PHM technical analysis
PHM Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
PHM Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- PHM
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 124.56 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 124.56 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
PHM Technical Analysis Summary
PHM presents a mixed technical picture with short-term bearish signals against a neutral-to-bullish long-term structure. On the daily chart, price at 124.56 sits below SMA20 (128.99) but above SMA50 (121.73) and SMA200 (123.85), while the MACD has crossed bearish with a negative histogram of -1.46 and RSI at 46.69 sits below the 50 midline. The weekly chart is more constructive with price above SMA200 (99.06), RSI at 50.81, and a positive MACD histogram at +1.22. The stock trades near the midpoint of its 52-week range at 48.6% daily, suggesting it is neither overbought nor oversold on a structural basis. Key support is at the 20-day low of 121.60, followed by SMA50 at 121.73. Resistance is at SMA20 at 128.99 and the 20-day high of 140.09. A close above SMA20 at 128.99 would signal short-term recovery; a break below 121.60 would suggest further downside.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Neutral-bearish. Price at 124.56 is below SMA20 (128.99) but above SMA50 (121.73) and SMA200 (123.85). The SMA20 is sloping downward while SMA50 and SMA200 remain upward, creating a bearish near-term alignment within a neutral-to-bullish medium-term structure.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 46.69 is below the 50 midline, indicating negative momentum. MACD at 0.76 is below the signal line at 2.21, with a negative histogram of -1.46. This bearish MACD crossover suggests weakening short-term momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 3.97 (3.19% of price) reflects typical daily swings for a homebuilder stock. Bollinger Bands (117.90 to 140.09) show price trading near the lower band, suggesting increased downside pressure.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Latest volume of 1,743,485 is 90.2% of the 20-period average (1,931,844), indicating moderate participation without extreme conviction.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a short-term corrective phase with price below SMA20 and bearish MACD crossover. RSI below 50 confirms negative bias. The stock is in the lower portion of its 20-day range (121.60 to 140.09), approaching support at the 20-day low. The 1-day return of +0.65% snapped a multi-day decline, but conviction was moderate. The combination of below-SMA20 price, negative MACD, and sub-50 RSI suggests short-term caution is warranted.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Neutral. Price at 124.75 is near the SMA20 (122.31) and SMA50 (124.91), and well above SMA200 (99.06). The SMA200 is sloping firmly upward, confirming a long-term uptrend, but the price has consolidated over the past 20 weeks with a -10.53% return.
- Momentum
- Neutral-bullish. RSI14 at 50.81 is exactly at the 50 midline, indicating balanced momentum. MACD at 1.23 is above the signal line at 0.01 with a positive histogram of +1.22, showing the weekly MACD has just crossed bullish. This positive weekly MACD crossover is constructive.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 8.71 (6.98% of price) reflects significant weekly ranges, consistent with the homebuilding sector volatility.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 6,774,000 is 77.0% of the 20-week average (8,795,730), showing reduced but still meaningful participation.
Assessment
The weekly chart shows a stock in consolidation after a strong multi-year uptrend (+172.98% over 252 weeks). Price is oscillating around the SMA20 and SMA50, suggesting a period of equilibrium between buyers and sellers. The weekly MACD has issued a bullish crossover (histogram +1.22), signaling potential momentum shift. However, the 1-week return of -6.67% is notable. The 52-week position at 49.1% indicates the stock is at the middle of its yearly range. The stock appears to be building a base after the pullback from the 52-week high of 143.89.
Key indicators
PHM Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 46.69 | 50.81 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 0.76 / 2.21 / -1.46 | 1.23 / 0.01 / +1.22 |
| ATR (14) | 3.97 (3.19%) | 8.71 (6.98%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 117.90 - 140.09 | 107.49 - 137.14 |
| SMA (20) | 128.99 | 122.31 |
| SMA (50) | 121.73 | 124.91 |
| SMA (200) | 123.85 | 99.07 |
Price structure
PHM Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 124.56 | 124.75 |
| 1-Period Return | +0.65% | -6.67% |
| 5-Period Return | -4.13% | +5.59% |
| 20-Period Return | +1.34% | -10.53% |
| 60-Period Return | +3.61% | +20.69% |
| 252-Period Return | +9.87% | +172.98% |
| 52-Week Low | 106.31 | 106.31 |
| 52-Week High | 143.89 | 143.89 |
| 52-Week Position | 48.56% | 49.07% |
Key levels
PHM Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 140.09 | 142.13 |
| 20-Period Low | 121.60 | 108.26 |
| 60-Period High | 140.09 | 143.89 |
| 60-Period Low | 108.26 | 94.24 |
Scenarios
PHM Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above SMA20 at 128.99 with conviction, and the daily MACD histogram turns positive, confirming momentum recovery.
Invalidation
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 121.60.
What to watch
Sustained close above 129.00; daily RSI crossing above 50; MACD histogram turning positive; volume picking up above the 20-period average; continued positive weekly MACD histogram.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between the 20-day low at 121.60 and SMA20 at 128.99 as the daily MACD bearish crossover keeps buyers cautious.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI fluctuating between 40 and 55; daily MACD histogram converging toward zero; volume staying near or below average; price respecting the 20-day range.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 121.60 and then SMA50 at 121.73, confirming a trend reversal toward the 60-day low at 108.26.
Invalidation
Price reclaims SMA20 at 128.99 and holds above it.
What to watch
Sustained closes below 121.60; daily RSI trending below 40; increasing downside volume; weekly MACD histogram turning negative.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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