RACE technical analysis
RACE Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 6, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 5, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
RACE Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- RACE
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 5, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 406.80 | August 5, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 406.80 | August 5, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
RACE Technical Analysis Summary
RACE (Ferrari N.V.) has staged a sharp recovery and is back in a bullish posture at the August 5, 2026 cutoff. The daily close of 406.80 sits above SMA20 (380.98), SMA50 (367.16), and SMA200 (361.12) in a bullish alignment, with RSI14 at 66.14 and a positive MACD (line 9.55 above signal 6.86, histogram 2.69). The stock has gained 19.76% over the last 60 sessions and is pressing against the 20-day and 60-day high at 408.91. On the weekly chart, the completed July 27 week closed at 393.87, above all weekly averages, with RSI14 at 58.23 and a bullish MACD crossover, though the weekly moving-average stack is not yet aligned after the earlier drawdown from the 513.18 high. Near-term resistance is 408.91 on the daily and 403.00 on the weekly, with the 52-week high at 498.73 above. Key support is the 20-day low at 356.32, SMA20 at 380.98, and the 308.94 52-week low. A daily close above 408.91 would extend the recovery, while losing the 20-day low would put the bullish case under pressure.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 5, 2026)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 406.80 is above SMA20 (380.98, +6.78%), SMA50 (367.16, +10.80%), and SMA200 (361.12, +12.65%). The averages are stacked in bullish order (SMA20 above SMA50 above SMA200), and price is trading near the top of the recent range, just below the 20-day and 60-day high at 408.91.
- Momentum
- Bullish but approaching overbought. RSI14 at 66.14 is above the 50 midline and below the 70 overbought threshold, reflecting strong but not yet extreme momentum. MACD line at 9.55 is above the signal at 6.86 with a positive histogram of 2.69, confirming a sustained bullish configuration.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 10.01 is 2.46% of price, reflecting normal daily swings. Bollinger Bands (354.09 to 407.87) place the close of 406.80 in the upper portion of the 20-day band, consistent with the recent rally.
- Volume
- Near average. Latest volume of 474,700 is about 1.02x the 20-period average of 467,540, indicating normal participation as the stock approaches resistance rather than an explosive volume breakout.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a strong recovery. Price has reclaimed all three key moving averages, the RSI has moved from oversold levels in mid-July to 66.14, and the MACD is firmly positive. The 60-session return of +19.76% reflects a powerful bounce from the 308.94 low. The stock now sits at 51.56% of its 52-week range and is pressing against the 408.91 swing high. The main question is whether the rally can clear that level on volume. A close above 408.91 would open a path toward the 52-week high at 498.73, while a failure there could lead to a pullback toward SMA20 at 380.98 and the 20-day low at 356.32.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed but improving. The completed weekly close of 393.87 is above SMA20 (352.24, +11.82%), SMA50 (378.42, +4.08%), and SMA200 (367.02, +7.32%), but the averages are not in a clean bullish stack, with SMA20 still below SMA200 and SMA50. That reflects a recovery from a deep drawdown rather than a fully aligned trend.
- Momentum
- Turning positive. RSI14 at 58.23 is above the 50 midline and rising. The MACD line at 2.60 has crossed above the signal at -3.91 with a strongly positive histogram of 6.51, signaling that weekly momentum has shifted in favor of the bulls after a prolonged bearish stretch.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 24.49 is 6.22% of price, reflecting wide weekly ranges during the volatile recovery. Bollinger Bands (308.46 to 396.02) are wide, with the close near the upper band.
- Volume
- Above average. Weekly volume of 4,174,200 is about 1.42x the 20-week average of 2,936,160, showing elevated participation in the latest completed week.
Assessment
The weekly chart has improved meaningfully. Price is above all three weekly averages for the first time in the correction, RSI has recovered to 58.23, and the bullish MACD crossover with a large positive histogram supports the recovery. The 20-week return of +20.06% and the 252-week return of +95.90% show both a strong rebound and a solid longer-term uptrend. However, the average stack is not yet aligned and the 60-week return is still -17.45%, so the structure is a recovery in progress. Resistance sits at the 20-week high of 403.00 and then the 60-week high of 513.18, while support is at the 20-week and 60-week low of 308.94. Note that the weekly series ends with the week of July 27 and does not yet include the early-August daily rally.
Key indicators
RACE Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 66.14 | 58.23 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 9.55 / 6.86 / 2.69 | 2.60 / -3.91 / 6.51 |
| ATR (14) | 10.01 (2.46%) | 24.49 (6.22%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 354.09 - 407.87 | 308.46 - 396.02 |
| SMA (20) | 380.98 | 352.24 |
| SMA (50) | 367.16 | 378.42 |
| SMA (200) | 361.12 | 367.02 |
Price structure
RACE Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 406.80 | 393.87 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.00% | +9.37% |
| 5-Period Return | +5.47% | +6.93% |
| 20-Period Return | +8.47% | +20.06% |
| 60-Period Return | +19.76% | -17.45% |
| 252-Period Return | -6.12% | +95.90% |
| 52-Week Low | 308.94 | 308.94 |
| 52-Week High | 498.73 | 498.73 |
| 52-Week Position | 51.56% | 44.75% |
Key levels
RACE Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 408.91 | 403.00 |
| 20-Period Low | 356.32 | 308.94 |
| 60-Period High | 408.91 | 513.18 |
| 60-Period Low | 319.72 | 308.94 |
Scenarios
RACE Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks and holds above the 20-day and 60-day high at 408.91 with rising volume, targeting the 52-week high at 498.73 and the weekly 60-period high at 513.18.
Invalidation
Price falls back below SMA20 at 380.98 and loses the 20-day low at 356.32, signaling the recovery has stalled.
What to watch
Daily RSI holding above 60; the MACD histogram staying positive; volume expanding on the breakout; weekly price clearing the 20-week high at 403.00.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price consolidates between support at SMA20 (380.98) and the 20-day low (356.32) on the downside and resistance at the 408.91 swing high on the upside.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 408.91 or below 356.32 with expanding volume.
What to watch
Daily RSI oscillating between 55 and 65; the MACD histogram hovering near zero; volume drifting back toward the 20-day average; the weekly close holding above SMA50 at 378.42.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 356.32, opening a retest of SMA50 at 367.16, SMA200 at 361.12, the 60-day low at 319.72, and the 52-week low at 308.94.
Invalidation
Price reclaims SMA20 at 380.98 and forms a higher low above 356.32.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 50; the MACD line crossing below the signal; volume expanding on down days; weekly RSI rolling over from the recovery high.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 5, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 5, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 6, 2026.
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