RACE technical analysis
RACE Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
RACE Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- RACE
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 369.16 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 369.16 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
RACE Technical Analysis Summary
RACE (Ferrari N.V.) shows a bearish-to-neutral technical picture as the stock trades well below its 52-week high of 519.10. On the daily chart, price at 369.16 is below SMA20 (380.42), SMA50 (399.87), and SMA200 (418.35), confirming a bearish alignment across all major moving averages. RSI14 at 42.31 on the daily indicates bearish momentum without oversold conditions, leaving room for further downside. The daily MACD shows the MACD line at -4.82 below the signal line at -3.15 with a negative histogram of -1.67, confirming bearish momentum. The weekly timeframe also shows a bearish structure with price below all key SMAs and RSI at 40.18. Key resistance levels sit at 391.27 (20-day high) and 418.75 (60-day high), while support rests at 356.88 (20-day low) and 312.51 (52-week low). A sustained move above 391.27 would be the first sign of short-term trend improvement.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 369.16 is below SMA20 (380.42, -2.96%), SMA50 (399.87, -7.68%), and SMA200 (418.35, -11.76%). All major moving averages are sloping downward. The stock has been in a consistent downtrend since peaking near 519.10 and has failed to reclaim any of its key SMAs during recent bounces.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 42.31 is below the neutral 50 midline, indicating bearish momentum with no oversold signal yet. MACD line at -4.82 is below the signal line at -3.15, and the histogram at -1.67 is negative. The MACD has been in bearish territory since early June 2026 with no crossover signal in sight.
- Volatility
- Moderate to elevated. ATR14 at 12.85 (3.48% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 3.5%. Bollinger Bands (343.82 to 397.02) are moderately wide with price trading in the lower half of the range, consistent with the ongoing downtrend.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 281,150 is 51.8% of the 20-period average (542,800), indicating reduced participation. The recent selling pressure has occurred on lower-than-average volume, which can suggest a lack of aggressive distribution but also reflects limited buying interest.
Assessment
The daily chart reflects a clear bearish trend with price below all major SMAs, bearish MACD, and RSI below 50. The volume pattern during the decline has been mixed — below average overall, which could hint at a potential slowdown in selling pressure. However, no bullish reversal signals have materialized. The stock has made a series of lower highs since April 2026. A move above 391.27 (20-day high) would be the first constructive sign, while a break below 356.88 (20-day low) would confirm continued weakness.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 369.98 is below SMA20 (413.56), SMA50 (438.92), and SMA200 (423.17). All weekly SMAs are declining, with SMA20 having crossed below SMA50 in a bearish "death cross" pattern. The stock has been in a structural downtrend since the 519.10 high reached in early 2026.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 40.18 is below the 50 midline and trending lower, indicating that bearish momentum is intact. MACD line at -12.46 is well below the signal line at -6.89, and the histogram at -5.57 is deeply negative. The weekly MACD has been in a bearish configuration since March 2026 and shows no signs of bottoming.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 28.94 (7.82% of price) reflects significant weekly ranges, consistent with the ongoing downtrend. Bollinger Bands (334.12 to 493.00) are wide with price trading near the lower band, reflecting persistent selling pressure.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Weekly volume of 3,288,400 is 86.7% of the 20-week average (3,792,500), indicating participation that is somewhat below typical levels for the current sell-off.
Assessment
The weekly timeframe presents a bearish structural picture. The death cross of SMA20 below SMA50 is a meaningful bearish development. RSI at 40 suggests there is room for further downside before reaching oversold territory. The stock is trading near the lower Bollinger Band, which can sometimes attract buyers, but the MACD configuration offers no near-term reprieve. Ferrari's premium valuation multiple compression is a key theme driving the weekly bearish structure. A weekly close above SMA20 (413.56) would be needed to begin shifting the weekly trend.
Key indicators
RACE Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 42.31 | 40.18 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -4.82 / -3.15 / -1.67 | -12.46 / -6.89 / -5.57 |
| ATR (14) | 12.85 (3.48%) | 28.94 (7.82%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 343.82 - 397.02 | 334.12 - 493.00 |
| SMA (20) | 380.42 | 413.56 |
| SMA (50) | 399.87 | 438.92 |
| SMA (200) | 418.35 | 423.17 |
Price structure
RACE Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 369.16 | 369.98 |
| 1-Period Return | -1.02% | -3.78% |
| 5-Period Return | -3.15% | -5.92% |
| 20-Period Return | -7.84% | -12.41% |
| 60-Period Return | -15.63% | -19.87% |
| 252-Period Return | -22.45% | -28.91% |
| 52-Week Low | 312.51 | 312.51 |
| 52-Week High | 519.10 | 519.10 |
| 52-Week Position | 27.42% | 27.56% |
Key levels
RACE Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 391.27 | 435.80 |
| 20-Period Low | 356.88 | 351.15 |
| 60-Period High | 418.75 | 519.10 |
| 60-Period Low | 312.51 | 312.51 |
Scenarios
RACE Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above the 20-day high of 391.27 with above-average volume, followed by a sustained move above SMA20 (380.42).
Invalidation
Price falls below the 20-day low of 356.88 and approaches the 52-week low of 312.51.
What to watch
Daily RSI reclaiming 50; MACD histogram turning less negative; volume increasing on up days; weekly RSI stabilizing above 40.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between 356.88 support and 391.27-418.75 resistance without a decisive breakout in either direction.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 418.75 (60-day high) or below 312.51 (52-week low).
What to watch
RSI fluctuating between 35 and 50; MACD histogram oscillating around zero; volume remaining below average.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 356.88 and continues toward the 52-week low at 312.51, extending the structural downtrend.
Invalidation
Price reclaims SMA20 (380.42) and establishes a higher low above 356.88.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling toward 30; MACD histogram becoming more negative; weekly RSI approaching oversold territory below 30; volume increasing on breakdown days.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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