Lattice Semiconductor Corporation research snapshot
LSCC AI stock analysis reads Lattice Semiconductor as an improving low-power FPGA supplier whose AMI acquisition closed on July 27, 2026, and whose revenue momentum continues from AI servers, communications, and industrial systems. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, LSCC last closed at $124.27 on July 31 and market capitalization was mechanically verified near $17.62 billion using 141.75 million shares. First-quarter 2026 revenue rose 42 percent year over year to $170.9 million, and trailing-twelve-month revenue reached $574.01 million, but trailing GAAP earnings remain small relative to the share price and the stock pulled back roughly 11 percent from its early-July quote. The setup now depends on AMI integration, continued design-win conversion, and the August 4, 2026 second-quarter report. This is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$124.27 close on July 31, 2026
Market cap
About $17.62 billion by price and shares-outstanding math
AI score
57 / 100
Rating
Improving low-power FPGA business with the AMI acquisition now closed, a still-demanding valuation, and live integration risk
Trend status
Above the 200-day average but below the 50-day average after a sharp July pullback
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Lattice sells low-power programmable logic devices, software, and development tools that let customers add flexible control and connectivity functions without designing an ASIC. | High |
| Moat | The moat rests on low-power FPGA expertise, customer design-in cycles, development software, IP, and long product lifecycles. It is narrower than the scale advantages held by the largest programmable-logic competitors. | Medium-high |
| Management | CEO Ford Tamer is expanding Lattice beyond FPGA hardware toward a broader compute, communications, management, and security platform. The AMI acquisition closed on July 27, 2026, making integration discipline the immediate test. | Medium |
| Financial trend | Q1 2026 revenue was $170.9 million, up 42 percent year over year, and trailing-twelve-month revenue reached $574.01 million. FY2025 revenue was $523.26 million with GAAP net income of $3.08 million after a weak cycle and high stock compensation expense. | High |
| Valuation | At $124.27, financial_rigor.py calculated 887.64x trailing GAAP EPS, 22.97x book value, and 118.35x trailing free cash flow. StockAnalysis reported a forward PE near 63.88, so the price still relies on a substantial earnings recovery. | High |
| Technical trend | The July 31 close of $124.27 was above the reported 200-day average of $101.24 but below the 50-day average of $138.84 after a pullback from the $157.01 52-week high. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is high because valuation is demanding and the thesis depends on a cyclical semiconductor recovery, distributor demand, China exposure, and successful AMI integration. | High |
| AI confidence | High for reported facts and calculation inputs. Medium for the forecast because AI cannot know demand timing, competitive outcomes, or acquisition integration results. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium-low certainty. The business can compound if design wins convert and AMI integrates well, but the valuation requires strong results rather than merely adequate execution. | Medium-low |
LSCC AI stock forecast
The LSCC AI stock forecast is a scenario framework, not a price promise. The bullish case needs continued revenue acceleration, clean AMI integration, and sustained AI and data-center demand. The base case assumes growth continues but the valuation compresses. The bearish case reflects a demand reset, integration friction, or a lower earnings multiple.
$145 to $175
More likely if the August 4, 2026 second-quarter report confirms momentum, design wins convert in compute and communications, AMI integrates on plan, and LSCC recaptures the $138.84 50-day average before challenging the $157.01 52-week high. Analysts at TD Cowen and Deutsche Bank published targets of $165 and $175 after the deal and earnings outlook.
$115 to $145
More likely if revenue expands but investors demand proof that growth converts into durable GAAP earnings and free cash flow. The consensus price target was $148.33 across 12 analysts as last updated July 13, 2026, with a median of $145, which is a market view rather than this page's forecast.
$75 to $105
More likely if distributor orders soften, AI and industrial demand disappoint, Greater China demand weakens, AMI integration adds cost and distraction, or valuation multiples reset. The lowest published analyst target was $105, and the trailing GAAP earnings base is too thin to support the current multiple without a strong recovery.
LSCC AI technical analysis
LSCC AI technical analysis uses the $124.27 July 31 close and StockAnalysis statistics last updated August 2, 2026. Price was above the reported 200-day moving average of $101.24 but below the 50-day average of $138.84, with a stated RSI of 44.67 and beta of 1.78. This static page does not fetch live chart data, so verify price, volume, averages, and volatility before acting.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $124.27 close on July 31, 2026 | Last verified closing quote used for this page. Confirm the live quote before using any level. |
| Near support | $122.26 to $124.53 | Combines the July 31 intraday low with the July 30 close. This is a planning zone, not a guaranteed floor. |
| Near resistance | $132.27 to $138.84 | Combines the July 31 opening price with the reported 50-day moving average. A sustained move above the 50-day average would improve momentum, not guarantee returns. |
| 50-day moving average | $138.84 | StockAnalysis statistics reported this figure on August 2, 2026. Price was below it at the July 31 close. |
| 200-day moving average | $101.24 | StockAnalysis statistics reported this longer-term trend gauge on August 2, 2026. Price was above it at the July 31 close. |
| Momentum | RSI 44.67 | This was the reported 14-period RSI on August 2, 2026, which is neither a standalone buy nor sell signal. |
| Volume | 20-day average volume about 1.76 million shares | Use a fresh volume comparison to distinguish a supported rebound from a low-liquidity move. |
| Volatility | Beta 1.78 | The stated beta signals above-market historical volatility, so position sizing and predefined risk limits matter. |
| Invalidation | Sustained close below $122.26 | A decisive loss of the support zone would weaken the near-term setup and open the path toward the 200-day average, calling for a new review of price and fundamentals. |
LSCC AI trading strategy
The LSCC AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework, not personalized advice. Pair any setup with live data, position sizing, an invalidation level, and current filings.
Wait for LSCC to defend the $122.26 to $124.53 support zone, then seek a volume-confirmed recovery through the $132.27 to $138.84 resistance band toward the $157.01 high.
A sustained close below $122.26 or a rebound that fails on rising distribution volume invalidates the short-term setup.
If LSCC holds support without a change in the operating thesis, compare the pullback with distributor inventory, AI and data-center demand, the August 4 second-quarter report, gross margin, and AMI integration news.
Do not average down without a predefined maximum loss and a fresh review of valuation, integration, and semiconductor-cycle risk.
Track compute and communications revenue, industrial and embedded recovery, new-product design wins, distributor concentration, Greater China mix, cash and debt, AMI integration milestones, and free cash flow.
Reduce confidence when price strength is driven by AI narratives without matching revenue, margins, cash generation, or design-win conversion evidence.
Investment research summary
Lattice sells programmable chips and software that let equipment makers add flexible, power-efficient control, connectivity, and processing functions without building a custom chip.
Its low-power FPGA focus, software tools, IP, customer qualification cycles, and design-in duration create switching costs. The moat is challenged by AMD, Intel FPGA, Microchip, and other semiconductor vendors with broader scale or adjacent products.
The thesis can fail if AI demand fades before design wins become revenue, distributors reduce inventory, competitors gain socket wins, Greater China demand falls, or AMI integration consumes more capital and attention than expected.
Ford Tamer is expanding Lattice beyond FPGA hardware toward a broader management and security platform. The AMI acquisition closed on July 27, 2026, making integration discipline, deal financing, and expected accretion the immediate capital-allocation tests.
AI servers, communications infrastructure, edge intelligence, industrial automation, and security can increase demand for flexible low-power logic. Semiconductor end demand and channel purchases remain cyclical despite those long-term drivers.
The market price implies a sharp improvement in earnings and cash generation. Margin of safety would improve with demonstrated conversion of growth into GAAP profitability, clean AMI integration, or a lower entry valuation.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSCC price and shares outstanding | $124.27 July 31 close; 141.75 million shares outstanding | StockAnalysis price and statistics snapshot | August 2, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | About $17.62 billion by $124.27 x 141.75 million shares; financial_rigor.py deviation 0.03% | financial_rigor.py market-cap verification | August 2, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue and GAAP net income | $170.9 million revenue, up 42% year over year; $21.8 million GAAP net income for quarter ended April 4, 2026, consistent with the trailing-twelve-month figures | Lattice Q1 2026 results and StockAnalysis TTM data | August 2, 2026 |
| TTM financials | Revenue $574.01 million, up 17.45%; GAAP net income $19.88 million; EPS $0.14; operating cash flow $193.47 million; free cash flow $149.03 million | StockAnalysis financial statements | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue and GAAP net income | Revenue $523.26 million, cross-validated across StockAnalysis and the Lattice FY2025 Form 10-K with negligible deviation; GAAP net income $3.08 million | Lattice FY2025 Form 10-K and StockAnalysis | August 2, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | $139.96 million cash at April 4, 2026 and $39.90 million total debt on a trailing-data basis; net cash about $100.06 million | StockAnalysis statistics and balance sheet | August 2, 2026 |
| Valuation check | 887.64x trailing GAAP P/E, 22.97x P/B, 118.35x P/FCF, and 0.84% FCF yield by financial_rigor.py using $0.14 EPS, $5.41 book value per share, and $1.05 FCF per share; StockAnalysis reported PE 886.12, PB 22.97, P/FCF 118.20, and forward PE 63.88 | financial_rigor.py valuation verification and StockAnalysis | August 2, 2026 |
| AMI acquisition | Acquisition of AMI completed July 27, 2026; announced consideration of $1.65 billion, consisting of $1.0 billion cash and about $650 million of Lattice shares. Share count rose about 4.74 million quarter over quarter, consistent with the stock portion of the consideration. | Lattice and THL completion releases and StockAnalysis share data | August 2, 2026 |
| Analyst coverage | Consensus Buy across 12 analysts; average target $148.33, median $145, low $105, high $175. TD Cowen raised its target to $165 on July 13, 2026, and Deutsche Bank reiterated $175 on May 22, 2026. | StockAnalysis forecast page | July 13, 2026 |
| Technical statistics | 50-day average $138.84, 200-day average $101.24, RSI 44.67, beta 1.78, and 20-day average volume about 1.76 million shares | StockAnalysis statistics | August 2, 2026 |
This LSCC page is an informational tool, not investment advice. Forecast scenarios use available data and explicit assumptions, may be wrong, and can change quickly. The AMI acquisition closed on July 27, 2026 and second-quarter results are scheduled for August 4, 2026, so verify primary filings and live market data before making an investment decision.
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