Bullish case
$600 to $650
More likely if data-center and cloud programs continue to scale, the 2026 outlook is met or exceeded, operating margins remain near the new level, and investors sustain a high earnings multiple.
Celestica Inc. research snapshot
CLS AI stock analysis currently reads Celestica as a data-center infrastructure and advanced technology manufacturing partner with unusually fast recent growth. Q1 2026 revenue reached $4.05 billion, up 53 percent year over year, while GAAP net earnings were $212.3 million. At the July 11, 2026 data cutoff, the latest verified July 8 close used here was $345.06 and mechanically verified market capitalization was about $39.72 billion. The operating trend is strong, but the valuation depends on sustained cloud customer demand, margin delivery, working-capital control, and successful execution on a much larger 2026 outlook. This is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$345.06
Market cap
$39.72 billion
AI score
62 / 100
Rating
Strong execution with AI infrastructure exposure and a demanding valuation
Trend status
Above the 200-day moving average but below the 50-day average after a volatile advance
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 11, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Celestica designs, builds, and manages supply chains for communications, enterprise hardware, aerospace and defense, industrial, health technology, and capital-equipment customers. | High |
| Moat | Program qualification, manufacturing execution, component sourcing, global scale, engineering depth, and customer integration create switching friction, but contract manufacturing remains competitive and customer bargaining power is material. | Medium-high |
| Management | CEO Rob Mionis and CFO Mandeep Chawla led a period of higher revenue, margins, and share repurchases. The next capital-allocation test is funding growth without losing returns or balance-sheet flexibility. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue was $12.39 billion and net earnings were $832.5 million. Q1 2026 revenue rose 53 percent to $4.05 billion and net earnings rose 146 percent to $212.3 million. | High |
| Valuation | At $345.06, financial_rigor.py calculated about 41.77x trailing EPS and 19.05x book value. That leaves less room for demand or margin disappointment than a cyclical manufacturer normally receives. | High |
| Technical trend | The July data placed CLS below its 50-day average of $377.17 but above its 200-day average of $321.00, with RSI near 48.23. This is a mixed intermediate setup inside a still-positive long trend. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is high because the stock has beta of 1.52, the 52-week range was $152.43 to $474.03, AI infrastructure demand can be cyclical, and large customer programs can change quickly. | High |
| AI confidence | High data confidence for filings and mechanical valuation checks. Medium confidence for future growth, price scenarios, and technical setups. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium-low certainty. The business is executing well, but a premium valuation and a volatile AI spending cycle make the margin of safety limited. | Medium-low |
CLS AI stock forecast
The CLS AI stock forecast uses three-year scenario ranges around the $345.06 reference close. It is not a claim that AI can predict a specific price. The bullish case needs demand visibility, operating leverage, and an elevated valuation multiple to hold. The base case assumes continued growth but lower normalization in both growth and valuation. The bearish case assumes that demand, margins, or the multiple weaken.
$600 to $650
More likely if data-center and cloud programs continue to scale, the 2026 outlook is met or exceeded, operating margins remain near the new level, and investors sustain a high earnings multiple.
$360 to $400
More likely if EPS grows around 18 percent annually for three years and the exit multiple moderates toward 28x as the business grows into expectations.
$195 to $220
More likely if AI infrastructure orders slow, customers reduce programs, margins compress, working capital absorbs cash, or the market values cyclically exposed earnings near 20x.
CLS AI technical analysis
This CLS AI technical analysis uses the latest available July 2026 quote snapshot and should be refreshed on a live chart before any trade. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages frame the trend, while the 52-week range shows that volatility remains material.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Near support | $330 to $345 | The July 8 trading range was $330.18 to $349.62. A sustained break below that zone would weaken the immediate setup. |
| Major support | About $321 | The 200-day moving average was $321.00 in the July snapshot and is the key long-trend reference. |
| Resistance | About $377, then $474 | The 50-day moving average was $377.17. The 52-week high of $474.03 is the larger overhead reference. |
| Moving averages | 50-day $377.17; 200-day $321.00 | Price below the 50-day but above the 200-day signals a mixed intermediate trend rather than a confirmed fresh breakout. |
| Momentum | RSI 48.23 | RSI was near neutral. It does not by itself confirm either a durable reversal or a breakdown. |
| Volume and volatility | 20-day average volume 1.55 million; beta 1.52 | Breakouts and reversals deserve volume confirmation because the stock has shown above-market volatility. |
| Invalidation | Close below $321 | A sustained close below the 200-day area would challenge the long-trend thesis and require a fresh review of earnings and demand evidence. |
CLS AI trading strategy
The CLS AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework, not personalized advice. It combines technical confirmation with evidence from data-center demand, program wins, margins, cash conversion, and the next earnings release.
Wait for CLS to reclaim and hold the 50-day area near $377 with improving volume, then confirm that quarterly revenue, margins, and customer demand continue to support the move.
Do not treat a single intraday move as confirmation. Define position size and reduce confidence if price fails back below the breakout zone.
If CLS stabilizes near $330 to $345 without a deterioration in Q2 guidance, cash conversion, or customer demand, assess whether the risk-reward is better than at a momentum high.
Do not average down solely because the share price fell. A close below the 200-day area near $321 is a technical invalidation signal.
Track the July 27 Q2 2026 results date, revenue and adjusted operating-margin guidance, CCS versus ATS mix, free cash flow, inventory and receivables, debt, share repurchases, and major customer-program visibility.
Lower the rating if growth decelerates or cash conversion weakens while the stock retains a premium earnings multiple.
Investment research summary
Celestica helps complex hardware customers turn designs into manufactured systems and managed supply chains, with particular current momentum in data-center infrastructure.
The moat is execution rather than monopoly: engineering, qualification, sourcing, quality systems, global manufacturing, customer integration, and the cost of changing a production program. Competition and customer concentration limit pricing power.
The thesis can fail if AI capital spending slows, a large program changes, component economics worsen, inventory or receivables grow faster than cash flow, margins normalize, leverage rises, or investors re-rate the stock as a cyclical manufacturer.
Management has delivered improving revenue, operating margins, and share repurchases. The key question is whether it can preserve capital discipline while capacity, working capital, and customer programs expand.
Data-center buildouts, cloud networking, and AI compute are long-term demand drivers. Hardware supply chains remain cyclical, capital intensive, and exposed to customer budgets, component availability, trade rules, and technology transitions.
The July reference price implied about 41.77x trailing EPS. Strong results can support a premium, but the valuation offers limited protection if earnings growth or the market multiple normalizes.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLS price and market capitalization | $345.06 close on July 8, 2026; $39.72 billion reported market cap | StockAnalysis quote snapshot | July 11, 2026 |
| Shares and market-cap verification | 114.97 million shares; $345.06 x 114.97 million = $39.67 billion, a 0.12 percent difference from the reported $39.72 billion | StockAnalysis and financial_rigor.py market-cap verification | July 11, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue and net earnings | $4.047 billion revenue, up 53 percent; $212.3 million GAAP net earnings, up 146 percent | Celestica Q1 2026 Form 10-Q and earnings release | July 11, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue and net earnings | $12.391 billion revenue and $832.5 million net earnings; cross-validated against the SEC filing, Macrotrends, and StockAnalysis | Celestica FY2025 Form 10-K, Macrotrends, and StockAnalysis | July 11, 2026 |
| Cash and borrowings | $378.0 million cash and cash equivalents; $719.3 million term-loan borrowings as of March 31, 2026 | Celestica Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | July 11, 2026 |
| 2026 outlook | $19.0 billion revenue, $10.15 adjusted EPS, and $500 million free cash flow outlook | Celestica Q1 2026 earnings release | July 11, 2026 |
| Valuation and technical snapshot | 41.77x trailing EPS, 19.05x book value, 50-day average $377.17, 200-day average $321.00, RSI 48.23, and 20-day average volume 1.55 million shares | financial_rigor.py and StockAnalysis | July 11, 2026 |
This CLS page is an informational tool, not investment advice. Forecast scenarios are based on available data and explicit assumptions, may be wrong, and can change quickly. Verify primary filings and live market data, and consider your own objectives and risk tolerance before making an investment decision.
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