ORCL technical analysis
ORCL Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 4, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 3, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
ORCL Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- ORCL
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 3, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 141.85 | August 3, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 141.85 | August 3, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
ORCL Technical Analysis Summary
ORCL closed at 141.85 on August 3, 2026 after a 9.22% rebound advance on volume about 26% above its 20-day average. The move off the 52-week low of 114.50 lifted price back above the daily SMA20 at 128.71 and pushed the daily RSI to 53.38 with the MACD histogram turning positive at 3.48. The longer-term structure remains bearish: price still trades below the SMA50 at 163.57 and the SMA200 at 181.17, and the weekly chart shows price below all key moving averages with the weekly RSI at 39.13 and a negative MACD histogram. The stock sits at 12.03% of its 52-week range after a 252-day return of -43.47%. First resistance is the 20-day high at 148.55, then the SMA50 at 163.57. Key support sits at 128.71 (SMA20) and then 114.50 (52-week low). A sustained close above 148.55 would extend the recovery, while a loss of the SMA20 would suggest the rebound has stalled.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 3, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed with a short-term bullish bounce. Price at 141.85 rebounded above SMA20 (128.71) after a sharp sell-off, but remains below SMA50 (163.57) and SMA200 (181.17). The SMA20 has started to flatten and turn up while SMA50 and SMA200 still slope down, leaving the daily chart in a corrective phase. The stock trades at 12.03% of its 52-week range after finding a low at 114.5.
- Momentum
- Improving. RSI14 at 53.38 has recovered from oversold to a neutral zone. MACD at -8.46 is still below zero but has crossed above the signal at -11.94 with a positive histogram of 3.48, signaling a short-term bullish momentum shift after an extended decline.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 8.12 (5.73% of price) reflects above-normal daily ranges for a large-cap stock. Bollinger Bands run from 111.53 to 145.89, and the close at 141.85 is near the upper band, consistent with a strong rebound after a volatile breakdown.
- Volume
- Above average. Latest volume of 49,696,900 is about 127% of the 20-day average (39,276,685), supporting the August 3 rebound advance.
Assessment
The daily chart is in a corrective phase with a strong short-term bounce. Price reclaimed the SMA20 and the MACD histogram turned positive, but the longer-term SMAs remain bearish. The rebound follows a fall to a 52-week low of 114.50 and a 252-day return of -43.47%. A sustained move above the 20-day high at 148.55 would extend the recovery, while a loss of the SMA20 at 128.71 would suggest the bounce has stalled. The first major overhead hurdle is the SMA50 at 163.57.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 129.87 is below SMA20 (163.62), SMA50 (193.99), and SMA200 (144.44), with the longer-term moving averages still pointing down. The 5-week return of -12.26% and a position at 6.76% of the 52-week range reflect a severe breakdown. The week of July 27 posted a 12.94% rebound, but price still trades below all major moving averages.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 39.13 is weak but has lifted off the deeply oversold readings of prior weeks. MACD at -14.00 with signal at -8.44 and a negative histogram of -5.56 shows selling pressure persists on the weekly timeframe.
- Volatility
- Very elevated. ATR14 at 22.75 (17.52% of price) reflects extreme weekly ranges consistent with a capitulation-type decline. Bollinger Bands run from 103.73 to 223.51, reflecting the scale of recent price swings.
- Volume
- Above average. Weekly volume of 173,440,900 is about 121% of the 20-week average (143,240,710), confirming active trading during the breakdown and rebound.
Assessment
The weekly chart remains in a confirmed downtrend with price below all key SMAs. The 252-week return of +54.81% still shows long-term appreciation, but the 60-week return of -24.36% shows the scale of the recent decline. The weekly series ends with the week of July 27 and does not yet include the full August 3 daily rebound. The SMA200 at 144.44 and the SMA20 at 163.62 now act as overhead resistance rather than support. A weekly close back above the SMA20 would be needed to suggest the multi-month downtrend is ending, while a break below the 114.50 low would open further downside toward the weekly lower Bollinger band at 103.73.
Key indicators
ORCL Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 53.38 | 39.13 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -8.46 / -11.94 / 3.48 | -14.00 / -8.44 / -5.56 |
| ATR (14) | 8.12 (5.73%) | 22.75 (17.52%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 111.53 - 145.89 | 103.73 - 223.51 |
| SMA (20) | 128.71 | 163.62 |
| SMA (50) | 163.57 | 193.99 |
| SMA (200) | 181.17 | 144.44 |
Price structure
ORCL Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 141.85 | 129.87 |
| 1-Period Return | +9.22% | +12.94% |
| 5-Period Return | +18.31% | -12.26% |
| 20-Period Return | -0.99% | -15.69% |
| 60-Period Return | -26.64% | -24.36% |
| 252-Period Return | -43.47% | +54.81% |
| 52-Week Low | 114.50 | 114.50 |
| 52-Week High | 341.82 | 341.82 |
| 52-Week Position | 12.03% | 6.76% |
Key levels
ORCL Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 148.55 | 249.38 |
| 20-Period Low | 114.50 | 114.50 |
| 60-Period High | 249.38 | 341.82 |
| 60-Period Low | 114.50 | 114.50 |
Scenarios
ORCL Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price holds above the SMA20 at 128.71 and closes above the 20-day high at 148.55, then builds toward the SMA50 at 163.57 with improving volume.
Invalidation
A weekly close back below the 52-week low at 114.50.
What to watch
Daily RSI holding above 50; the MACD histogram staying positive; a weekly close reclaiming the SMA200 at 144.44 and then the SMA20 at 163.62.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price consolidates between support at 114.50 (20-day and 52-week low) and resistance at 148.55 (20-day high), digesting the sharp decline.
Invalidation
A decisive close beyond either boundary on expanding volume.
What to watch
RSI oscillating between 40 and 60 on the daily chart; volume returning toward the 20-day average; the daily MACD histogram holding positive.
Bearish
Trigger
Price fails at resistance and breaks below the SMA20 at 128.71, then the 114.50 low, targeting the daily lower Bollinger band at 111.53 and the weekly lower band at 103.73.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA20 at 128.71 and holds above it for consecutive sessions.
What to watch
Sustained closes below 114.50; rising downside volume; the daily MACD histogram turning negative; the weekly MACD histogram staying deeply negative.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 3, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 3, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 4, 2026.
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