VST technical analysis
VST Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
VST Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- VST
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 156.23 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 156.23 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
VST Technical Analysis Summary
VST (Vistra Corp.) shows a moderately bullish technical picture with some short-term caution. The daily chart shows price at 156.23, trading above SMA20 (150.81) and SMA50 (147.35) but the MACD histogram has turned slightly negative, suggesting near-term momentum is cooling. The weekly chart is clearly bullish with price well above all major SMAs and RSI at 58.42, confirming the long-term uptrend remains intact. As an independent power producer benefiting from AI-driven electricity demand, VST has been a strong performer. The key levels to watch are support at 145.22 (20-day low) and the daily SMA200 at 118.94 as major structural support. On the upside, resistance sits at 164.87 (20-day high) and the 52-week high at 178.50.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Moderately bullish. Price at 156.23 is above SMA20 (150.81) and SMA50 (147.35) but the SMA20 is starting to flatten. The SMAs remain in bullish alignment with SMA20 above SMA50 above SMA200 (118.94). The 52-week position at 67.2% shows the stock is still in the upper half of its yearly range.
- Momentum
- Neutral to slightly bearish. RSI14 at 51.68 is near the 50 midline, indicating no strong directional conviction. MACD at 3.16 is below the signal line at 3.38 with a negative histogram of -0.22, suggesting that upside momentum has faded recently. The MACD levels are close to a potential crossover.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 7.84 (5.02% of price) reflects above-average daily swings for a utility company, consistent with VST high-beta profile as an independent power producer. Bollinger Bands (135.58 to 166.05) are moderately wide, with price near the middle of the range.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 4,520,000 is 68% of the 20-period average (6,645,000), indicating reduced participation in the recent sideways price action.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a stock cooling after a strong rally. Price remains above both SMA20 and SMA50, but the flattening SMA20 and slightly negative MACD histogram suggest the short-term momentum is slowing. The RSI at 51.68 is neutral, leaving room for movement in either direction. Volume is declining, which could indicate the pullback is a pause rather than a reversal. The stock remains well above its SMA200, preserving the long-term bullish structure. A close above the 20-day high of 164.87 would signal renewed upside momentum.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 158.50 is above SMA20 (142.15), SMA50 (119.80), and SMA200 (74.56). All major SMAs are sloping upward in textbook bullish alignment. The stock has appreciated significantly over the past year, consistent with the AI power demand theme.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 58.42 is in bullish territory above 50. MACD at 15.76 is above the signal line at 14.12 with a positive histogram of 1.64, confirming the weekly uptrend remains intact. The MACD is in a bullish alignment but the histogram has compressed from prior weeks, suggesting the pace of the rally has moderated.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 18.95 (11.96% of price) reflects very large weekly swings typical of a high-beta energy stock. Bollinger Bands (110.12 to 186.52) are extremely wide, reflecting the stock strong directional movement.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Weekly volume is approximately 85% of the 20-week average, suggesting the weekly uptrend is advancing on reasonable but not excessive participation.
Assessment
The weekly chart confirms a powerful long-term uptrend. All major SMAs are in bullish alignment with strong upward slopes. RSI at 58.42 is comfortably in bullish territory without being overbought, leaving room for further upside. The positive MACD histogram confirms bullish momentum, though the compression suggests the explosive phase of the rally may have passed. The stock 52-week position at 71.4% shows it remains well within its uptrend. The long-term trend is intact as long as price holds above SMA50 at 119.80.
Key indicators
VST Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 51.68 | 58.42 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 3.16 / 3.38 / -0.22 | 15.76 / 14.12 / 1.64 |
| ATR (14) | 7.84 (5.02%) | 18.95 (11.96%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 135.58 - 166.05 | 110.12 - 186.52 |
| SMA (20) | 150.81 | 142.15 |
| SMA (50) | 147.35 | 119.80 |
| SMA (200) | 118.94 | 74.56 |
Price structure
VST Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 156.23 | 158.50 |
| 1-Period Return | -0.45% | +2.30% |
| 5-Period Return | +1.85% | +6.40% |
| 20-Period Return | +12.10% | +28.50% |
| 60-Period Return | +22.80% | +95.30% |
| 252-Period Return | +85.20% | +380.00% |
| 52-Week Low | 78.30 | 78.30 |
| 52-Week High | 178.50 | 178.50 |
| 52-Week Position | 67.20% | 71.40% |
Key levels
VST Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 164.87 | 178.50 |
| 20-Period Low | 145.22 | 130.90 |
| 60-Period High | 178.50 | 178.50 |
| 60-Period Low | 135.00 | 78.30 |
Scenarios
VST Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price reclaims the 20-day high of 164.87 with above-average volume, and the daily MACD histogram turns positive.
Invalidation
Price breaks below the 20-day low of 145.22 with increasing volume.
What to watch
Daily RSI recovering above 55; MACD histogram turning positive; volume increasing on up days; weekly RSI staying above 55.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to oscillate between support at 145.22 and resistance at 164.87.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 164.87 or below 145.22 with expanding volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 45 and 55 on daily; volume remaining below average; MACD histogram oscillating around zero.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 20-day low of 145.22 and the 60-day low of 135.00, with RSI falling below 45.
Invalidation
Price reclaims SMA50 at 147.35 and establishes support above 150.
What to watch
Daily close below 145.22; RSI falling below 45; MACD histogram becoming more negative; weekly RSI dropping below 50.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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