VLO technical analysis
VLO Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 6, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 5, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
VLO Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- VLO
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 5, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 302.39 | August 5, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 302.39 | August 5, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
VLO Technical Analysis Summary
VLO (Valero Energy) technical analysis as of August 5, 2026 shows a bullish trend that has paused. Price at 302.39 remains above SMA20 (301.92), SMA50 (272.94), and SMA200 (218.72), keeping the daily moving average structure intact. After reaching a recent high near 319.01, the stock pulled back and now trades near the SMA20, while RSI14 cooled to 57.07 and the daily MACD histogram turned slightly negative, signaling a consolidation phase. The weekly technical outlook stays constructive: price at 312.90 is above all weekly moving averages, the weekly MACD remains bullish with a positive histogram at 4.44, and the 52-week position is 96.80%. Weekly RSI at 73.78 is overbought and price is above the upper weekly Bollinger Band, so the move is extended. Key support is near 301.92 (SMA20) and 272.94 (SMA50); resistance is near 319.01. The uptrend remains valid as long as price holds above the daily SMA20.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 5, 2026)
- Trend
- Bullish but paused. Price at 302.39 is above SMA20 (301.92), SMA50 (272.94), and SMA200 (218.72), with the moving averages still in a bullish alignment. After reaching a recent high near 319.01, price has pulled back and is now testing the SMA20 zone.
- Momentum
- Neutral after cooling. RSI14 at 57.07 has moved out of overbought territory. The MACD line at 10.03 is below the signal at 11.61 with a slightly negative histogram at -1.58, reflecting a short-term pause in buying momentum after the pullback.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 11.19 (3.70% of price) reflects normal daily ranges. Price at 302.39 sits near the middle Bollinger Band (301.92) after pulling back from the upper band (320.82), with the lower band at 283.01.
- Volume
- Slightly above average. Latest volume of 3,184,400 is 1.13x the 20-period average (2,810,990), showing continued participation in the pullback.
Assessment
The daily timeframe shows an uptrend that has paused near the SMA20. Price is above all major moving averages, but the pullback from the recent high near 319.01, the cooled RSI at 57.07, and the slightly negative MACD histogram point to short-term consolidation. Holding above SMA20 (301.92) keeps the bullish structure intact, while a break below it would shift the near-term picture.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Strongly bullish. Price at 312.90 is above SMA20 (256.09), SMA50 (206.95), and SMA200 (146.02) in a clear bullish alignment. The 252-week return of +396.16% reflects the sustained multi-year uptrend.
- Momentum
- Bullish with overbought caution. RSI14 at 73.78 is above the 70 overbought threshold. The MACD line at 26.38 is above the signal at 21.93 with a positive histogram at 4.44, confirming bullish momentum on the longer timeframe.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 19.87 (6.35% of price) reflects the wide weekly ranges typical of an energy stock in a strong trend. Price at 312.90 is above the upper Bollinger Band (305.98), with the lower band at 206.20, consistent with an extended move.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 11,892,900 is 75% of the 20-week average (15,857,655), indicating that the recent advance has occurred on lighter participation.
Assessment
The weekly timeframe confirms a strong, established uptrend. Price is above all major moving averages and sits near the top of its 52-week range at 96.80% position. The overbought RSI at 73.78 and price above the upper Bollinger Band suggest the move is extended, and the below-average weekly volume is a mild caution, but the overall structure remains positive.
Key indicators
VLO Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 57.07 | 73.78 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 10.03 / 11.61 / -1.58 | 26.38 / 21.93 / 4.44 |
| ATR (14) | 11.19 (3.70%) | 19.87 (6.35%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 283.01 - 320.82 | 206.20 - 305.98 |
| SMA (20) | 301.92 | 256.09 |
| SMA (50) | 272.94 | 206.95 |
| SMA (200) | 218.72 | 146.02 |
Price structure
VLO Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 302.39 | 312.90 |
| 1-Period Return | -2.05% | +3.84% |
| 5-Period Return | +0.74% | +21.10% |
| 20-Period Return | +7.31% | +36.87% |
| 60-Period Return | +26.52% | +150.99% |
| 252-Period Return | +128.67% | +396.16% |
| 52-Week Low | 128.06 | 128.06 |
| 52-Week High | 319.01 | 319.01 |
| 52-Week Position | 91.30% | 96.80% |
Key levels
VLO Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 319.01 | 319.01 |
| 20-Period Low | 273.75 | 212.87 |
| 60-Period High | 319.01 | 319.01 |
| 60-Period Low | 231.82 | 124.35 |
Scenarios
VLO Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price holds above SMA20 (301.92) and reclaims the recent high near 319.01, resuming the uptrend toward new highs.
Invalidation
A daily close below SMA20 (301.92) followed by a break below SMA50 (272.94).
What to watch
RSI moving back toward the 60-70 zone, the daily MACD histogram turning positive, and volume expanding on up days.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price consolidates between SMA20 (301.92) and the recent high near 319.01 while RSI stays in the 50-65 zone.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 319.01 with expanding volume, or a breakdown below SMA50 (272.94).
What to watch
RSI stabilizing near 55-60, the daily MACD histogram flattening, and Bollinger Bands starting to narrow after the pullback.
Bearish
Trigger
Price closes below SMA20 (301.92) and then SMA50 (272.94), which could open a deeper pullback toward the 20-day low near 273.75.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the recent high near 319.01 and establishes it as new support.
What to watch
Daily RSI moving below 50, the MACD histogram staying negative, and rising volume on down days. The 60-day low near 231.82 is the next major support level.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 5, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 5, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 6, 2026.
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