TM technical analysis
TM Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
TM Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- TM
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 202.84 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 202.84 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
TM Technical Analysis Summary
TM (Toyota Motor Corporation) shows a cautiously constructive technical picture. On the daily chart, price at 202.84 is trading above SMA20 (197.12, +2.90%) and SMA50 (194.56, +4.26%), indicating short-term bullish momentum. The stock remains above SMA200 (187.34, +8.28%), confirming the longer-term uptrend is intact. RSI14 at 56.82 on the daily chart is in neutral-bullish territory, with room for further upside before reaching overbought levels. The daily MACD has generated a bullish crossover with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, and the histogram at 1.42 is positive. On the weekly timeframe, the trend remains bullish with price above all key SMAs. RSI at 54.37 is neutral, suggesting the weekly uptrend is progressing without being overextended. Key resistance lies at the 60-day high of 207.15 and the psychological 210 level. Support rests at SMA20 (197.12) and SMA50 (194.56), with stronger support at SMA200 (187.34).
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 202.84 is above SMA20 (197.12, +2.90%), SMA50 (194.56, +4.26%), and SMA200 (187.34, +8.28%). All three major SMAs are sloping upward, with SMA20 above SMA50 above SMA200 — a textbook bullish alignment. This suggests the uptrend is well-established and broadening.
- Momentum
- Bullish with room to run. RSI14 at 56.82 is above the 50 midline, indicating bullish momentum while remaining well below the 70 overbought threshold. MACD line at 1.85 has crossed above the signal line at 0.43, and the histogram at 1.42 is positive — a solid bullish crossover signal suggesting upward momentum is accelerating.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 4.21 (2.08% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 2%. Bollinger Bands (189.45 to 209.23) show price in the upper half of the band range, consistent with the current uptrend. Band width is moderate with no signs of unusual expansion.
- Volume
- Near average. Latest volume of 342,800 is 94.1% of the 20-period average (364,200), indicating typical participation levels. The uptrend is supported by consistent volume without unusual spikes that might suggest exhaustion.
Assessment
The daily chart paints a healthy bullish picture. Price is in a well-defined uptrend above all major moving averages with a bullish alignment. The RSI is in a constructive range — not overbought, not weakening. The MACD bullish crossover adds conviction to the positive outlook. Volume patterns are normal, suggesting organic buying interest rather than speculative excess. The 52-week position at 67.2% reflects the stock is in the upper half of its annual range but not yet at overbought extremes. A sustained move above the 60-day high of 207.15 would open the path toward the 52-week high of 217.50.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 201.30 is above SMA20 (190.45), SMA50 (185.20), and SMA200 (168.90). All SMAs are trending upward. The weekly chart confirms the structural uptrend that has been building over the past 18 months, with each successive pullback finding support at higher levels.
- Momentum
- Bullish-neutral. RSI14 at 54.37 is above the 50 midline but not yet in strong bullish territory. This reflects a steady, measured uptrend rather than a parabolic move. MACD line at 4.80 is above the signal line at 3.95, and the histogram at 0.85 continues positive but has flattened slightly, suggesting momentum is stable rather than accelerating.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 6.80 (3.38% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges for a large-cap ADR. Bollinger Bands (178.60 to 220.40) are moderately wide, with price in the upper half of the range.
- Volume
- Near average. Weekly volume of 1,685,400 is 96.2% of the 20-week average (1,751,200), indicating consistent participation from institutional and retail investors alike.
Assessment
The weekly chart confirms the structural uptrend. Price is well above all key SMAs with bullish alignment. The RSI at 54.37 reflects a healthy, non-exuberant uptrend — the kind of steady advance that tends to be more sustainable. The MACD remains positive and supportive. Toyota's position as a global auto leader with strong hybrid and EV transition strategy, stable dividends, and exposure to the recovering Japanese economy provides fundamental support for the technical picture. The steady weekly advance with normal volume suggests institutional accumulation rather than speculative froth.
Key indicators
TM Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 56.82 | 54.37 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 1.85 / 0.43 / 1.42 | 4.80 / 3.95 / 0.85 |
| ATR (14) | 4.21 (2.08%) | 6.80 (3.38%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 189.45 - 209.23 | 178.60 - 220.40 |
| SMA (20) | 197.12 | 190.45 |
| SMA (50) | 194.56 | 185.20 |
| SMA (200) | 187.34 | 168.90 |
Price structure
TM Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 202.84 | 201.30 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.15% | +0.72% |
| 5-Period Return | +2.84% | +3.50% |
| 20-Period Return | +5.10% | +6.85% |
| 60-Period Return | +8.45% | +10.20% |
| 252-Period Return | +15.30% | +12.60% |
| 52-Week Low | 167.80 | 167.80 |
| 52-Week High | 217.50 | 217.50 |
| 52-Week Position | 67.20% | 60.45% |
Key levels
TM Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 207.15 | 210.80 |
| 20-Period Low | 194.30 | 185.50 |
| 60-Period High | 212.40 | 217.50 |
| 60-Period Low | 180.60 | 167.80 |
Scenarios
TM Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above the 60-day high at 207.15 with above-average volume, targeting the 52-week high at 217.50 and beyond.
Invalidation
Price falls back below SMA20 (197.12) and breaks below the 20-day low at 194.30.
What to watch
Daily RSI holding above 55; MACD histogram continuing to expand; volume increasing on break attempts; sector and broader market support for auto stocks.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between SMA20 support (197.12) and the 207.15 resistance zone, consolidating recent gains.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 207.15 or below 194.30 with conviction.
What to watch
RSI staying between 50 and 60; MACD histogram fluctuating near current levels; volume remaining near average; no catalyst-driven directional move.
Bearish
Trigger
Price fails to hold above SMA50 (194.56) and breaks below the 20-day low at 194.30, suggesting a deeper correction.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 (197.12) with improving momentum.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 50; MACD histogram turning negative; volume increasing on down days; yen strength or trade tensions weighing on Japanese ADRs.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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