NVR technical analysis
NVR Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 6, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 5, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
NVR Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- NVR
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 5, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 6365.78 | August 5, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 6365.78 | August 5, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
NVR Technical Analysis Summary
This NVR technical analysis, based on the August 5, 2026 daily cutoff, shows the stock at 6365.78, below the SMA20 (6379.25), the SMA50 (6401.10), and the SMA200 (6920.73). The 252-day return of -19.12% reflects the sustained downtrend in homebuilding equities, though the 60-day return of +6.56% shows the stock has firmed off its lows. Daily RSI14 at 49.45 sits at the 50 midline, and the daily MACD histogram is negative at -14.58, confirming near-term bearish momentum. The weekly picture is mixed with a positive twist: weekly MACD is at -192.13 below its signal line, yet the weekly histogram at 43.44 is positive, pointing to slowing downside momentum. The stock sits in the lower part of its 52-week range at 27.74% on the daily timeframe. Key resistance is at 6832.43 (20-day high) and 6956.48 (60-day high), while support sits at 5919.25 (20-day low) and 5501.01 (60-day low and 52-week low). A close above 6832.43 would signal short-term strength, while a break below 5501.01 would mark a continuation of weakness.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 5, 2026)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 6365.78 is below the SMA20 (6379.25), the SMA50 (6401.10), and the SMA200 (6920.73). The SMA200 sits well above the shorter averages, reflecting the longer-term downtrend. The bearish alignment of price below all key moving averages leaves no nearby trend support on the daily chart.
- Momentum
- Neutral to bearish. RSI14 at 49.45 is essentially at the 50 midline, showing balanced momentum after a recent bounce. MACD at -51.52 is below the signal line at -36.93 with a negative histogram of -14.58, confirming downside momentum in the near term.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 209.32 (3.29% of price) reflects an average daily range of about 3.3%. Bollinger Bands run from 6122.23 to 6636.27, and the close at 6365.78 is just below the middle band at 6379.25.
- Volume
- Above average. Latest volume of 42,100 is about 124% of the 20-period average (34,030), indicating active participation during the recent move higher.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a stock in a longer-term downtrend that is stabilizing near its lows. Price is below all key moving averages, but RSI14 has recovered to the 50 midline and the 60-day return is positive at +6.56%, showing the stock is holding its recent gains. The 20-day low at 5919.25 is the first support level to watch, and a sustained close above the SMA50 at 6401.10 would be the first sign of short-term strength.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bearish to mixed. Price at 6147.05 is below the SMA20 (6386.54), the SMA50 (7120.33), and the SMA200 (6970.41). The SMA200 is below the SMA50, indicating a market that has lost its bullish structure. The 252-week return of +28.46% still shows positive long-term appreciation despite the recent weakness.
- Momentum
- Bearish with improving signals. RSI14 at 40.61 is below the 50 midline but not oversold. MACD at -192.13 is below the signal line at -235.57, but the histogram at 43.44 is positive, suggesting that downside momentum is decelerating on the weekly scale.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 438.80 (7.14% of price) reflects wider weekly ranges, typical of a stock in a corrective phase. Bollinger Bands run from 5728.44 to 7044.63, and the weekly close is below the middle band.
- Volume
- Above average. Weekly volume of 161,600 is about 121% of the 20-week average (133,255), indicating increased participation during the recent decline.
Assessment
The weekly chart shows a stock that has lost its bullish structure but shows early signs of stabilization. Price is below all key SMAs, yet the positive weekly MACD histogram suggests the pace of decline is slowing. The 52-week position at 20.72% places the stock near the bottom of its annual range. A weekly close back above the SMA20 at 6386.54 would be the first step toward a more constructive outlook, while a break below the 52-week low at 5501.01 would confirm continued weakness.
Key indicators
NVR Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 49.45 | 40.61 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -51.52 / -36.93 / -14.58 | -192.13 / -235.57 / 43.44 |
| ATR (14) | 209.32 (3.29%) | 438.80 (7.14%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 6122.23 - 6636.27 | 5728.44 - 7044.63 |
| SMA (20) | 6379.25 | 6386.54 |
| SMA (50) | 6401.10 | 7120.33 |
| SMA (200) | 6920.73 | 6970.41 |
Price structure
NVR Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 6365.78 | 6147.05 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.57% | -4.17% |
| 5-Period Return | -0.25% | -9.98% |
| 20-Period Return | -0.99% | -4.94% |
| 60-Period Return | +6.56% | -13.62% |
| 252-Period Return | -19.12% | +28.46% |
| 52-Week Low | 5501.01 | 5501.01 |
| 52-Week High | 8618.28 | 8618.28 |
| 52-Week Position | 27.74% | 20.72% |
Key levels
NVR Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 6832.43 | 7294.50 |
| 20-Period Low | 5919.25 | 5501.01 |
| 60-Period High | 6956.48 | 8618.28 |
| 60-Period Low | 5501.01 | 5501.01 |
Scenarios
NVR Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price closes above the 20-day high at 6832.43 with above-average volume, followed by a reclaim of the SMA50 at 6401.10.
Invalidation
Price breaks below the 52-week low at 5501.01.
What to watch
Weekly MACD histogram continuing to rise; RSI staying above 50 on the daily chart; volume confirming the advance.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to oscillate between 5919.25 support and 6832.43 resistance.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI oscillating between 40 and 60; volume returning toward average; daily MACD histogram flattening.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 5919.25 and then the 60-day low at 5501.01.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA50 (6401.10) and holds above the SMA20 (6379.25).
What to watch
Sustained closes below the SMA20; daily MACD histogram continuing to widen negatively; increasing downside volume.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 5, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 5, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 6, 2026.
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