SPCX technical analysis
SPCX Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
SPCX Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- SPCX
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 150.48 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 150.48 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
SPCX Technical Analysis Summary
SPCX (Space Exploration Technologies) shows a mixed technical picture following its recent public listing. On the daily chart, price at 150.48 trades above SMA20 (145.20, +3.64%) but remains below SMA50 (158.30, -4.94%), indicating short-term momentum has improved but the intermediate trend is still under pressure. RSI14 at 54.20 sits above the 50 midline, reflecting mildly bullish momentum without overbought conditions. The daily MACD shows a developing bullish crossover with the MACD line approaching the signal line and the histogram turning positive at 0.08, an early encouraging signal. However, the weekly timeframe tells a different story with price below SMA20 (152.10), SMA50 (161.50), and SMA200 (170.80), confirming the medium-term trend remains bearish. Key resistance lies at 158.77 (60-day high) and SMA50 daily at 158.30. Support rests at the 20-day low of 139.11 and the 60-day low of 133.06. A sustained move above SMA50 (158.30) would be needed to shift the trend from neutral to bullish.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed with short-term improvement. Price at 150.48 is above SMA20 (145.20, +3.64%) but below SMA50 (158.30, -4.94%) and SMA200 (170.80, -11.90%). SMA20 is sloping upward while SMA50 and SMA200 continue to decline, creating a tension between short-term momentum and the longer downtrend. The stock has reclaimed the 20-day moving average, which is a constructive near-term development.
- Momentum
- Mildly bullish. RSI14 at 54.20 is above the 50 midline, indicating modest bullish momentum without overbought conditions. MACD line at -0.15 is approaching a crossover with the signal line at -0.23, and the histogram at 0.08 is positive, suggesting early momentum improvement. This is a developing signal that bears watching for confirmation.
- Volatility
- Moderate to elevated. ATR14 at 4.20 (2.79% of price) reflects typical daily movement for a recently listed high-profile stock. Bollinger Bands (138.50 to 156.20) show price near the upper band, consistent with the recent bounce. Band width is moderate, indicating normal volatility conditions.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 27,401,430 is 65.2% of the 20-period average (42,032,000), indicating reduced participation during the recent rally. The lower volume on up days reduces conviction in the sustainability of the move.
Assessment
The daily chart presents a cautiously constructive picture. SPCX has bounced from its recent lows and reclaimed SMA20, a technically meaningful short-term improvement. The developing MACD crossover adds to the positive narrative. However, the stock remains below SMA50, which acts as near-term resistance, and volume has been lackluster during the rally. The 52-week position at approximately 35% reflects the stock is in the lower portion of its trading range since its direct listing. A breakout above SMA50 (158.30) would be a more convincing signal of trend improvement.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 148.20 is below SMA20 (152.10), SMA50 (161.50), and SMA200 (170.80). All three SMAs are sloping downward, confirming the structural downtrend. The stock has not yet established a sustained base after its initial listing volatility.
- Momentum
- Neutral to weak. RSI14 at 46.80 is below the 50 midline, indicating that momentum favors sellers on the weekly timeframe. MACD line at -0.35 is below the signal line at -0.28, though the histogram at -0.07 is narrowing, suggesting bearish momentum is gradually weakening.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 5.60 (3.78% of price) reflects the higher weekly ranges typical of a recently-public company with significant retail and institutional attention. Bollinger Bands (140.00 to 165.50) are wide, reflecting the price swings since listing.
- Volume
- Near average. Weekly volume of 165,000,000 is 88.5% of the 20-week average (186,500,000), indicating participation levels in line with recent norms.
Assessment
The weekly chart remains bearish in structure with price below all major SMAs. RSI below 50 confirms sellers maintain control on the higher timeframe. The narrowing MACD histogram does suggest that selling pressure may be diminishing, which could set the stage for a trend change if sustained. However, until SPCX can reclaim SMA20 (152.10) on a weekly closing basis and move above SMA50 (161.50), the path of least resistance remains lower. The stock has shown some ability to hold above 140.00, which could develop into a base if it continues to hold on pullbacks.
Key indicators
SPCX Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 54.20 | 46.80 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -0.15 / -0.23 / 0.08 | -0.35 / -0.28 / -0.07 |
| ATR (14) | 4.20 (2.79%) | 5.60 (3.78%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 138.50 - 156.20 | 140.00 - 165.50 |
| SMA (20) | 145.20 | 152.10 |
| SMA (50) | 158.30 | 161.50 |
| SMA (200) | 170.80 | 170.80 |
Price structure
SPCX Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 150.48 | 148.20 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.50% | +0.80% |
| 5-Period Return | +4.20% | +5.10% |
| 20-Period Return | +5.80% | +8.30% |
| 60-Period Return | -2.50% | -5.40% |
| 252-Period Return | -12.60% | -18.20% |
| 52-Week Low | 133.06 | 133.06 |
| 52-Week High | 182.50 | 182.50 |
| 52-Week Position | 35.20% | 32.50% |
Key levels
SPCX Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 158.77 | 165.50 |
| 20-Period Low | 139.11 | 140.00 |
| 60-Period High | 169.36 | 182.50 |
| 60-Period Low | 133.06 | 133.06 |
Scenarios
SPCX Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above SMA50 (158.30) on the daily chart with above-average volume, then sustains above SMA20 (152.10) on the weekly chart.
Invalidation
Price falls back below SMA20 (145.20) and breaks the 20-day low at 139.11.
What to watch
Daily RSI holding above 55; MACD histogram continuing to expand; weekly RSI reclaiming 50; volume increasing on break attempts.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between support at 139.11 and resistance at 158.77 with no clear directional bias and average volume.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 158.77 or below 139.11 with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 40 and 55; MACD histogram fluctuating around zero; volume remaining near current levels.
Bearish
Trigger
Price fails to hold above SMA20 (145.20) and breaks below the 20-day low at 139.11, resuming the downtrend toward the 52-week low at 133.06.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 (145.20) and establishes a higher low above 139.11.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 45; MACD histogram turning negative; weekly MACD line moving further below the signal line; volume increasing on down days.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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