FTI Consulting Inc. research snapshot
FCN AI stock analysis currently reads FTI Consulting as a diversified business advisory firm that generates predictable revenue from corporate finance, forensic litigation, economic consulting, technology, and strategic communications. Clients return because FTI has brand credibility, specialized expert networks, large-case experience, and repeat relationships with major law firms, corporations, and governments. At the July 12, 2026 data cutoff, the stock closed at $156.86, market cap near $4.73 billion, and TTM valuation was about 18.65x EPS and 1.28x sales. The FCN AI stock forecast is scenario-based, with utilization rates, M&A advisory demand, litigation cycles, technology services growth, and talent retention driving the range.
Current price
$156.86
Market cap
$4.73 billion verified market cap
AI score
67 / 100
Rating
Established business advisory franchise with steady financial trend and manageable valuation
Trend status
Within a 52-week range of $137.65 to $189.30 and between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 12, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | FTI sells high-stakes advisory services that corporations, law firms, and governments need during disputes, restructuring, investigations, regulation, and strategic change. Revenue is diversified across five segments and recurring in the sense that large cases and regulatory matters last many quarters. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from brand reputation, specialized talent networks, past-case references, long client relationships, and scale in lawyer-facing advisory work. It is a real but labor-dependent moat, not a technology or network-effect barrier. | Medium |
| Management | Steven Gunby has led FTI since 2020, focusing on talent retention, technology investment (AI tools for e-discovery and compliance), and segment discipline. Capital allocation has emphasized reinvestment and opportunistic share repurchases. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue rose to approximately $3.79 billion and net income to about $271 million. Q1 2026 revenue of $983 million and net income of $58 million show steady but not accelerating growth. Five-year revenue growth of 54% and earnings growth of 47% reflect consistent expansion. | High |
| Valuation | At $156.86, FCN trades near 18.65x TTM EPS, 2.85x book, 1.28x sales, and 20.75x free cash flow. These are reasonable multiples for a business advisory firm with mid-single-digit revenue growth, high margins, and no debt overhang. | High |
| Technical trend | The stock sits between the 50-day moving average (near $155) and 200-day moving average (near $163), with a 52-week range of $137.65 to $189.30. Momentum is neutral with no clear breakout or breakdown signal. | Medium |
| Risk level | Main risks are labor-cost inflation, senior talent attrition, utilization rate declines, lumpiness in large restructuring and litigation projects, economic slowdown reducing M&A and dispute work, and competition for specialized expertise. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive data confidence is high because source data is rich and cross-checked. Forecast confidence is lower because FTI earnings are sensitive to macroeconomic cycles, talent markets, and large-case timing. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | FTI is a well-managed business-advisory firm with steady financial trends, but the current stock price already reflects the quality story, leaving less room for upside surprises unless revenue growth accelerates or margins expand more than expected. | Medium |
FCN AI stock forecast
The FCN AI stock forecast uses the $156.86 price reference, TTM EPS near $8.41, and an audited three-year scenario model. The mechanical model points to about $281 in a bullish case, $191 in a base case, and $118 in a bearish case before dividends. The wide spread is intentional because advisory firms can compound steadily in good times but face utilization, pricing, and talent headwinds in slowdowns.
$260 to $300 before dividends
More likely if FTI sustains high utilization across all segments, M&A restructuring and dispute work accelerates, technology services (AI e-discovery, compliance software) grow faster, margins expand on operating leverage, and investors value FCN above 20x earnings.
$180 to $205 before dividends
More likely if FTI grows revenue in the mid-single-digit range, utilization remains stable, margins hold near current levels, and the stock trades near 18x to 20x TTM earnings in a normal advisory-cycle environment.
$110 to $130 before dividends
More likely if a broader economic slowdown reduces restructuring and M&A advisory demand, litigation calendars thin out, salary inflation compresses margins, senior talent leaves, and investors re-rate FCN toward the low end of its historical multiple range.
FCN AI technical analysis
FCN AI technical analysis is neutral as of the July 12, 2026 data cutoff. FCN closed at $156.86 on July 10, 2026. The stock sits near its 50-day moving average, below its 200-day average, with a 52-week range of $137.65 to $189.30. Volume of 303,640 shares was below the 503,840 average. Confirm live chart data before using any level.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $156.86 | Yahoo Finance July 10, 2026 close. The July 12 data cutoff falls after the latest available regular trading close. |
| Near support | $150 to $153 | Round-number support and the lower end of the recent trading range. A sustained close below this area would weaken the short-term view. |
| 52-week support | $137.65 | The 52-week low from the recent year. A decisive break would challenge the longer-term range. |
| Near resistance | $163 to $165 | The 200-day moving average sits near $163. This is the first meaningful upside level bulls need to reclaim. |
| Upper resistance | $180 to $189 | The upper part of the 52-week range. A breakout above $189 would establish a new 52-week high. |
| 50-day moving average | Near $155 | Barchart data showed the stock near this short-term reference. Price was hovering around this level at cutoff. |
| 200-day moving average | Near $163 | Barchart data showed the 200-day moving average slightly above the current price, suggesting a neutral to slightly negative longer-term trend. |
| Momentum | RSI near neutral | RSI appeared in the neutral zone on available technical snapshots. Not deeply oversold or overbought. |
| Volume | 303,640 shares on July 10, 2026 | Volume was below the 503,840 average, indicating no unusual accumulation or distribution on the latest trading day. |
| Volatility | Advisory-cycle and event sensitive | FCN can move on quarterly earnings, segment revenue trends, utilization rates, large-case wins or losses, and changes in demand for restructuring and litigation services. |
| Invalidation | Close below $150, then below $137.65 | A break below the $150 support area weakens the near-term setup. A sustained break below $137.65 would challenge the broader range. |
FCN AI trading strategy
The FCN AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It connects chart levels with segment revenue trends, utilization rates, talent costs, M&A cycles, and the upcoming July 30, 2026 earnings report.
Watch for FCN to reclaim and hold above the $163 to $165 area (near the 200-day moving average) with volume near or above the 503,840 average. Cross-check that Q2 earnings confirm sustained utilization, segment revenue growth, and stable margins.
A failed breakout below $150 should reduce confidence. Reduce exposure if management guides lower on utilization or warns about salary inflation, or if restructuring revenue declines meaningfully.
If FCN pulls back toward the $145 to $150 support zone without a structural decline in advisory demand, review whether the pullback is driven by macro rotation or company-specific news. Compare the lower price with long-term revenue and cash-flow trends.
Do not treat a pullback as automatically attractive if utilization is falling, senior talent attrition is rising, or the company issues weaker-than-expected guidance.
Track total revenue and segment trends (Corporate Finance, Forensic and Litigation, Economic, Technology, Strategic Communications), utilization rates, headcount and salaries, operating margins, DSO, cash conversion, and share repurchases. The July 30, 2026 earnings release is the next major catalyst.
Position sizing should reflect that services businesses can compound well but also compress quickly when demand slows or costs rise faster than revenue.
Investment research summary
Customers pay FTI Consulting to solve high-stakes business problems: financial restructuring, litigation support, regulatory investigations, antitrust economics, technology disputes, data governance, and strategic communications. The business converts specialized expertise, brand credibility, and repeat client relationships into recurring advisory revenue.
The moat comes from specialist talent networks, brand reputation from marquee cases, deep relationships with major law firms and corporates, scale across five interconnected segments, and technology tools in e-discovery and compliance. The moat is not immune to talent poaching, consulting-cycle downturns, or commoditization of certain advisory services.
The thesis fails if (1) a sustained economic expansion reduces restructuring and litigation demand, (2) salary and benefits inflation outpaces billing rate increases, (3) key senior talent exits to competitors or starts boutiques, (4) utilization falls as headcount growth outpaces demand, or (5) technology alternatives (AI-driven compliance, automated e-discovery) reduce the need for certain advisory services.
Steven Gunby has led FTI since 2020, following a prior leadership transition. Capital allocation has emphasized segment investment, selective M&A in adjacent services, and share repurchases. The key test is whether management can maintain utilization and margins while investing in AI and technology capabilities that may reshape the advisory industry.
Business advisory services benefit from secular growth in regulatory complexity, cross-border disputes, financial restructuring needs, data privacy requirements, and demand for independent expert testimony. AI is creating both opportunities (automated e-discovery, compliance tools) and risks (commoditization of certain analysis work). The industry is fragmented but consolidating toward scaled players with full-service capabilities.
At $156.86, FCN trades at 18.65x TTM EPS, which is reasonable but not distressed for a mid-single-digit growth advisory firm. Margin of safety improves if the stock pulls back toward the $140s while the underlying business continues generating steady cash flow and share count declines through buybacks.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| FCN price | $156.86 close on July 10, 2026 | Yahoo Finance FCN summary | July 12, 2026 |
| Market capitalization verification | $4.73 billion reported and $4.728 billion calculated from $156.86 x 30.144 million shares | Pineify financial_rigor.py and Barchart FCN statistics | July 12, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 30.144 million shares | Barchart FCN profile | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM earnings per share | $8.41, cross-checked against multiple sources | Yahoo Finance FCN statistics | July 12, 2026 |
| Annual revenue (FY2025) | Approximately $3.79 billion, cross-checked against Barchart and Yahoo Finance with less than 2% variance | Barchart FCN financial summary | July 12, 2026 |
| Annual net income (FY2025) | Approximately $271 million, cross-checked against Barchart and Yahoo Finance with less than 1% variance | Barchart FCN financial summary | July 12, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 financial results | $983.35 million revenue and $57.63 million net income with $1.90 diluted EPS | Yahoo Finance FCN financial data | July 12, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | $198.28 million cash and total debt/equity ratio of 60.60% | Yahoo Finance FCN statistics | July 12, 2026 |
| Free cash flow (TTM) | $227.76 million levered free cash flow | Yahoo Finance FCN statistics | July 12, 2026 |
| Valuation ratios | P/E 18.65x, P/S 1.28x, P/B 2.85x, EV/Revenue 1.42x, EV/EBITDA 12.31x | Yahoo Finance and Barchart FCN data | July 12, 2026 |
| 52-week range and beta | 52-week range $137.65 to $189.30, beta -0.04 | Yahoo Finance FCN summary | July 12, 2026 |
| Management | Steven Gunby is CEO, leading FTI since 2020 with focus on talent, technology, and segment discipline | FTI Consulting company profile | July 12, 2026 |
This FCN AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future returns. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of July 12, 2026, and may be wrong if advisory demand, utilization, talent costs, economic conditions, litigation cycles, or market sentiment change.
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