PHM technical analysis
PHM Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 6, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 5, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
PHM Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- PHM
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 5, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 133.01 | August 5, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 133.01 | August 5, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
PHM Technical Analysis Summary
PHM technical analysis shows a constructive daily chart and a consolidating weekly chart. On the daily timeframe, price at 133.01 sits above SMA20 (127.59), SMA50 (126.00), and SMA200 (123.89), with RSI at 57.59 above the 50 midline and a positive MACD histogram of +0.33. The stock gained 1.01% on the latest completed session and 8.19% over the last 20 sessions, recovering from the mid-July pullback. On the weekly chart, price remains above all three main weekly moving averages with RSI at 51.85 and a positive MACD histogram of +0.71, though the 5-week return of -8.10% reflects the consolidation. The stock trades at 69.47% of its 52-week range on the daily chart and 51.11% on the weekly chart. Key support is at the 20-day low of 121.77, with SMA50 at 126.00 as the next layer. Resistance is at the 20-day high of 136.22 and the 60-day high of 140.09. The technical outlook favors continued recovery while price holds above SMA20; a break below 121.77 would signal a deeper correction.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 5, 2026)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 133.01 is above SMA20 (127.59), SMA50 (126.00), and SMA200 (123.89), with the moving averages stacked in a bullish alignment. The SMA20 sits above SMA50 which sits above SMA200, confirming an uptrend on the daily timeframe.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 57.59 is above the 50 midline, indicating positive momentum. MACD at 1.32 is above the signal line at 0.99, with a positive histogram of +0.33. This bullish MACD configuration supports the current uptrend.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 4.28 (3.21% of price) reflects typical daily swings for a homebuilder stock. Bollinger Bands (120.78 to 134.39) show price trading near the upper band, consistent with the recent advance.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 1,223,200 is 64.3% of the 20-period average (1,903,250), indicating thinner participation on the latest session. Relative volume is calculated from the same series and may differ across market-data providers.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a bullish structure with price above all three main moving averages, a positive MACD configuration, and RSI above 50. After the mid-July dip to the 20-day low of 121.77, price recovered 8.19% over the last 20 sessions and added 1.01% on the latest completed session to close at 133.01. The stock trades at 69.47% of its 52-week range, leaving room before the 52-week high of 143.89. The main caveat is the latest session volume at 64.3% of the 20-period average, which reduces conviction in the advance. A sustained move above the 20-day high at 136.22 would strengthen the short-term uptrend.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Neutral-bullish. Price at 126.47 is above SMA20 (122.25), SMA50 (125.25), and SMA200 (100.41), but SMA20 sits below SMA50, reflecting a consolidation phase after the long-term advance. The SMA200 remains firmly upward, confirming the longer-term uptrend.
- Momentum
- Neutral-bullish. RSI14 at 51.85 is just above the 50 midline, indicating balanced momentum. MACD at 1.37 is above the signal line at 0.66 with a positive histogram of +0.71, showing constructive weekly momentum.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 8.73 (6.90% of price) reflects wide weekly ranges, consistent with the homebuilding sector. Bollinger Bands (108.62 to 135.88) show price in the middle of the band after the recent pullback.
- Volume
- Slightly above average. Weekly volume of 9,616,000 is 105.8% of the 20-week average (9,088,935), showing solid participation during the latest weekly bar.
Assessment
The weekly chart shows a stock consolidating below its 52-week high of 143.89 after a strong multi-year advance (+186.71% over 252 weeks). Price pulled back 8.10% over the last 5 weeks but remains above all three main weekly moving averages. The weekly MACD histogram is positive at +0.71, and RSI at 51.85 is neutral. The 20-week return of +6.56% shows the medium-term trend is still upward. The stock trades near the midpoint of its 52-week range at 51.11%, leaving room in either direction. A weekly close above the 20-week high at 140.09 would signal a resumption of the uptrend.
Key indicators
PHM Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 57.59 | 51.85 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 1.32 / 0.99 / +0.33 | 1.37 / 0.66 / +0.71 |
| ATR (14) | 4.28 (3.21%) | 8.73 (6.90%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 120.78 - 134.39 | 108.62 - 135.88 |
| SMA (20) | 127.59 | 122.25 |
| SMA (50) | 126.00 | 125.25 |
| SMA (200) | 123.89 | 100.41 |
Price structure
PHM Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 133.01 | 126.47 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.01% | -1.77% |
| 5-Period Return | +0.53% | -8.10% |
| 20-Period Return | +8.19% | +6.56% |
| 60-Period Return | +13.39% | +27.46% |
| 252-Period Return | +12.32% | +186.71% |
| 52-Week Low | 108.26 | 108.26 |
| 52-Week High | 143.89 | 143.89 |
| 52-Week Position | 69.47% | 51.11% |
Key levels
PHM Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 136.22 | 140.09 |
| 20-Period Low | 121.77 | 108.26 |
| 60-Period High | 140.09 | 143.89 |
| 60-Period Low | 108.26 | 97.49 |
Scenarios
PHM Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price closes above the 20-day high at 136.22 with a pick-up in volume, and the daily RSI holds above 55, confirming momentum strength.
Invalidation
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 121.77.
What to watch
Sustained close above 136.22; daily RSI holding above 55; MACD histogram staying positive; volume returning above the 20-period average; weekly price reclaiming the 20-week high at 140.09.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between the 20-day low at 121.77 and the 20-day high at 136.22 as volume stays below the 20-period average.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with expanding volume.
What to watch
RSI fluctuating between 45 and 60; daily MACD histogram converging toward zero; volume staying near or below average; price respecting the 20-day range.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 121.77 and then SMA50 at 126.00, pointing toward the 60-day low at 108.26.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the 20-day high at 136.22 and holds above it.
What to watch
Sustained closes below 121.77; daily RSI trending below 45; rising downside volume; weekly MACD histogram turning negative.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 5, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 5, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 6, 2026.
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