VLO technical analysis
VLO Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
VLO Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- VLO
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 301.43 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 301.43 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
VLO Technical Analysis Summary
VLO (Valero Energy) is in a strong bullish trend across both daily and weekly timeframes. Price at 301.43 is above SMA20 (262.71), SMA50 (254.89), and SMA200 (208.00), with all major moving averages sloping upward in a bullish alignment. RSI14 at 74.00 on the daily is in overbought territory, while weekly RSI at 69.49 reflects strong but not extreme momentum. The daily MACD is firmly bullish with the line at 11.07 above the signal at 7.07 and a positive histogram at 4.00. The weekly MACD at 19.94 is also above its signal at 19.22 with a positive histogram at 0.73, confirming broad-based momentum support. Price has reached a new 52-week high, trading above both daily and weekly upper Bollinger Bands, which signals extension. Key support at 262.71 (SMA20) and 254.89 (SMA50) on the daily. The overbought RSI reading warrants monitoring for potential consolidation, but the overall trend structure remains bullish across timeframes.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Strongly bullish. Price at 301.43 is above SMA20 (262.71), SMA50 (254.89), and SMA200 (208.00). All moving averages are in bullish alignment with the 20 above the 50 above the 200, confirming a well-established uptrend. Price has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows.
- Momentum
- Bullish with overbought caution. RSI14 at 74.00 is above the 70 overbought threshold, reflecting strong buying pressure but also suggesting the rally may be extended in the short term. MACD at 11.07 is above the signal line at 7.07 with a positive and expanding histogram at 4.00, confirming strong bullish momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 10.27 (3.41% of price) reflects normal daily ranges for an energy stock. Bollinger Bands (225.73 to 299.69) show price at 301.43 trading above the upper band, indicating an extended move. Band width is moderate with slight expansion suggesting volatility is picking up.
- Volume
- Slightly above average. Latest volume of 3,576,781 is 1.07x the 20-period average (3,343,134), showing solid participation in the rally. The volume supports the price move without suggesting climax activity.
Assessment
The daily timeframe shows a strong bullish trend with momentum firmly in favor of buyers. The key caution is RSI at 74.00 in overbought territory and price above the upper Bollinger Band, both suggesting the move may be extended. However, the MACD structure remains healthy and volume supports the advance. A consolidation or minor pullback toward SMA20 (262.71) would be a normal correction within the uptrend.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Strongly bullish. Price at 280.69 is above SMA20 (243.61), SMA50 (197.16), and SMA200 (143.35). All weekly moving averages are in a textbook bullish alignment. The 252-period return of +414.76% reflects the sustained multi-year uptrend.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 69.49 is near the overbought threshold but not yet in extreme territory, indicating strong momentum with room to run. MACD at 19.94 is above the signal at 19.22 with a positive histogram at 0.73, confirming bullish momentum is intact on the weekly timeframe, though the narrowing histogram suggests momentum may be moderating.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 19.21 (6.84% of price) reflects the wide weekly ranges typical of an energy stock in a strong trend. Bollinger Bands (210.23 to 276.98) show price at 280.69 above the upper band, consistent with the strong uptrend and suggesting extension.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 12,312,600 is 73% of the 20-week average (16,792,240), indicating that the weekly advance is occurring on lighter participation. This divergence between price and volume warrants monitoring.
Assessment
The weekly timeframe confirms a strong, established uptrend with bullish momentum. Price above all major moving averages and above the upper Bollinger Band reflects the strength of the trend. The below-average weekly volume is a mild caution, but the overall structure remains positive. The narrowing MACD histogram and near-overbought RSI suggest momentum is mature but not yet reversing.
Key indicators
VLO Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 74.00 | 69.49 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 11.07 / 7.07 / 4.00 | 19.94 / 19.22 / 0.73 |
| ATR (14) | 10.27 (3.41%) | 19.21 (6.84%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 225.73 - 299.69 | 210.23 - 276.98 |
| SMA (20) | 262.71 | 243.61 |
| SMA (50) | 254.89 | 197.16 |
| SMA (200) | 208.00 | 143.35 |
Price structure
VLO Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 301.43 | 280.69 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.91% | +4.83% |
| 5-Period Return | +13.23% | +9.72% |
| 20-Period Return | +16.53% | +40.48% |
| 60-Period Return | +25.28% | +113.87% |
| 252-Period Return | +101.99% | +414.76% |
| 52-Week Low | 128.56 | 128.56 |
| 52-Week High | 301.43 | 287.05 |
| 52-Week Position | 100.00% | 95.99% |
Key levels
VLO Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 301.43 | 287.05 |
| 20-Period Low | 232.72 | 193.66 |
| 60-Period High | 301.43 | 287.05 |
| 60-Period Low | 213.69 | 121.98 |
Scenarios
VLO Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price continues to hold above SMA20 (262.71) and sustains above the 301.43 resistance, confirming the breakout to new highs.
Invalidation
Price breaks below SMA20 (262.71) with volume, or RSI drops below 60 on the daily chart.
What to watch
RSI cooling from overbought levels without a sharp price decline would be a healthy sign. Volume should remain supportive. Weekly MACD histogram expanding would add confidence.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price consolidates between the 262.71 (SMA20) support and the recent high around 301.43, allowing overbought RSI to reset.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 301.43 with expanding volume or a breakdown below 262.71.
What to watch
RSI moving back toward 60-65 on daily. Volume declining during consolidation. Bollinger Bands contracting after the extension.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below SMA20 at 262.71 and then SMA50 at 254.89, potentially forming a bearish divergence on RSI.
Invalidation
Price reclaims 301.43 and establishes it as new support, continuing the uptrend.
What to watch
Daily RSI breaking below 60; MACD histogram turning negative; increasing volume on down days. A close below 262.71 would be the first significant bearish signal.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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