TSLA technical analysis
TSLA Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 5, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 4, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
TSLA Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- TSLA
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 4, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 327.35 | August 4, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 327.37 | August 4, 2026 | 0.01% | Verified |
Bottom line
TSLA Technical Analysis Summary
TSLA shows a deeply bearish daily trend with price at 327.35 trading below all key moving averages (SMA20: 355.27, SMA50: 387.05, SMA200: 410.52), near the bottom of its 52-week range. The daily RSI at 39.21 is weak, and the MACD at -23.22 below its signal line confirms negative momentum. The weekly chart is mixed: price at 311.21 is below the SMA20 (385.17) and SMA50 (406.40) but remains above the SMA200 (282.79), keeping the long-term uptrend technically intact. The stock recently matched its 52-week low at 297.38, which is the primary support, while overhead resistance sits at the SMA20 (355.27) and the 20-day high (413.16). A close back above the SMA20 would be the first sign of stabilization; a break below 297.38 would open the path toward the weekly SMA200 at 282.79.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 4, 2026)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 327.35 is below SMA20 (355.27), SMA50 (387.05), and SMA200 (410.52). All key SMAs are in bearish alignment (SMA20 < SMA50 < SMA200), confirming sustained downward momentum after the late-July sell-off. The stock trades near the lower part of its recent range, well below the SMA200.
- Momentum
- Weak with bearish bias. RSI14 at 39.21 is below the 50 midline and approaching oversold territory. MACD at -23.22 is below the signal line at -20.63, with the histogram at -2.59, confirming negative momentum. The early-August bounce has not yet produced a bullish MACD crossover.
- Volatility
- Moderate to elevated. ATR14 at 16.08 (4.91% of price) reflects the wide daily ranges typical for TSLA. Bollinger Bands (276.04 to 434.50) are wide, and price at 327.35 sits below the middle band at 355.27 and closer to the lower band, indicating a stretched move to the downside on the daily chart.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest daily volume of 32,958,176 is 82.5% of the 20-period average (39,961,114), indicating that participation eased during the early-August rebound attempt.
Assessment
The daily timeframe is bearish with price below all key SMAs in full bearish alignment. Momentum is weak but the RSI is not yet oversold, and the bounce off recent lows has come on below-average volume, which suggests the rebound lacks strong conviction. A reclaim of the SMA20 at 355.27 would be the first meaningful sign of stabilization; failure near the recent low would open the path toward the 52-week low at 297.38.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 311.21 is below SMA20 (385.17) and SMA50 (406.40), but remains above SMA200 (282.79). The SMA20 has fallen below the SMA50, a near-term bearish crossover, while the SMA200 still holds below both, preserving the longer-term uptrend structure on the weekly timeframe.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 34.95 is weak and approaching oversold. MACD at -14.04 is below the signal line at -4.65, with the histogram at -9.39 and widening, reflecting sustained downward momentum. There is no sign yet of a momentum turn.
- Volatility
- High. ATR14 at 38.47 (12.36% of price) reflects the very wide weekly swings typical for TSLA. Bollinger Bands (317.94 to 452.40) are extremely wide, and price at 311.21 closed below the lower band, a sign of a sharply oversold condition.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 198,835,800 is 77.1% of the 20-week average (257,862,140), indicating reduced participation during the decline.
Assessment
The weekly timeframe shows a broken short-term structure with price below both the SMA20 and SMA50 and a fresh bearish SMA crossover. The long-term uptrend remains intact only above the SMA200 at 282.79. Price closing below the lower Bollinger band points to a deeply oversold condition that can coincide with a snap-back rally, but the downtrend will not be considered over until the SMA20 is reclaimed.
Key indicators
TSLA Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 39.21 | 34.95 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -23.22 / -20.63 / -2.59 | -14.04 / -4.65 / -9.39 |
| ATR (14) | 16.08 (4.91%) | 38.47 (12.36%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 276.04 - 434.50 | 317.94 - 452.40 |
| SMA (20) | 355.27 | 385.17 |
| SMA (50) | 387.05 | 406.40 |
| SMA (200) | 410.52 | 282.79 |
Price structure
TSLA Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 327.35 | 311.21 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.64% | -0.58% |
| 5-Period Return | +6.48% | -18.04% |
| 20-Period Return | -18.75% | -20.45% |
| 60-Period Return | -20.51% | +5.44% |
| 252-Period Return | +8.17% | +20.43% |
| 52-Week Low | 297.38 | 297.38 |
| 52-Week High | 498.83 | 498.83 |
| 52-Week Position | 14.88% | 6.87% |
Key levels
TSLA Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 413.16 | 453.40 |
| 20-Period Low | 297.38 | 297.38 |
| 60-Period High | 453.40 | 498.83 |
| 60-Period Low | 297.38 | 281.85 |
Scenarios
TSLA Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price closes back above the SMA20 at 355.27 with expanding volume, then breaks the 20-day high at 413.16, opening a move toward the 60-day high at 453.40.
Invalidation
Price falls below the 52-week low at 297.38.
What to watch
MACD line crossing above the signal line on daily, RSI holding above 50, and volume expanding on up days.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between the recent low at 297.38 and the SMA20 at 355.27 while the MACD histogram flattens and RSI moves back toward 50.
Invalidation
A decisive break below 297.38 or a daily close above 355.27.
What to watch
Volume normalizing, RSI hovering in the 35 to 55 zone, and the SMA20 starting to flatten.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 52-week low at 297.38 and fails to hold the weekly SMA200 at 282.79.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA20 at 355.27 on a daily close.
What to watch
Sustained closes below the SMA50 (387.05), the weekly MACD histogram continuing to widen, and the weekly SMA200 at 282.79 coming under pressure.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 4, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 4, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 5, 2026.
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