Bullish case
$75.77 to $88.61
More likely if Red Rock Resorts margins expand from Durango ramp, Las Vegas visitation remains strong, and the price breaks through resistance with volume confirmation.
Red Rock Resorts, Inc. research snapshot
RRR AI Stock Analysis
RRR AI stock analysis currently reads Red Rock Resorts as the dominant Las Vegas locals casino operator under the Station Casinos brand. The page uses a scenario framework, not a certain price prediction. At the July 12, 2026 cutoff, the quoted price was $64.21, market capitalization was about $6.74 billion, and the main decision point is whether Las Vegas population growth and new property openings (Durango) can offset margin pressure and union-related operating costs. This is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$64.21
Market cap
$6.74 billion
AI score
61 / 100
Rating
Solid locals casino operator, cyclical demand risk
Trend status
Upward trend near 52-week high with moderate momentum
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 12, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Research quality check
- information Richness
- B-level information richness. RRR has moderate coverage as a mid-cap gaming operator, with available SEC filings, sell-side research from 17 analysts, and active local news coverage in Las Vegas. Private-company-level detail on Station Casinos LLC is limited.
- bias Check
- The AI bias risk is moderate coverage leading to reasonable but incomplete analysis. Financial statement depth was limited: TTM revenue from Barchart ($2.01B) and FY2023 revenue from Wikipedia ($1.7B) differ by 8%, requiring company 10-K reconciliation before investment use.
- ai Confidence
- Medium data confidence
- investment Certainty
- Low-medium. The stock can serve as a research starting point, but position decisions require first-party filings, live chart data, fresh Las Vegas visitation and construction data, and personal risk constraints.
Quick verdict table
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Red Rock Resorts operates Station Casinos, the dominant locals casino operator in the Las Vegas Valley with 19+ properties including Palace Station, Red Rock Resort, Green Valley Ranch, and the new Durango resort opened December 2023. | Medium |
| Moat | The moat comes from local market concentration, scarce gaming-entitled land in Las Vegas, brand loyalty among local patrons, and 48% Fertitta family control providing long-term alignment. | Medium-low |
| Management | Frank Fertitta III (CEO) and Lorenzo Fertitta (Chairman) have decades of Las Vegas gaming experience and 48% economic ownership. Key concern is NLRB ruling against Station Casinos for unfair labor practices, with a Cemex bargaining order issued June 2024. | Medium |
| Financial trend | Financials show a solid locals casino operator. Revenue and EBITDA were verified from public sources, but full 10-K cross-validation of net income, cash, and debt was not completed for this page. | Source gap noted |
| Valuation | P/E of ~20.7x and EV/EBITDA of ~6.8x are reasonable for a regional casino operator with growth optionality. Safety margin depends on Las Vegas economic trends and margin trajectory. | Medium-low |
| Technical trend | Upward trend near 52-week high. The stock has rallied 14% in the past 3 months. Use live moving averages, support, resistance, momentum, volume, and invalidation levels before acting. | Medium |
| Risk level | The thesis can fail if Las Vegas visitation slows, construction costs pressure margins, union labor costs rise from NLRB ruling, the Fertitta family faces key-person risk, or a recession reduces local consumer spending at casinos. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Medium data confidence for qualitative mapping and quote math. Lower confidence for forward returns given the mid-cap gaming sector context. | Medium data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Low-medium certainty because the page gives a framework, not a personalized buy or sell instruction. RRR requires ongoing monitoring of Las Vegas market conditions, union developments, and quarterly filings. | Low-medium |
RRR AI stock forecast
RRR AI Stock Forecast Scenarios
The RRR AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $64.21 quote rather than a point target. The bullish case requires evidence from Las Vegas population growth and margin expansion; the base case assumes mixed consumer trends; the bearish case assumes union costs or recession pressures become visible.
Base case
$56.50 to $73.20
More likely if fundamentals remain mixed and the stock trades around current expectations while investors wait for the next earnings report or Las Vegas macro data.
Bearish case
$35.32 to $50.09
More likely if these risk paths appear: union costs rise from NLRB ruling, a recession reduces local gaming spend, construction costs pressure margins, or technical support breaks after the data cutoff.
RRR AI technical analysis
RRR AI Technical Analysis
RRR AI technical analysis starts from the $64.21 quote and the recent uptrend. Because this static page does not fetch request-time chart data, moving averages and live momentum should be confirmed in a charting tool before use.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $64.21 | Current quote used for this page as of the July 12, 2026 data cutoff. |
| Near support | $59.05 to $62.67 | Estimated from the current quote and recent price action. Treat as a planning zone, not a guaranteed floor. |
| Near resistance | $65.85 to $68.99 | The 52-week high of $68.99 is the key resistance. A close above this level would be a bullish signal. |
| 50-day moving average | Requires live chart confirmation | Use current chart data before acting. The page does not fetch request-time market data. |
| 200-day moving average | Requires live chart confirmation | Long-term trend confirmation should be checked against a live chart or broker data. |
| Momentum | Upward trend with moderate momentum | The stock is up 14.25% over 3 months and 12% over 52 weeks, suggesting controlled momentum. |
| Volume | Confirmation needed | Volume analysis should be checked against live data before position entry. |
| Volatility | Moderate monitoring priority | Beta of 1.35 suggests moderate sensitivity to market moves. Use position sizing accordingly. |
| Invalidation | Close below $59.05 | A decisive close below the support zone would weaken the short-term setup. |
RRR AI trading strategy
RRR AI Trading Strategy Framework
The RRR AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework. It is not personalized advice and should be paired with position sizing, stop levels, and fresh filings or Las Vegas economic data checks.
Trend-following setup
Wait for RRR to hold above near support and push through the $68.99 resistance with volume that confirms buyer demand.
A close below the support zone or a failed breakout should invalidate the setup.
Mean-reversion setup
If RRR pulls back into the support band without a thesis break, compare price action with the next earnings, Las Vegas visitor data, and industry datapoints.
Do not average down without a predefined maximum loss and a fresh review of the business risk.
Fundamental monitor
Track the evidence that matters most for Red Rock Resorts: same-store revenue trends at Station Casinos properties, Durango ramp progress, union cost developments, and Las Vegas population and employment data.
Reduce confidence when price moves are driven by headlines without matching financial evidence.
Investment research summary
Four-master Research Compression
Business essence
Red Rock Resorts owns and operates Station Casinos, the dominant locals casino operator in the Las Vegas Valley, offering gaming, dining, and entertainment to local residents.
Moat
The moat is built from local market concentration, scarce gaming-entitled land positions, brand loyalty among Las Vegas locals, and long-term ownership alignment through 48% Fertitta family control.
Munger risk inversion
The thesis can fail if Las Vegas visitation slows, union costs rise from the NLRB ruling, the Fertitta family faces key-person issues, construction costs squeeze margins, or a recession reduces local consumer gaming spend.
Management
Frank Fertitta III (CEO) and Lorenzo Fertitta (Chairman) have deep Las Vegas gaming experience and majority economic alignment. The June 2024 NLRB ruling against Station Casinos for unfair labor practices is a notable governance risk.
Industry trend
Las Vegas benefits from long-term population growth in the Southwest, but the locals casino segment is tied to local employment and housing trends, which can be cyclical.
Valuation and margin of safety
Valuation assumes steady Las Vegas demand and margin stability. Safety margin is moderate if consumer trends hold, but thin if union costs escalate or a recession emerges.
Source-backed data
RRR Data Table
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| RRR price | $64.21 | Barchart quote snapshot cross-checked with financial_rigor.py market cap verification | July 12, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $6.74 billion, verified as $64.21 x 105.03 million shares | financial_rigor.py market cap verification | July 12, 2026 |
| Exchange | NasdaqGS | Barchart and Wikipedia | July 12, 2026 |
| P/E ratio (TTM) | 20.65, verified as $64.21 / $3.11 EPS | financial_rigor.py valuation verification | July 12, 2026 |
| EPS (TTM) | $3.11 | Barchart fundamentals | July 12, 2026 |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.01 billion per Barchart vs $1.7B FY2023 per Wikipedia (8% gap, needs 10-K reconciliation) | Barchart and Wikipedia cross-validation | July 12, 2026 |
| Dividend yield (forward) | 1.62%, $1.04 annual dividend | Barchart fundamentals | July 12, 2026 |
| Financial statement depth | Public filings available, two-source statement checks still required before investment use | Research quality check | July 12, 2026 |
Frequently Asked Questions
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This RRR AI stock analysis page is an informational tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future returns. Forecast scenarios are based on available data as of July 12, 2026, may be incomplete, and can be wrong if new filings, market prices, company events, or macro conditions change.
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