UPS technical analysis
UPS Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 6, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 5, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
UPS Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- UPS
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 5, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 107.70 | August 5, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 107.70 | August 5, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
UPS Technical Analysis Summary
UPS is in a pullback within a longer-term uptrend at the August 5, 2026 cutoff. The daily close of 107.70 is below SMA20 at 111.40 but above SMA50 at 109.24 and SMA200 at 101.72, with the averages still in a bullish order. Daily RSI14 at 46.17 is below neutral and the MACD histogram is negative at -0.87, showing that momentum cooled after the sharp late-July selloff from the July peak near 118. The weekly picture is mixed: the completed weekly close of 104.22 sits just below SMA20 at 104.67, above SMA50 at 98.50, and well below SMA200 at 120.04, so the longer-term downtrend has not yet reversed. Volume is below average on the daily chart at 73.0% of the 20-day average and elevated on the weekly chart at 138.9% of the 20-week average. Key support is at 102.83 (20-day low), with SMA200 at 101.72 and the 60-day low at 93.86 further down. Key resistance is at 111.40 (SMA20) and the 118.42 to 118.73 zone. A close above 111.40 would suggest the pullback is over, while a break below 102.83 would put the 93.86 area in play.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 5, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 107.70 is below SMA20 (111.40) but above SMA50 (109.24) and SMA200 (101.72). The averages remain in a bullish order with SMA20 above SMA50 above SMA200, but the pullback from the July peak near 118 has pushed price under the 20-day average. The stock recovered from a 52-week low near 78.17 and has held above the SMA200 during the recent decline.
- Momentum
- Weak. RSI14 at 46.17 is below the neutral 50 level. MACD line at -0.73 is below the signal line at 0.14, and the histogram at -0.87 is negative, indicating fading near-term momentum after the late-July selloff.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 3.11 (2.89% of price) reflects normal daily swings for a large-cap industrial stock. Bollinger Bands (102.88 to 119.92) are wide, with price trading in the lower middle of the band after the pullback.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest daily volume of 3,929,000 is 73.0% of the 20-period average (5,384,115), indicating reduced participation in the early-August bounce.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a pullback inside a longer-term uptrend. Price has broken below the SMA20 and momentum has turned negative, but the SMA50 at 109.24 and SMA200 at 101.72 still hold. The 102.83 20-day low is the immediate support; a close below it would open the door toward the SMA200 at 101.72 and the 93.86 60-day low. A reclaim of the SMA20 at 111.40 would signal that the pullback is over.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed. The completed weekly close at 104.22 is just below SMA20 (104.67) and above SMA50 (98.50), while SMA200 (120.04) remains overhead. The weekly trend has improved since the 2025 lows but has not confirmed a structural reversal of the multi-year decline.
- Momentum
- Neutral. RSI14 at 49.02 is near the 50 midline. MACD line at 3.18 is above the signal line at 2.89 with a small positive histogram at 0.29, still positive but much weaker than before the late-July drop.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 6.59 (6.32% of price) reflects wider weekly ranges during the selloff. Bollinger Bands (91.71 to 117.63) are wide, with the weekly close near the middle of the range.
- Volume
- Above average. Weekly volume of 38,564,500 is 138.9% of the 20-week average (27,759,770), reflecting the elevated turnover on the late-July down week.
Assessment
The weekly chart shows a sharp corrective week. After the late-July slide, the weekly close of 104.22 sits just below the SMA20. The SMA200 at 120.04 remains the key overhead level and has capped rallies near the 118 to 119 zone. Weekly momentum is neutral, and volume was elevated on the down move. The weekly picture turns more bullish if price reclaims the SMA20 and pushes back toward the SMA200, while a loss of the SMA50 at 98.50 would signal deeper weakness.
Key indicators
UPS Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 46.17 | 49.02 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -0.73 / 0.14 / -0.87 | 3.18 / 2.89 / 0.29 |
| ATR (14) | 3.11 (2.89%) | 6.59 (6.32%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 102.88 - 119.92 | 91.71 - 117.63 |
| SMA (20) | 111.40 | 104.67 |
| SMA (50) | 109.24 | 98.50 |
| SMA (200) | 101.72 | 120.04 |
Price structure
UPS Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 107.70 | 104.22 |
| 1-Period Return | -1.29% | -9.21% |
| 5-Period Return | +3.00% | -3.62% |
| 20-Period Return | -2.04% | +9.02% |
| 60-Period Return | +8.67% | +13.37% |
| 252-Period Return | +35.39% | -28.40% |
| 52-Week Low | 78.17 | 78.17 |
| 52-Week High | 118.73 | 118.73 |
| 52-Week Position | 72.81% | 64.23% |
Key levels
UPS Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 118.42 | 118.42 |
| 20-Period Low | 102.83 | 92.50 |
| 60-Period High | 118.42 | 118.73 |
| 60-Period Low | 93.86 | 78.17 |
Scenarios
UPS Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price reclaims the daily SMA20 at 111.40 and then breaks above the 118.42 recent high with above-average volume, clearing the way toward the 52-week high at 118.73.
Invalidation
Price closes below the 102.83 20-day low.
What to watch
RSI reclaiming 50, the daily MACD histogram turning positive, and volume rising on up days.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between the 102.83 20-day low and the 111.40 to 118.42 resistance zone.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with above-average volume.
What to watch
RSI holding between 40 and 55 and price respecting the SMA50 at 109.24 on pullbacks.
Bearish
Trigger
Price closes below the 102.83 20-day low and fails to reclaim the SMA50 at 109.24.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA20 at 111.40 and holds above it.
What to watch
Sustained closes below the SMA200 at 101.72, increasing downside volume, and a move toward the 93.86 60-day low.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 5, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 5, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 6, 2026.
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