CRCL technical analysis
CRCL Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 7, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 6, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
CRCL Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- CRCL
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 6, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 63.28 | August 6, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 63.28 | August 6, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
CRCL Technical Analysis Summary
CRCL (Circle Internet Group) trades near the lower end of its 52-week range following a sustained decline. Price at 63.28 on the August 6, 2026 daily cutoff sits below SMA20 (63.74), SMA50 (73.75) and SMA200 (88.32), a bearish alignment, and the stock has lost roughly 52% over the past 60 trading days. RSI14 at 45.00 is below the 50 midline but above oversold levels, while the daily MACD histogram has turned positive at 0.82, suggesting the pace of the decline is easing. The weekly chart is also weak, with price at 62.61 below the weekly SMA20 (89.26) and SMA50 (95.43), and weekly RSI14 at 38.98. Key support sits at 57.84 (20-day and 60-day low) and the 52-week low at 49.90. Key resistance is at the 20-day high of 72.86, then the SMA50 at 73.75 and the SMA200 at 88.32. A sustained close above 72.86 would be the first meaningful sign of stabilization, while a break below 57.84 would extend the downtrend.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 6, 2026)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 63.28 is below SMA20 (63.74, -0.72%), SMA50 (73.75, -14.19%) and SMA200 (88.32, -28.35%). The moving averages are stacked in a bearish order with SMA20 below SMA50 below SMA200, consistent with the sustained decline since the stock listed in June 2025.
- Momentum
- Bearish but improving. RSI14 at 45.00 is below the 50 midline, indicating negative momentum without reaching oversold territory. The MACD line at -2.93 is below the signal line at -3.74, but the histogram at +0.82 has turned positive, suggesting the pace of the decline has slowed in the near term.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 5.23 (8.26% of price) reflects large daily swings, consistent with a recently public crypto-related issuer trading in a drawdown. Bollinger Bands (58.81 to 68.66) are wide, with price trading in the lower portion of the band.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Latest volume of 11,334,242 is 85.5% of the 20-day average (13,257,672), indicating moderate participation during the recent stabilization.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a stock in a clear downtrend, with price below all three major moving averages and trading near the bottom of its 52-week range. The positive MACD histogram and RSI above oversold levels suggest downside momentum may be easing after the steep decline of recent months. A close above the SMA20 at 63.74 would be the first sign of stabilization, while a break below the 57.84 support area would open the path toward the 52-week low at 49.90.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bearish to mixed. Price at 62.61 is below SMA20 (89.26, -29.86%) and SMA50 (95.43, -34.39%). The weekly SMA200 is not yet available given the limited weekly history since the June 2025 listing. The weekly moving averages are still sloping downward after the steep decline from the post-listing peak.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 38.98 is below the 50 midline and approaching oversold conditions. The MACD line at -10.87 is below the signal line at -8.01, with a negative histogram of -2.87, reflecting sustained downward momentum on the weekly timeframe.
- Volatility
- Very elevated. ATR14 at 16.93 (27.04% of price) reflects extreme weekly ranges since the post-listing period. Bollinger Bands (48.88 to 129.64) are very wide, capturing the dramatic decline from the post-listing peak.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 46,400,100 is 64.8% of the 20-week average (71,586,610), indicating reduced participation as the stock has moved lower.
Assessment
The weekly chart confirms a bearish multi-week structure, with price well below the weekly SMA20 and SMA50 and RSI14 at 38.98. The 20-week low at 58.66 and the 60-week low at 49.90 are the key downside reference points. Reclaiming the weekly SMA20 around 89.26 would require a substantial recovery and is unlikely without a fundamental catalyst; the more immediate task is defending the 58.66 to 49.90 support zone.
Key indicators
CRCL Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 45.00 | 38.98 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -2.93 / -3.74 / +0.82 | -10.87 / -8.01 / -2.87 |
| ATR (14) | 5.23 (8.26%) | 16.93 (27.04%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 58.81 - 68.66 | 48.88 - 129.64 |
| SMA (20) | 63.74 | 89.26 |
| SMA (50) | 73.75 | 95.43 |
| SMA (200) | 88.32 | N/A |
Price structure
CRCL Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 63.28 | 62.61 |
| 1-Period Return | 0.00% | +0.40% |
| 5-Period Return | -1.49% | -14.90% |
| 20-Period Return | +0.43% | -45.74% |
| 60-Period Return | -51.97% | -41.87% |
| 252-Period Return | -58.89% | N/A |
| 52-Week Low | 49.90 | 49.90 |
| 52-Week High | 189.92 | 189.92 |
| 52-Week Position | 9.56% | 9.08% |
Key levels
CRCL Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 72.86 | 140.00 |
| 20-Period Low | 57.84 | 58.66 |
| 60-Period High | 140.00 | 298.99 |
| 60-Period Low | 57.84 | 49.90 |
Scenarios
CRCL Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price reclaims and holds above the SMA20 at 63.74, then closes above the 20-day high at 72.86 on rising volume, signaling a reversal attempt of the post-listing downtrend.
Invalidation
Price falls back below the 20-day and 60-day low at 57.84.
What to watch
Daily RSI holding above 50; MACD histogram staying positive; volume expanding on up sessions; USDC circulation growth and stablecoin regulatory developments; reserve income sensitivity to interest rates.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between support at 57.84 and resistance at the 20-day high of 72.86, with the MACD histogram hovering near zero and below-average volume.
Invalidation
A decisive close above 72.86 or below 57.84 with volume confirmation.
What to watch
RSI moving between 40 and 55; Bollinger Bands beginning to contract; volume staying below the 20-day average; any stabilization in crypto market sentiment.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 57.84 support (20-day and 60-day low) and extends toward the 52-week low at 49.90.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above the SMA20 at 63.74.
What to watch
Daily RSI trending below 40; weekly RSI falling toward 30; increasing downside volume; the weekly MACD histogram turning more negative.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 6, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 6, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 7, 2026.
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