ORCL technical analysis
ORCL Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
ORCL Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- ORCL
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 127.94 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| CNBC (independent) | 127.94 | July 14, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
ORCL Technical Analysis Summary
ORCL presents a deeply bearish technical picture with daily RSI in oversold territory (25.66) and price trading below all key SMAs after a sustained sell-off from the 52-week high of 341.82. The stock has fallen into 52-week low territory at 127.83, with the 20-day return of -30.27% and 252-day return of -43.88% reflecting the severity of the decline. On the weekly chart, price has broken below SMA20 (167.57) and SMA50 (201.25) but remains above SMA200 (143.51), suggesting the multi-year trend may not be fully broken. The weekly RSI at 39.06 and negative MACD histogram on both timeframes confirm bearish momentum. Above-average volume on both daily and weekly timeframes supports the bearish structure rather than suggesting exhaustion. Any recovery must first reclaim SMA20 on the daily chart at 154.27 to signal stabilization.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 127.94 is below SMA20 (154.27), SMA50 (181.15), and SMA200 (192.52), indicating a sustained downtrend across all time horizons. All three SMAs are declining with bearish alignment (SMA20 below SMA50 below SMA200). The stock is essentially at the 52-week low of 127.83.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 25.66 is in oversold territory (below 30), reflecting an aggressive sell-off. MACD at -14.86 with signal at -13.50 and a negative histogram of -1.36 indicates continued bearish momentum, though the histogram is not expanding sharply, which can occur during persistent selling.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 8.73 (6.82% of price) reflects above-normal daily ranges for a large-cap stock. Bollinger Bands (116.15 to 192.40) are wide with price hugging the lower band, consistent with a strong downtrend.
- Volume
- Above average. Latest volume of 52,647,895 is 149.0% of the 20-period average (35,323,725), confirming active selling participation rather than a quiet drift lower.
Assessment
The daily chart is in a deeply bearish structure with price at 52-week low territory. All momentum and trend indicators align bearishly. The oversold RSI suggests the pace of decline may be approaching an extreme, but oversold conditions can persist in strong downtrends. A recovery above the lower Bollinger Band (116.15) and a move toward SMA20 (154.27) would be the first signs of stabilization.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bearish with long-term structure weakening. Price at 140.64 is below SMA20 (167.57) and SMA50 (201.25) but above SMA200 (143.51). SMA200 at 143.51 is the last remaining long-term support. The 5-week return of -33.95% reflects an aggressive breakdown from the prior range.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 39.06 is in bearish territory and approaching oversold. MACD at -7.08 with signal at -4.49 and a negative declining histogram of -2.59 shows deteriorating momentum on the weekly timeframe, which is a more significant signal given the longer period.
- Volatility
- Very elevated. ATR14 at 24.18 (17.20% of price) reflects extreme weekly ranges consistent with a capitulation-type sell-off. Bollinger Bands (115.94 to 219.21) are extremely wide, reflecting the massive price swings over the 5-year period.
- Volume
- Above average. Weekly volume of 183,555,500 is 132.8% of the 20-week average (138,249,385), confirming distribution (selling into strength) during the recent weekly period.
Assessment
The weekly chart shows a severe structural breakdown. The 252-week return of +67.76% still reflects the long-term appreciation, but the speed of the 5-week decline (-33.95%) is aggressive. The critical level is SMA200 at 143.51: a weekly close below this level would represent a breakdown of the last major long-term support. The weekly MACD histogram is declining, suggesting the selling pressure has not yet exhausted.
Key indicators
ORCL Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 25.66 | 39.06 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -14.86 / -13.50 / -1.36 | -7.08 / -4.49 / -2.59 |
| ATR (14) | 8.73 (6.82%) | 24.18 (17.20%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 116.15 - 192.40 | 115.94 - 219.21 |
| SMA (20) | 154.27 | 167.57 |
| SMA (50) | 181.15 | 201.25 |
| SMA (200) | 192.52 | 143.51 |
Price structure
ORCL Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 127.94 | 140.64 |
| 1-Period Return | -2.74% | +0.61% |
| 5-Period Return | -9.33% | -33.95% |
| 20-Period Return | -30.27% | -4.36% |
| 60-Period Return | -28.01% | -11.18% |
| 252-Period Return | -43.88% | +67.76% |
| 52-Week Low | 127.83 | 134.10 |
| 52-Week High | 341.82 | 341.82 |
| 52-Week Position | 0.05% | 3.15% |
Key levels
ORCL Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 194.64 | 249.38 |
| 20-Period Low | 127.83 | 134.10 |
| 60-Period High | 249.38 | 341.82 |
| 60-Period Low | 127.83 | 134.10 |
Scenarios
ORCL Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price holds above SMA200 on the weekly chart (143.51) and reclaims the daily SMA20 at 154.27 with above-average volume, followed by a sustained move back above 181.15 (SMA50).
Invalidation
Price breaks below the 52-week low at 127.83 on a weekly closing basis.
What to watch
Daily RSI recovering above 40; MACD histogram turning less negative; volume declining on down days suggesting selling exhaustion; weekly close above SMA200 (143.51).
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price establishes a base between the 52-week low (127.83) and SMA20 on the weekly chart (167.57), oscillating within this range.
Invalidation
A decisive weekly close either below 127.83 or above 167.57 with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI recovering toward 40-50 on the daily chart; lower Bollinger Band (116.15) containing declines; volume declining as the range stabilizes.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 52-week low at 127.83 with expanding volume, targeting the lower Bollinger Band at 116.15 and the weekly lower band at 115.94.
Invalidation
Price reclaims SMA20 (154.27) on the daily chart and holds above it for consecutive sessions.
What to watch
Sustained closes below 127.83; daily RSI remaining below 30 without recovery; weekly MACD histogram continuing to decline; SMA200 on the weekly chart (143.51) being lost.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and CNBC (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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