Bullish case
$14 to $17
More likely if silver prices rally, Terronera ramps ahead of plan, production costs fall, and the market assigns a higher multiple to growing silver output.
Endeavour Silver Corp. research snapshot
EXK AI stock analysis currently reads Endeavour Silver as a mid-tier silver producer with four operating mines in Mexico, a growing gold by-product stream, and a new Terronera mine ramping up. The company reported record quarterly silver production of 1,943,955 oz in Q2 2026 and has built a strong cash position of about $241 million, but the stock has pulled back sharply from its 2026 highs alongside silver price weakness. At the July 13, 2026 data cutoff, the latest NYSE close was $8.08 and the verified price-times-shares market capitalization was about $2.39 billion on approximately 296 million shares. This is informational research, not investment advice.
Current price
$8.08
Market cap
About $2.39 billion by price times shares
AI score
55 / 100
Rating
Silver-growth producer with record Q2 output, new Terronera mine ramp, high beta, and commodity-cycle risk
Trend status
Down more than 45% from the 52-week high, with mixed momentum and high sensitivity to silver prices
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 13, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Endeavour Silver is a growing primary silver producer with four Mexican mines, new Terronera output, and gold by-product credits, but earnings depend almost entirely on metal prices. | Medium |
| Moat | Silver mines are depletable assets with no pricing power over the underlying commodity. The company has no structural competitive advantage vs. other low-cost silver producers. | Low |
| Management | Management has delivered record production and a stronger balance sheet, but past dilution through equity raises and the Terronera build execution remain areas to monitor. | Medium |
| Financial trend | Q2 2026 set a record with 3.4 million silver equivalent ounces. Cash stood at $241 million and debt/equity was 39%, but GAAP TTM net income was negative and profit margins are thin. | Medium |
| Valuation | At about 3.9x TTM sales and 22.6x EV/EBITDA, EXK is not optically cheap. The forward P/E of about 10x depends on earnings materializing from higher metal prices. | Medium |
| Technical trend | EXK trades well below the 52-week high of $15.15 with a 46% year-to-date decline. Momentum indicators are mixed and the stock remains in a medium-term downtrend. | Medium |
| Risk level | Key risks are commodity price cyclicality, single-country (Mexico) concentration, mine execution, share dilution, and a beta of 2.37 making it highly sensitive to market moves. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for reported operational and financial facts. Medium for forward estimates because silver prices, Terronera ramp-up, and currency moves are inherently uncertain. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | The business is cyclical and commodity-driven. Entry timing and silver price direction matter more than company-specific quality for near-term returns. | Low-medium |
EXK AI stock forecast
The EXK AI stock forecast should be read as scenario math, not a promise. Using a TTM EPS that is slightly negative, a July 13, 2026 price near $8.08, and a three-year framework, the modeled scenarios highlight how sensitive EXK is to silver prices, production growth, and investor multiples. Actual outcomes depend on metal markets and mine execution.
$14 to $17
More likely if silver prices rally, Terronera ramps ahead of plan, production costs fall, and the market assigns a higher multiple to growing silver output.
$8 to $11
More likely if silver prices stabilize near current levels, Terronera reaches steady-state production, and EXK trades in line with its historical P/S and EV/EBITDA ranges.
$4 to $6
More likely if silver prices decline, Terronera hits ramp-up delays or cost overruns, or a broad risk-off environment compresses mining equity valuations.
EXK AI technical analysis
EXK AI technical analysis reflects a stock that rallied strongly from mid-2025 to early 2026 alongside silver and has since given back most of those gains. As of the July 13, 2026 data cutoff, EXK was trading near $8.08, well below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages after the sharp pullback from the $15.15 52-week high.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $8.08 | Yahoo Finance NYSE close at July 10, 2026. |
| Near support | $7.00 to $7.50 | The area around prior consolidation zones in late 2025. A close below $7.00 would open deeper downside. |
| 52-week low / deep support | $4.91 | The 52-week low set in 2025. Not an expected target but the structural floor reference. |
| Near resistance | $9.50 to $10.50 | The area between the recent breakdown level and former support turned resistance. |
| Major resistance | $12.50 to $13.50 | The zone between the current 50-day moving average and prior consolidation before the 2026 high. |
| Momentum | RSI oversold territory | Recent RSI readings have been in oversold territory, which can precede bounces but is not a timing signal. |
| Volatility | Beta 2.37 | EXK is roughly 2.4x more volatile than the S&P 500. Use position sizing that can tolerate sharp daily moves. |
| Invalidation | Close below $7.00 | A decisive break below the $7 support zone would suggest a deeper retracement toward the 52-week low area. |
EXK AI trading strategy
The EXK AI trading strategy below is a framework for research and risk planning, not personal advice. Given EXK high beta and commodity sensitivity, position sizing and invalidation levels are critical.
Wait for EXK to reclaim and hold above the 50-day moving average with improving volume and a confirmed silver price rally before considering a long position.
Define risk before entry. A close back below the 50-day MA or a break below $7 support serves as a rules-based invalidation point.
If EXK pulls toward the $7.00 to $7.50 support zone without a thesis-breaking development (e.g., Terronera setback), monitor for stabilization before considering a counter-trend entry.
Avoid averaging down without a defined stop. A close below $7.00 shifts the setup from a pullback to potential trend breakdown.
Track quarterly production reports, all-in sustaining cost trends, Terronera ramp milestones, silver and gold spot prices, and cash versus debt changes.
Do not let a compelling production narrative replace sizing discipline. Scenario ranges expand rapidly when metal prices move.
Investment research summary
Endeavour Silver extracts, processes, and sells silver and gold from underground mines in Mexico. Customers are metal traders and refiners who pay the prevailing spot price less treatment charges. The business has no pricing power over the commodity it sells.
Silver mining has no structural moat. The company competes on grade, cost, and reserve replacement. Its advantages are a strong exploration track record and a growing production base, but any cost advantage can be erased by inflation, ore-body changes, or currency moves.
The thesis fails if silver prices fall sharply, Terronera suffers ramp-up delays or cost overruns, grades decline at existing mines, Mexico introduces adverse mining policy, or equity dilution accelerates to fund growth.
Management has delivered record production and improved the balance sheet. Equity raises in prior years diluted holders, but the current cash position of $241 million provides a buffer. Investors should monitor capital allocation discipline as Terronera reaches full production.
Silver demand has industrial tailwinds from solar photovoltaic manufacturing, electronics, and energy transition technologies. However, silver is also a monetary and避险 asset, making it sensitive to interest rates and macro sentiment. The long-term demand story is intact but cyclical.
At roughly 3.9x TTM sales and about 22.6x EV/EBITDA, EXK is not priced for distress but offers no deep value margin of safety. The forward P/E near 10x implies the market expects earnings improvement, which depends on higher silver prices or significantly higher production.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| EXK price | $8.08 | Yahoo Finance historical quote | July 13, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | About $2.39 billion, calculated from $8.08 x 296 million shares | Yahoo Finance and Barchart | July 13, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | Approximately 296 million | Barchart Key Statistics | July 13, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 silver production | 1,943,955 oz silver, 10,474 oz gold, 3.4 million silver equivalent oz | Endeavour Silver Q2 2026 press release | July 13, 2026 |
| TTM revenue | $613.7 million | Yahoo Finance financial summary | July 13, 2026 |
| TTM net income | -$21.3 million (GAAP) | Yahoo Finance financial summary | July 13, 2026 |
| Total cash | $240.9 million | Yahoo Finance balance sheet | July 13, 2026 |
| Total debt/equity | 38.98% | Yahoo Finance statistics | July 13, 2026 |
| Forward P/E | 10.24x | Yahoo Finance statistics | July 13, 2026 |
| 52-week range | $4.91 to $15.15 | Yahoo Finance key statistics | July 13, 2026 |
| Beta (5Y monthly) | 2.37 | Yahoo Finance statistics | July 13, 2026 |
| 1-year analyst target | $16.17 average | Yahoo Finance analyst estimates | July 13, 2026 |
This page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold EXK. Forecasts are scenario-based estimates from available data and may be wrong. Always verify current filings, prices, and your own risk constraints before making decisions.
Design trading strategies visually with 10+ indicators. Set entry/exit conditions and risk management, then generate Pine Script code with no coding required.
Filter and discover stocks based on market cap, dividend yield, P/E ratio, sector, and more. Screen thousands of stocks with real-time data.
Smart AI-driven stock selection with fundamental screening, analyst estimates, and key metrics. Filter by P/E, market cap, dividends, and more.