggesting the longer-term structure is not fully broken.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 38.25 is in bearish territory below 50, approaching oversold at 30. MACD at -3.15 with signal at -1.42 and a declining negative histogram of -1.73 indicates persistent bearish momentum. The negative MACD has been widening since mid-June.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 7.85 (3.54% of price) reflects average daily moves of about 3.5%, which is elevated compared to large-cap peers. Bollinger Bands (205.40 to 245.10) are moderately wide with price below the midline, reflecting a downtrend in progress.
- Volume
- Near average. Latest volume of 1,850,000 is approximately 95% of the 20-period average, indicating normal participation during the decline.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a clear corrective pattern with price below both short-term SMAs and momentum indicators in bearish territory. The RSI approaching oversold suggests the pace of decline may slow, but until price reclaims the SMA50 at $242 the path of least resistance remains lower. The SMA200 at $218 is the next major support level to watch.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Neutral. Price at 222.10 is above SMA200 (194.80) but below SMA20 (241.90) and SMA50 (237.30). The SMA20 crossed below the SMA50 in late June, a bearish crossover on the weekly timeframe. The SMA200 continues to slope upward, reflecting that the multi-year uptrend may still be intact.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 42.10 is in bearish territory below 50. MACD at -5.80 with signal at -2.10 and a negative histogram of -3.70 has been declining for several weeks, confirming sustained bearish momentum on the weekly scale.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 15.20 (6.84% of price) reflects normal weekly ranges for a mid-cap industrial distributor in a corrective phase.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Weekly volume of 9,100,000 is about 88% of the 20-week average, suggesting orderly selling rather than panic distribution.
Assessment
The weekly chart confirms the bearish daily view with price below both the SMA20 and SMA50. The recent bearish SMA crossover on the weekly adds weight to the corrective narrative. However, price remains well above the SMA200 and the 52-week position at 36% reflects a stock that has given back gains but is not in a new bear market. The weekly RSI at 42 has room to decline further before reaching oversold levels near 30.
Key indicators
FERG Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 38.25 | 42.10 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -3.15 / -1.42 / -1.73 | -5.80 / -2.10 / -3.70 |
| ATR (14) | 7.85 (3.54%) | 15.20 (6.84%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 205.40 - 245.10 | 195.20 - 266.80 |
| SMA (20) | 229.80 | 241.90 |
| SMA (50) | 242.15 | 237.30 |
| SMA (200) | 218.35 | 194.80 |
Price structure
FERG Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 221.46 | 222.10 |
| 1-Period Return | -1.41% | -0.85% |
| 5-Period Return | -4.10% | -3.20% |
| 20-Period Return | -8.50% | -11.40% |
| 60-Period Return | -15.80% | -12.50% |
| 252-Period Return | +8.20% | +16.40% |
| 52-Week Low | 195.30 | 195.30 |
| 52-Week High | 263.59 | 263.59 |
| 52-Week Position | 36.00% | 35.80% |
Key levels
FERG Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 245.10 | 263.59 |
| 20-Period Low | 215.20 | 215.20 |
| 60-Period High | 263.59 | 263.59 |
| 60-Period Low | 195.30 | 195.30 |
Scenarios
FERG Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price holds above the SMA200 at $218.35 and reclaims the SMA20 at $229.80 with above-average volume, followed by a sustained move above SMA50 at $242.15.
Invalidation
Price breaks below the 60-day low of $195.30 with increasing volume.
What to watch
Volume on any bounce above SMA20; RSI recovering above 50; MACD histogram narrowing.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to oscillate between the SMA200 support near $218 and the SMA20 resistance near $230 with declining volatility.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with above-average volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 30 and 50; volume remaining near or below average; MACD histogram flattening.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the SMA200 at $218 and then the 20-period low at $215.20, opening a path toward the 52-week low near $195.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA20 at $229.80 and holds above it for multiple sessions.
What to watch
Sustained closes below SMA200; increasing downside volume; RSI falling below 30; daily MACD histogram continuing to widen negatively.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from FMP (primary) and Massive (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (500 completed bars) ending July 13, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 13, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 14, 2026.
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