TSLA technical analysis
TSLA Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
TSLA Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- TSLA
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 396.18 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 396.18 | July 14, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
TSLA Technical Analysis Summary
TSLA shows a bearish daily trend with price at 396.18 trading below all key moving averages (SMA20: 400.14, SMA50: 409.93, SMA200: 417.75), reflecting sustained short-term selling pressure. The daily RSI at 47.70 is neutral, and the MACD histogram at -0.04 is near zero, indicating indecisive momentum with no clear directional edge. The weekly chart shows a mixed trend: price at 407.76 is above the SMA20 (394.44) but testing the SMA50 (405.55), while remaining well above the SMA200 (281.98), confirming a long-term uptrend with near-term uncertainty. Key support rests at 364.02 (60-day low) with resistance at 432.86 (20-day high) and 453.40 (60-day high). A breakout above 433 would strengthen the bullish reversal case; a break below 364 would suggest further downside toward the 52-week low of 297.82.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 396.18 is below SMA20 (400.14), SMA50 (409.93), and SMA200 (417.75). All key SMAs are in bearish alignment (SMA20 < SMA50 < SMA200), indicating sustained downward momentum on the daily timeframe. The SMA200 at 417.75 has not been reclaimed since the late June sell-off.
- Momentum
- Neutral with weak bias. RSI14 at 47.70 is below the 50 midline, reflecting slightly bearish momentum but not oversold. MACD at -1.30 is below the signal line at -1.25, with the histogram at -0.04 near zero, indicating minimal directional conviction.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 17.80 (4.49% of price) reflects the typical wide daily range for TSLA. Bollinger Bands (371.93 to 428.35) show price at 396.18 near the middle of the band, suggesting no significant short-term extension.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest daily volume of 23,374,603 is 53.4% of the 20-period average (43,785,875), indicating reduced participation and lack of institutional conviction at current levels.
Assessment
The daily timeframe is bearish with price below all key SMAs and the SMA alignment confirming downward pressure. RSI and MACD are neutral to slightly bearish with no clear momentum catalyst. Volume is notably below average, suggesting the current sell-off lacks aggressive participation but also no buying urgency. A reclaim of the SMA20 at 400.14 would be the first sign of stabilization.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 407.76 is above SMA20 (394.44) and well above SMA200 (281.98), but is testing the SMA50 at 405.55. The SMA20 at 394.44 is below the SMA50 at 405.55, reflecting short-term bearish alignment on the weekly timeframe, though the SMA50 remains well above the SMA200, preserving the long-term golden cross structure.
- Momentum
- Neutral. RSI14 at 51.45 is near the 50 midline, neither overbought nor oversold. MACD at -0.65 is below the signal line at -0.29, with the histogram at -0.36, reflecting a bearish MACD crossover and fading upside momentum after the earlier 2026 rally.
- Volatility
- High. ATR14 at 37.32 (9.15% of price) reflects wide weekly swings typical for TSLA. Bollinger Bands (348.27 to 440.61) are wide, with price near the middle of the range.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 197,967,700 is 72.8% of the 20-week average (271,910,940), indicating reduced participation on the weekly timeframe.
Assessment
The weekly timeframe shows a mixed picture: price is clinging to the SMA50 support while the SMA20 has crossed below the SMA50, a near-term bearish signal. The long-term structure remains constructive with price well above the SMA200, but the weekly momentum has weakened as confirmed by the bearish MACD crossover. The key level to watch is the SMA50 at 405.55, which is acting as a pivot.
Key indicators
TSLA Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 47.70 | 51.45 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -1.30 / -1.25 / -0.04 | -0.65 / -0.29 / -0.36 |
| ATR (14) | 17.80 (4.49%) | 37.32 (9.15%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 371.93 - 428.35 | 348.27 - 440.61 |
| SMA (20) | 400.14 | 394.44 |
| SMA (50) | 409.93 | 405.55 |
| SMA (200) | 417.75 | 281.98 |
Price structure
TSLA Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 396.18 | 407.76 |
| 1-Period Return | +0.36% | +3.64% |
| 5-Period Return | -1.67% | +4.29% |
| 20-Period Return | -2.52% | -0.99% |
| 60-Period Return | +1.87% | +16.51% |
| 252-Period Return | +26.37% | +66.15% |
| 52-Week Low | 297.82 | 297.82 |
| 52-Week High | 498.83 | 498.83 |
| 52-Week Position | 48.93% | 54.69% |
Key levels
TSLA Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 432.86 | 453.40 |
| 20-Period Low | 368.60 | 337.24 |
| 60-Period High | 453.40 | 498.83 |
| 60-Period Low | 364.02 | 273.21 |
Scenarios
TSLA Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above 432.86 (20-day high) with strong volume, followed by a move toward 453.40 (60-day high) and the 52-week high of 498.83.
Invalidation
Price falls below the 60-day low of 364.02.
What to watch
Sustained close above SMA20 (400.14) and MACD line crossing above the signal line on daily.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between 364.02 (60-day low) and 432.86 (20-day high), with the MACD staying near the zero line and RSI fluctuating between 40 and 60.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with above-average volume.
What to watch
Volume continuing to decline; RSI staying near 50; SMA20 and SMA50 converging.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below 364.02 (60-day low) and fails to reclaim SMA50 on weekly.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA20 (400.14) and holds above it.
What to watch
Sustained closes below SMA50 (409.93); weekly MACD histogram becoming more negative; volume increasing on breakdown.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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