PBR technical analysis

PBR Technical Analysis

Analysis date

July 15, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

July 14, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

PBR Data Verification

Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.

Symbol
PBR
Market
NYSE
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
July 14, 2026

No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.

SourceLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary)17.03July 14, 2026-Verified
Finviz (independent)17.03July 14, 2026 (previous close)0.00%Verified

Bottom line

PBR Technical Analysis Summary

PBR (Petrobras) presents a mixed technical picture. The daily chart shows price at 17.03 trading below SMA20 (17.50) and SMA50 (18.69), indicating short-term bearish momentum. However, price remains above SMA200 (15.79), confirming the longer-term trend is still technically intact. RSI14 at 45.84 on the daily chart reflects neutral-to-soft momentum without reaching oversold territory. The daily MACD shows the MACD line below the signal line with a negative histogram, consistent with the current bearish short-term bias. The weekly timeframe also shows price below SMA20 (17.85) and SMA50 (18.95) but above SMA200 (15.45), with RSI at 48.20 hovering near the 50 midline. The stock has established a support zone near 15.50-16.00 where the 200-day MA provides a long-term floor, while resistance sits at the 50-day MA around 18.69 followed by the 52-week high at 22.24. A decisive move above 18.69 would signal short-term trend improvement, while a break below 15.79 would challenge the long-term bullish structure.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (July 14, 2026)

Trend
Mixed with bearish short-term bias. Price at 17.03 is below SMA20 (17.50, -2.69%) and SMA50 (18.69, -8.88%) but remains above SMA200 (15.79, +7.85%). This structure shows the stock has lost its short-term upward momentum while maintaining its longer-term trend. SMA20 is sloping downward and recently crossed below SMA50, a bearish signal. SMA200 continues to slope gradually upward, providing a long-term floor.
Momentum
Bearish with neutral-soft RSI. RSI14 at 45.84 is below the 50 midline, indicating bearish momentum bias without reaching oversold conditions. MACD line at -0.35 is below the signal line at -0.22, and the histogram at -0.13 is negative, confirming the bearish momentum divergence. The RSI reading suggests there is room for further downside before reaching oversold territory near 30.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 0.44 (2.58% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 2.6%. Bollinger Bands (15.85 to 18.65) show price near the lower band, consistent with the recent downward move. Band width is moderate, indicating normal volatility conditions for an energy stock.
Volume
Below average. Latest volume of 11,230,000 is 72.1% of the 20-period average (15,570,000), indicating reduced participation. The recent decline lacks strong volume confirmation, which could suggest selling exhaustion rather than aggressive distribution.

Assessment

The daily chart shows a stock in a short-term downtrend that remains within its longer-term uptrend. The bearish MACD and RSI below 50 confirm weak momentum, but price holding above the rising SMA200 is a constructive feature. The 52-week position at 44.3% reflects the stock is in the lower half of its annual range. A sustained move back above SMA20 (17.50) would be the first sign of short-term improvement, while a break below SMA200 (15.79) would be a more serious technical deterioration.

Weekly (July 13, 2026 week)

Trend
Neutral with bearish bias. Price at 16.87 is below SMA20 (17.85) and SMA50 (18.95) but above SMA200 (15.45). The SMA20 is flattening after declining from higher levels, while SMA50 continues to slope downward. SMA200 is trending gradually higher, reflecting the longer-term uptrend that began from the 2020 lows.
Momentum
Neutral, hovering near the 50 midline. RSI14 at 48.20 is just below the 50 level, indicating no clear directional momentum. MACD line at -0.30 is below the signal line at -0.18, and the histogram at -0.12 is negative, suggesting bearish momentum persists at the weekly level but is not accelerating.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 0.65 (3.85% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges for an integrated energy ADR. Bollinger Bands (15.20 to 20.40) are moderately wide, with the lower band near the 200-day SMA level.
Volume
Near average. Weekly volume of 68,400,000 is 91.5% of the 20-week average (74,800,000), indicating typical participation levels for the ADR.

Assessment

The weekly chart reflects a neutral-to-cautious picture. Price below both SMA20 and SMA50 confirms the intermediate-term downtrend, but the rising SMA200 and price above it maintain the longer-term constructive view. The stock has been in a broad range between roughly 15.50 and 22.00 since mid-2025. RSI near 50 offers no strong directional signal. A weekly close above SMA20 (17.85) would be the first step toward trend improvement, followed by SMA50 (18.95). The support zone near 15.50-16.00, anchored by the 200-day SMA, is the key level to watch for trend continuation or breakdown.

Key indicators

PBR Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)45.8448.20
MACD (12, 26, 9)-0.35 / -0.22 / -0.13-0.30 / -0.18 / -0.12
ATR (14)0.44 (2.58%)0.65 (3.85%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)15.85 - 18.6515.20 - 20.40
SMA (20)17.5017.85
SMA (50)18.6918.95
SMA (200)15.7915.45

Price structure

PBR Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price17.0316.87
1-Period Return-0.58%-1.12%
5-Period Return-3.24%-4.80%
20-Period Return-5.18%-7.35%
60-Period Return-8.25%-10.80%
252-Period Return-10.65%-14.20%
52-Week Low11.4311.43
52-Week High22.2422.24
52-Week Position44.30%42.60%

Key levels

PBR Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High18.4520.40
20-Period Low16.5015.80
60-Period High19.8022.24
60-Period Low15.5015.20

Scenarios

PBR Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price breaks above SMA20 (17.50) and reclaims the 50-day SMA (18.69) with above-average volume, suggesting a return to the medium-term uptrend.

Invalidation

Price fails at SMA20 and breaks below the 200-day SMA support zone near 15.79.

What to watch

Daily RSI reclaiming 50; MACD histogram contracting toward zero; weekly RSI sustaining above 50; oil price stability; volume increasing on up days.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price oscillates between the 200-day SMA support (15.79) and SMA20 resistance (17.50) with no clear directional bias, reflecting the current consolidation.

Invalidation

A decisive break above 18.69 or below 15.50 with increasing volume.

What to watch

RSI staying between 40 and 55; MACD fluctuating near zero; volume remaining near or below average; oil and BRL price action for catalysts.

Bearish

Trigger

Price breaks decisively below the 200-day SMA (15.79) and the 60-day low at 15.50, potentially opening a move toward the 52-week low at 11.43.

Invalidation

Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 (17.50), establishing a higher low above 16.00.

What to watch

Daily RSI falling below 40; MACD histogram becoming more negative; weekly MACD crossing further below signal line; volume increasing on down days; oil price weakness or Brazil policy risk.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 13, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 13, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.