monday.com Ltd. research snapshot
MNDY AI stock analysis as of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff reads monday.com Ltd. as a profitable work management SaaS platform that fell from a 52-week high near $264 to as low as $57.50 before rebounding to $89.17. The stock traded at $89.17 on August 3, 2026 at 11:20 AM EDT, up 2.32% from the $87.15 close on July 31, carrying a market capitalization near $3.83 billion. TTM revenue is approximately $1.30 billion, TTM net income is approximately $119.35 million, and TTM EPS is $2.29, with a forward P/E near 19x and a price/sales ratio near 2.9x. On July 22, 2026 the company announced a roughly 20% reduction in force, about 630 staff, to focus its restructuring on its AI Work Platform, expecting $45 million to $55 million in charges while keeping full-year 2026 results in line with or above prior guidance. Q2 2026 results are scheduled for August 10, 2026. This page is informational only and is not investment advice.
Current price
$89.17 at the August 3, 2026, 11:20 AM EDT reading, up 2.32% from the $87.15 July 31 close, within an $88.26 to $92.20 day range
Market cap
$3.83 billion, reported by StockAnalysis.com and consistent with $89.17 times 42.91 million shares outstanding
AI score
66 / 100
Rating
Recovering work platform with an AI-led restructuring, compressed valuation against per-seat SaaS disruption risk
Trend status
Rebound from the $57.50 52-week low, now above the 20, 50, and 100-day moving averages but below the 200-day near $106, with 14-day RSI near 62
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | MNDY sells a cloud-based Work Operating System that organizations use to build custom work management applications for workflows, projects, CRM, dev, and service. Revenue is recurring subscription-based with gross margins near 89%, and the company is GAAP profitable with TTM revenue near $1.30 billion. | Medium-high |
| Moat | Moderate moat from workflow embedding, a template ecosystem, and brand recognition in the work management category, with net dollar retention near 110% across all customers and 114% for customers with 10 or more users. Switching costs are meaningful but lower than deeply integrated enterprise SaaS, with competition from Microsoft, Atlassian, Asana, and ClickUp. | Medium |
| Management | Co-founders Roy Mann and Eran Zinman have built the company from startup to over $1.3 billion in TTM revenue with GAAP profitability, a clean balance sheet, and an active buyback program. The July 2026 decision to cut about 20% of headcount, roughly 630 staff, to focus on the AI Work Platform, with $45 million to $55 million in charges, is the key near-term test of execution. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | Revenue grew about 25.4% over the trailing twelve months, with FY2025 revenue near $1.23 billion up 26.75%. GAAP net income was $119.35 million TTM, free cash flow is strong, and the balance sheet holds about $1.21 billion of cash against $177.57 million of debt, with net cash near $1.03 billion. | Medium-high |
| Valuation | At $89.17, the trailing P/E is near 38x, the forward P/E is near 19x, the price/sales ratio is near 2.9x, and the price/free cash flow ratio is near 12.4x. The multiples are compressed relative to MNDY history, but the PEG ratio near 1.46 on the StockAnalysis.com basis or 0.28 on the Yahoo basis signals the market already prices in meaningful growth deceleration. | Medium |
| Technical trend | The stock rebounded from the $57.50 52-week low and now trades above the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day moving averages of about $88.44, $81.77, $79.81, and $75.05 while remaining below the 200-day moving average near $106.00. The 14-day RSI near 62 is strong but not overbought. | Medium |
| Risk level | Medium-high. Key risks include growth deceleration toward the low teens, AI agents compressing per-seat SaaS pricing faster than new agent revenue replaces it, competitive pressure from Microsoft and Atlassian, the July 2026 restructuring disrupting sales execution, Israel geopolitical exposure, short interest near 16% of shares outstanding, and a 200-day moving average near $106 overhead. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Medium-high data confidence for financial metrics, analyst consensus, and qualitative mapping. Lower confidence for forward revenue growth trajectory, AI monetization, and competitive positioning after the platform pivot. | Medium-high |
| Investment certainty | Medium. The page provides a framework and scenarios, not a personalized buy or sell instruction. Position decisions require first-party filings, live chart data, and individual risk constraints, with special attention to the August 10 Q2 2026 report. | Medium |
MNDY AI stock forecast
The MNDY AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $89.17 August 3, 2026 reading and the FY2026 adjusted EPS consensus of $4.58. The three-scenario framework produced a bearish area near $73, a base area near $110, and a bullish area near $142, using adjusted EPS growth of 2%, 8%, and 12% and exit multiples of 15x, 19x, and 22x over three years. These are scenarios, not price commitments.
$130 to $160
More likely if revenue growth re-accelerates above 20%, net dollar retention stays above 110%, the AI Work Platform and hybrid pricing drive seat and agent expansion, restructuring execution lifts margins, and the market re-rates MNDY toward a forward multiple near 22x.
$95 to $125
More likely if revenue growth decelerates toward the mid-teens, monday.com holds full-year 2026 guidance, AI monetization grows gradually, and the stock trades around an 18x to 20x forward multiple near the $109 average analyst target.
$55 to $85
More likely if growth falls below 10%, net dollar retention drops below 105%, AI agents compress per-seat pricing faster than new agent revenue replaces it, the Q2 report disappoints, or SaaS multiples compress toward 15x forward earnings.
MNDY AI technical analysis
MNDY AI technical analysis uses market data at the August 3, 2026 cutoff. The stock traded at $89.17 at 11:20 AM EDT, up 2.32% from the $87.15 July 31 close, holding above the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day moving averages of about $88.44, $81.77, $79.81, and $75.05 while trading below the 200-day moving average near $106.00. Barchart and StockAnalysis.com show 14-day RSI near 62, a 14-day ADX near 15 with the positive directional indicator above the negative one, and 14-day historical volatility near 60%.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | ~$89.17 | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote at the August 3, 2026, 11:20 AM EDT reading, up 2.32% from the $87.15 July 31 close within an $88.26 to $92.20 day range. |
| Immediate support | $79.80 to $82 | The 50-day moving average near $79.81 and the 20-day moving average near $81.77 form the first support cluster below the current price. |
| Key support | $75 | The 100-day moving average near $75.05 is the next structural support level under the rebound. |
| Major support | $57.50 | The 52-week low of $57.50 is the critical floor. A decisive break below it would end the recovery structure. |
| Near resistance | $95 to $100 | The round-number zone near $95 to $100 is the first psychological overhead level before the 200-day moving average. |
| Key resistance | $106 | The 200-day moving average near $106.00 is the main long-term trend line overhead. A close above it would turn the longer-term picture more constructive. |
| Upper resistance | $110 to $130 | The upper end of the analyst target zone, including the Wells Fargo target of $130, marks the next extended resistance band. |
| Moving averages | 5-day SMA ~$88.44, 20-day SMA ~$81.77, 50-day SMA ~$79.81, 100-day SMA ~$75.05, 200-day SMA ~$106.00 | Reported by Barchart and StockAnalysis.com on August 3, 2026. The price sits above the 5, 20, 50, and 100-day averages but below the 200-day average. |
| Momentum | 14-day RSI near 62, ADX near 15 with +DI above -DI | The 14-day RSI near 61.96 on Barchart and 61.63 on StockAnalysis.com is strong but not overbought. The 14-day ADX near 15.13 shows a weak trend, while the positive directional indicator near 31 sits above the negative one near 20, pointing to a mild bullish bias. |
| Volume and volatility | 20-day average volume near 1.47 million shares; 14-day historical volatility near 60% | Barchart reported 20-day average volume near 1.47 million shares and StockAnalysis.com near 1.47 million. The 14-day historical volatility near 60% and the 9-day near 82% reflect large swings around the restructuring and the upcoming earnings report. |
| Invalidation | A close below $79.80 or a decisive break below $57.50 | A daily close below the 50-day moving average near $79.80 would weaken the rebound, and a break of the $57.50 low would end the recovery structure and open the path toward the bearish case range. |
MNDY AI trading strategy
The MNDY AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It connects price action with the Q2 2026 report on August 10, revenue growth, net dollar retention, AI pricing adoption, restructuring execution, and the high short interest and volatility of the stock.
Watch for MNDY to hold above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages near $82 and $80 and to push through the $95 to $106 zone toward the 200-day moving average near $106 on volume that confirms the recovery. A move above the 200-day average would turn the longer-term picture more constructive.
A close back below the 50-day moving average near $79.80 or a failed move at the 200-day average near $106 should trigger a stop and review.
If MNDY pulls back toward the $75 to $82 support cluster without a fundamental break, compare the price reaction with the August 10 Q2 2026 results, full-year guidance, net dollar retention, and AI adoption data before acting.
Do not average down without a maximum loss rule because a disappointing quarter or a re-acceleration of per-seat disruption fear can take the stock back toward the $57.50 low.
Track revenue growth, net dollar retention, GAAP profitability, free cash flow, AI Work Platform adoption, hybrid pricing revenue mix, remaining performance obligations, customer counts by ARR band, restructuring execution, and competitive win-loss dynamics against Microsoft, Atlassian, and Asana.
Reduce confidence when price moves are driven by restructuring headlines without matching financial evidence, or when revenue growth falls below 10% or net dollar retention drops below 105%.
Investment research summary
monday.com sells a cloud Work Operating System that lets organizations build custom work management applications for workflows, projects, CRM, dev, and service. Customers pay recurring subscriptions because the platform becomes embedded in daily team operations, and the company is shifting to an AI Work Platform with agent-based automation and hybrid pricing.
The moat is moderate and built from workflow embedding, a template ecosystem, brand recognition in the work management category, and a broad platform covering CRM, dev, and service. Switching costs are meaningful but not as deep as core enterprise systems, and competitors include Microsoft, Atlassian, Asana, and ClickUp.
The thesis fails if AI agents compress per-seat SaaS pricing faster than new agent revenue replaces it, growth falls below 10%, larger competitors absorb the work management category, net dollar retention drops below 105%, the July 2026 restructuring disrupts sales execution, or Israel-based operations face geopolitical disruption.
Co-founders Roy Mann and Eran Zinman have built the company from startup to over $1.3 billion in TTM revenue with GAAP profitability and a clean balance sheet. The July 2026 decision to cut roughly 20% of headcount, about 630 staff, to focus on the AI Work Platform, with $45 million to $55 million in charges, is the key test of whether management can protect growth and margins during the pivot.
The work management SaaS category continues to grow, and AI is creating both a new agent-based upsell opportunity and a threat to per-seat pricing models. Horizontal platforms like Microsoft and per-seat disruption fears are the main structural questions, alongside macro pressure on enterprise software budgets.
At $89.17 with a forward P/E near 19x, a price/sales ratio near 2.9x, and about $1.03 billion of net cash, MNDY trades well below its history. The valuation implies continued growth deceleration. The margin of safety is reasonable if growth stabilizes in the mid-teens, but thinner if the AI transition disrupts the per-seat model or competition intensifies.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| MNDY price | $89.17 at the August 3, 2026, 11:20 AM EDT reading, up 2.32% from the $87.15 July 31 close, within an $88.26 to $92.20 day range | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote | August 3, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $3.83 billion, reported by StockAnalysis.com and consistent with $89.17 x 42.91 million shares outstanding | StockAnalysis.com quote and share statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 42.91 million shares outstanding, down 1.21% year over year, with a float of 31.54 million shares | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| TTM revenue and net income | TTM revenue approximately $1.30 billion, up 25.42%, and TTM net income approximately $119.35 million | StockAnalysis.com financials and statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| FY2025 results | FY2025 revenue of $1.232 billion, up 26.75% from $972 million in FY2024, with net income of $118.74 million up 266.80% | StockAnalysis.com financials | August 3, 2026 |
| Q1 FY26 revenue and earnings | Q1 FY26 revenue of $351.26 million and earnings of $28.03 million, per the Yahoo Finance earnings trends chart | Yahoo Finance earnings trends | July 31, 2026 |
| FY2026 and FY2027 consensus estimates | FY2026 revenue estimate $1.47 billion, up 19.36%, with adjusted EPS of $4.58; FY2027 revenue estimate $1.71 billion, up 16.12%, with adjusted EPS of $5.56 | StockAnalysis.com forecast financial forecast | July 30, 2026 |
| Gross margin | Gross margin near 89.05% over the trailing twelve months | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Free cash flow | TTM free cash flow near $307 million on the StockAnalysis.com statistics page and near $360 million on the StockAnalysis.com financials page, with Yahoo Finance reporting levered FCF near $248.48 million | StockAnalysis.com statistics, StockAnalysis.com financials, and Yahoo Finance | August 3, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | Cash and equivalents near $1.21 billion, total debt near $177.57 million, and net cash near $1.03 billion or about $24.12 per share | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Valuation cross-check | Trailing P/E near 38.82, forward P/E near 18.75, price/sales near 2.94, price/book near 5.52, price/free cash flow near 12.43, EV/EBITDA near 122.79, EV/sales near 2.14 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Yahoo Finance valuation basis | Market cap $3.68 billion, enterprise value $2.65 billion, trailing P/E 38.06, forward P/E 18.87, PEG ratio 0.28 (5-year expected), price/sales 3.49, EV/Revenue 2.04 as of the July 31 close | Yahoo Finance statistics | July 31, 2026 |
| Net dollar retention | NDR near 110% across all customers, 114% for customers with 10 or more users, and 116% for customers with more than $50K ARR, over the trailing twelve months | StockAnalysis.com KPIs via Fiscal.ai | July 30, 2026 |
| Customer counts | Approximately 252,000 total paying customers in FY2025, with about 65,020 customers with 10 or more users, 1,840 customers with more than $100K ARR, and 99 customers with more than $500K ARR | StockAnalysis.com KPIs via Fiscal.ai | July 30, 2026 |
| Remaining performance obligations | RPO near $716 million over the trailing twelve months | StockAnalysis.com KPIs via Fiscal.ai | July 30, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Buy with an average price target of $109.25 across 25 analysts, low $80 and high $165, median $107.50 | StockAnalysis.com forecast and analyst ratings | July 30, 2026 |
| Analyst rating mix, August 2026 | 14 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, 6 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell out of 25 analysts | StockAnalysis.com forecast recommendation trends | July 30, 2026 |
| Recent analyst target updates | Bank of America Hold $95 on July 30, BTIG Buy $105 on July 23, Needham Buy $125 on July 23, Barclays Buy $100 on July 23, TD Cowen Buy $110 on July 23, Jefferies Hold $80 on July 22, William Blair Buy on July 22, and Wells Fargo Buy $130 on July 16 | StockAnalysis.com analyst ratings | July 30, 2026 |
| Restructuring announcement | On July 22, 2026, monday.com announced a reduction in force of about 20%, roughly 630 staff, to support a leaner operating model focused on its AI Work Platform, expecting $45 million to $55 million in restructuring charges | TechCrunch and Business Insider | July 22, 2026 |
| Full-year 2026 guidance | monday.com said in a regulatory filing that it expects full-year 2026 financial results to be in line with or above its previously issued guidance as provided on its fiscal 2026 guidance update | Company filing reported by TheFly | July 22, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 earnings date | monday.com will report Q2 2026 financial results on Monday, August 10, 2026, before market open | Business Wire press release | July 20, 2026 |
| Short interest | 6.90 million shares short, about 16.08% of shares outstanding, 21.88% of float, with a short ratio of 6.84 days to cover | StockAnalysis.com statistics short selling | August 3, 2026 |
| 52-week range and performance | 52-week range $57.50 to $264.00, down 64.38% over the trailing 52 weeks, with a beta near 1.12 on StockAnalysis.com and 1.25 on Yahoo Finance | StockAnalysis.com quote and statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 5-day SMA near $88.44, 20-day SMA near $81.77, 50-day SMA near $79.81, 100-day SMA near $75.05, 200-day SMA near $106.00, 14-day RSI near 61.96, 14-day ADX near 15.13, 14-day historical volatility near 59.81% | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com technical snapshots | August 3, 2026 |
This MNDY AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, tax advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff and can be wrong if monday.com execution, the Q2 2026 report, AI monetization, growth, net dollar retention, competition, restructuring, or market valuation changes. Q2 2026 results had not been reported as of the cutoff date.
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