Lattice Semiconductor Corporation research snapshot
LSCC AI stock analysis currently reads Lattice Semiconductor as an improving low-power FPGA supplier with exposure to AI servers, communications, industrial systems, and edge computing. At the July 11, 2026 data cutoff, LSCC last closed at $139.53 on July 9 and market capitalization was mechanically verified near $19.12 billion using 137.01 million shares. First-quarter 2026 revenue rose 42 percent year over year to $170.9 million, but trailing GAAP earnings remain small relative to the share price. The setup depends on sustained design-win conversion, AI and data-center demand, and a successful AMI integration. This is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$139.53 close on July 9, 2026
Market cap
About $19.12 billion by price and shares-outstanding math
AI score
58 / 100
Rating
Improving low-power FPGA business with premium valuation and execution risk
Trend status
Constructive above the 200-day average, volatile near the 50-day average
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 11, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Lattice sells low-power programmable logic devices, software, and development tools that let customers add flexible control and connectivity functions without designing an ASIC. | High |
| Moat | The moat rests on low-power FPGA expertise, customer design-in cycles, development software, IP, and long product lifecycles. It is narrower than the scale advantages held by the largest programmable-logic competitors. | Medium-high |
| Management | CEO Ford Tamer is pursuing a broader compute, communications, management, and security platform. The proposed AMI acquisition is a material capital-allocation and integration test. | Medium |
| Financial trend | Q1 2026 revenue was $170.9 million, up 42 percent year over year, while FY2025 revenue was $523.262 million and GAAP net income was $3.084 million after a weak cycle and high stock compensation expense. | High |
| Valuation | At $139.53, financial_rigor.py calculated 996.64x trailing GAAP EPS, 25.79x book value, and 128.28x trailing free cash flow, so the price relies on a substantial earnings recovery. | High |
| Technical trend | The July 9 close was above the July 8 50-day average of $136.63 and 200-day average of $96.45, but the stock remains volatile after a large 52-week advance. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is high because valuation is demanding and the thesis depends on a cyclical semiconductor recovery, distributor demand, China exposure, and AMI integration. | High |
| AI confidence | High for reported facts and calculation inputs. Medium for the forecast because AI cannot know demand timing, competitive outcomes, or acquisition execution. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium-low certainty. The business can compound if design wins convert, but the valuation requires strong results rather than merely adequate execution. | Medium-low |
LSCC AI stock forecast
The LSCC AI stock forecast is a scenario framework, not a price promise. The bullish case needs continued revenue acceleration, successful AMI integration, and sustained AI and data-center demand. The base case assumes growth continues but the valuation compresses. The bearish case reflects a demand reset, integration friction, or a lower earnings multiple.
$145 to $175
More likely if Q2 revenue lands near the upper half of the company guidance range, design wins convert in compute and communications, AMI closes and integrates on plan, and LSCC clears the $157.01 52-week high on confirmed volume.
$105 to $145
More likely if revenue expands but investors demand proof that growth converts into durable GAAP earnings and free cash flow. The analyst target range was $105 to $175 as last updated May 22, 2026, which is a market view rather than this page's forecast.
$75 to $105
More likely if distributor orders soften, AI and industrial demand disappoint, Greater China demand weakens, AMI integration adds costs, or valuation multiples reset. A simple three-year GAAP-EPS sensitivity produced values below the current quote even in its optimistic case, showing valuation sensitivity rather than a reliable target.
LSCC AI technical analysis
LSCC AI technical analysis uses the $139.53 July 9 close and StockAnalysis statistics last updated July 8, 2026. Price was above the reported 50-day and 200-day moving averages, while the stated RSI was 42.97 and beta was 1.78. This static page does not fetch live chart data, so verify price, volume, averages, and volatility before acting.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $139.53 close on July 9, 2026 | Last verified closing quote used for this page. Confirm the live quote before using any level. |
| Near support | $132.48 to $136.63 | Combines the July 8 close area with the reported 50-day moving average. This is a planning zone, not a guaranteed floor. |
| Near resistance | $146.92 to $157.01 | Combines the published average analyst target with the reported 52-week high. A sustained move above the high would improve momentum, not guarantee returns. |
| 50-day moving average | $136.63 | StockAnalysis statistics reported this figure on July 8, 2026. Price was above it at the July 9 close. |
| 200-day moving average | $96.45 | StockAnalysis statistics reported this longer-term trend gauge on July 8, 2026. |
| Momentum | RSI 42.97 | This was the reported 14-period RSI on July 8, 2026, which is neither a standalone buy nor sell signal. |
| Volume | 20-day average volume about 1.99 million shares | Use a fresh volume comparison to distinguish a supported breakout from a low-liquidity move. |
| Volatility | Beta 1.78 | The stated beta signals above-market historical volatility, so position sizing and predefined risk limits matter. |
| Invalidation | Sustained close below $132.48 | A decisive loss of the support zone would weaken the near-term setup and call for a new review of price and fundamentals. |
LSCC AI trading strategy
The LSCC AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework, not personalized advice. Pair any setup with live data, position sizing, an invalidation level, and current filings.
Wait for LSCC to hold the $132.48 to $136.63 support zone, then seek a volume-confirmed advance through $146.92 and toward the $157.01 high.
A sustained close below $132.48 or a breakout that fails on rising distribution volume invalidates the short-term setup.
If LSCC returns to support without a change in the operating thesis, compare the pullback with distributor inventory, AI and data-center demand, Q2 guidance, gross margin, and AMI transaction news.
Do not average down without a predefined maximum loss and a fresh review of valuation, acquisition, and semiconductor-cycle risk.
Track compute and communications revenue, industrial and embedded recovery, new-product design wins, distributor concentration, Greater China mix, cash and debt, AMI closing conditions, and free cash flow.
Reduce confidence when price strength is driven by AI narratives without matching revenue, margins, cash generation, or design-win conversion evidence.
Investment research summary
Lattice sells programmable chips and software that let equipment makers add flexible, power-efficient control, connectivity, and processing functions without building a custom chip.
Its low-power FPGA focus, software tools, IP, customer qualification cycles, and design-in duration create switching costs. The moat is challenged by AMD, Intel FPGA, Microchip, and other semiconductor vendors with broader scale or adjacent products.
The thesis can fail if AI demand fades before design wins become revenue, distributors reduce inventory, competitors gain socket wins, Greater China demand falls, or AMI integration consumes more capital and attention than expected.
Ford Tamer is expanding Lattice beyond FPGA hardware toward a broader management and security platform. The $1.65 billion AMI agreement is the immediate test of capital allocation, integration discipline, and expected non-GAAP accretion.
AI servers, communications infrastructure, edge intelligence, industrial automation, and security can increase demand for flexible low-power logic. Semiconductor end demand and channel purchases remain cyclical despite those long-term drivers.
The market price implies a sharp improvement in earnings and cash generation. Margin of safety would improve with demonstrated conversion of growth into GAAP profitability or with a lower entry valuation.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSCC price and shares outstanding | $139.53 July 9 close; 137.01 million shares outstanding | StockAnalysis price and statistics snapshot | July 11, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | About $19.12 billion by $139.53 x 137.01 million shares; financial_rigor.py deviation 0.01% | financial_rigor.py market-cap verification | July 11, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue and GAAP net income | $170.9 million revenue, up 42% year over year; $21.8 million GAAP net income for quarter ended April 4, 2026 | Lattice Q1 2026 results | July 11, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $523.262 million, cross-validated across the Lattice 10-K, Macrotrends, and StockAnalysis with 0.00% deviation | Lattice FY2025 Form 10-K | July 11, 2026 |
| FY2025 GAAP net income | $3.084 million, cross-validated across the Lattice 10-K, Macrotrends, and StockAnalysis with 0.13% deviation | Lattice FY2025 Form 10-K | July 11, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | $139.956 million cash at April 4, 2026 and $39.90 million total debt on a trailing-data basis; cash cross-validation deviation 0.00% | Lattice Q1 release and StockAnalysis | July 11, 2026 |
| Valuation check | 996.64x trailing GAAP P/E, 25.79x P/B, 128.28x P/FCF, and 0.78% FCF yield by financial_rigor.py using $0.14 EPS, $5.41 book value per share, and $1.0877 FCF per share | financial_rigor.py valuation verification | July 11, 2026 |
| AMI transaction | $1.65 billion proposed consideration, consisting of $1.0 billion cash and about $650 million of Lattice shares, subject to closing conditions and approvals | Lattice Q1 2026 results | July 11, 2026 |
| Technical statistics | 50-day average $136.63, 200-day average $96.45, RSI 42.97, beta 1.78, and 20-day average volume about 1.99 million shares | StockAnalysis statistics | July 8, 2026 |
This LSCC page is an informational tool, not investment advice. Forecast scenarios use available data and explicit assumptions, may be wrong, and can change quickly. Verify primary filings and live market data, and consider your own objectives and risk tolerance before making an investment decision.
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