UPS technical analysis
UPS Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
UPS Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- UPS
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 113.67 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 113.67 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
UPS Technical Analysis Summary
UPS shows a constructive daily technical picture with price at 113.67 above its SMA20 (109.15), SMA50 (105.06), and SMA200 (99.29), all in bullish alignment. The daily RSI at 63.68 is neutral and the MACD histogram at 0.31 is positive, supporting the near-term uptrend. However, the weekly chart shows price at 112.47 still below the 200-week SMA of 120.42, indicating the structural downtrend since 2022 has not yet fully reversed. Volume on both timeframes is below average, suggesting reduced participation in the recovery. Key support rests at the 20-day low of 102.85, while resistance sits at the 20-day high of 114.02 and the 52-week high of 118.73. A sustained break above 118.73 would signal a potential trend reversal; a breakdown below 102.85 would suggest the rally has failed.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 113.67 is above SMA20 (109.15), SMA50 (105.06), and SMA200 (99.29). All three SMAs are in a bullish ascending order with the SMA20 above SMA50 and SMA50 above SMA200. Price has been trending higher since the 52-week low near 78.17.
- Momentum
- Positive. RSI14 at 63.68 is in neutral territory, not overbought or oversold, with room for further upside. MACD at 1.94 is above the signal line at 1.63 and the histogram at 0.31 is positive, confirming constructive near-term momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 2.74 (2.41% of price) indicates moderate daily price swings typical for a large-cap industrial stock. Bollinger Bands (104.17 to 114.12) are moderately wide with price near the upper band, reflecting the recent uptrend.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest daily volume of 3,066,722 is 64.1% of the 20-period average (4,787,631), indicating reduced participation in the recent advance.
Assessment
Daily timeframe shows a bullish bias with price in a steady uptrend above all key SMAs. The momentum indicators are positive but not stretched. The below-average volume is a minor concern as it suggests the rally lacks strong conviction. The structure remains constructive as long as price holds above the SMA20 at 109.15.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 112.47 is above SMA20 (103.35) and SMA50 (96.62) but below SMA200 (120.42). The SMA200 capped prices near 120, which aligns with the 52-week high. The weekly trend is recovering but has not yet confirmed a structural reversal from the multi-year downtrend.
- Momentum
- Neutral positive. RSI14 at 61.88 is in neutral territory. MACD at 2.95 is above the signal line at 2.28 with the histogram at 0.67 positive, indicating improving weekly momentum. However, the reading is not exceptionally strong.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 6.16 (5.48% of price) reflects normal weekly ranges. Bollinger Bands (91.37 to 115.33) are relatively wide with price near the upper band, consistent with the recent weekly uptrend.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 21,224,400 is 74.7% of the 20-week average (28,418,375).
Assessment
The weekly timeframe shows improvement with price recovering above the SMA20 and SMA50, but the SMA200 at 120.42 remains a significant resistance level. The 52-week high near 118.73 also serves as resistance. Weekly momentum is improving but not yet confirming a trend reversal. The weekly structure will turn more bullish if price can break and hold above the 200-week SMA.
Key indicators
UPS Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 63.68 | 61.88 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 1.94 / 1.63 / 0.31 | 2.95 / 2.28 / 0.67 |
| ATR (14) | 2.74 (2.41%) | 6.16 (5.48%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 104.17 - 114.12 | 91.37 - 115.33 |
| SMA (20) | 109.15 | 103.35 |
| SMA (50) | 105.06 | 96.62 |
| SMA (200) | 99.29 | 120.42 |
Price structure
UPS Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 113.67 | 112.47 |
| 1-Period Return | +0.69% | +1.64% |
| 5-Period Return | +1.53% | +3.62% |
| 20-Period Return | +5.15% | -2.03% |
| 60-Period Return | +10.02% | +20.59% |
| 252-Period Return | +19.96% | -27.44% |
| 52-Week Low | 78.17 | 78.17 |
| 52-Week High | 118.73 | 118.73 |
| 52-Week Position | 87.5% | 84.6% |
Key levels
UPS Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 114.02 | 114.98 |
| 20-Period Low | 102.85 | 92.50 |
| 60-Period High | 114.02 | 118.73 |
| 60-Period Low | 93.86 | 78.17 |
Scenarios
UPS Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above 118.73 (52-week high) with convincing volume, followed by a sustained hold above the SMA200 on the weekly chart.
Invalidation
Price falls below the 20-day low of 102.85.
What to watch
Sustained close above daily SMA20 (109.15); increasing volume on up days; RSI trending above 60 on daily.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between 102.85 support and 118.73 resistance.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with above-average volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 45 and 65 on daily; volume declining further; price respecting the SMA20 on pullbacks.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below 102.85 (20-day low) and fails to reclaim the SMA20.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA20 (109.15) and holds above it.
What to watch
Sustained closes below SMA50 (105.06); increasing downside volume; RSI dropping below 50.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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