NVR technical analysis
NVR Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
NVR Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- NVR
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period. NVR does not pay dividends.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 6378.80 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 6378.80 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
NVR Technical Analysis Summary
NVR (NVR, Inc.) shows a mixed to bear-leaning technical picture across both daily and weekly timeframes. Price at 6378.80 is below the SMA20 (6565.13) and well below the SMA200 (7039.97) on the daily chart, though it remains above the SMA50 (6252.94). The 252-day return of -16.42% reflects the prolonged downtrend in homebuilding stocks amid elevated interest rates. RSI14 at 45.36 on the daily and 46.01 on the weekly are both below the 50 midline, indicating bearish momentum but not extreme oversold conditions. The daily MACD histogram is negative and below the signal line, confirming near-term bearish momentum. However, the weekly MACD histogram at 79.88 is positive and rising, suggesting a potential bullish crossover that could signal a trend change. Key resistance rests at 6956.48 (20-day high) and 7294.50 (60-day high), while support sits at 6257.69 (20-day low) and the 52-week low of 5501.01. A breakout above 6956.48 would suggest short-term bullish reversal; a breakdown below 5501.01 would signal continued weakness.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed to bearish. Price at 6378.80 is below SMA20 (6565.13) and SMA200 (7039.97), but above SMA50 (6252.94). The SMA200 is sloping downward, reflecting the longer-term downtrend. The price has been oscillating between the SMA50 support and SMA20 resistance, showing a lack of clear directional conviction.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 45.36 is below the 50 midline, indicating bearish momentum with no oversold signal. MACD at 42.22 is below the signal line at 90.66 with a negative histogram of -48.45, confirming bearish momentum. The widening negative histogram suggests accelerating downside pressure in the near term.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 175.04 (2.74% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 2.7%. Bollinger Bands (6193.06 to 6937.19) are moderately wide with price near the lower band, reflecting the recent bearish pressure.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 23,208 is 86.4% of the 20-period average (26,850), indicating slightly reduced participation during the recent decline.
Assessment
The daily timeframe reflects a stock in a corrective phase. Price is trapped between SMA50 support and SMA20 resistance with a downward sloping SMA200. RSI below 50 and a negative MACD histogram both confirm bearish momentum. The below-average volume during declines lacks panic selling, but the structure remains tilted to the downside. A reclaim of the SMA20 at 6565.13 would be the first sign of short-term strength.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 6479.39 is essentially at the SMA20 (6481.11), below SMA50 (7216.38) and SMA200 (6935.80). The SMA200 is flattening, which could indicate the long-term trend is transitioning. The 252-week return of +26.25% still shows positive long-term appreciation despite recent weakness.
- Momentum
- Neutral with improving signals. RSI14 at 46.01 is below the 50 midline but not oversold. MACD at -202.39 is below the signal line at -282.27, but the histogram at 79.88 is strongly positive and rising, suggesting a bullish crossover is approaching and downside momentum is decelerating on the weekly scale.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 416.43 (6.43% of price) reflects wider weekly ranges, typical of a stock in a corrective phase with uncertainty. Bollinger Bands (5640.71 to 7321.51) are wide, with the weekly close near the lower-middle range, consistent with the corrective structure.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 97,400 is 77.0% of the 20-week average (126,475), suggesting the decline is occurring on declining participation, which can sometimes precede a trend exhaustion.
Assessment
The weekly chart shows a stock that has lost its bullish structure but shows early signs of potential stabilization. While price is below all key SMAs, the MACD histogram is positive and rising, which is a leading indicator that bearish momentum is fading. The 52-week position at 31.39% indicates the stock is trading in the lower half of its annual range. The flattening SMA200 suggests the long-term trend is being tested. A weekly close above the SMA20 would be the first step toward a more constructive outlook.
Key indicators
NVR Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 45.36 | 46.01 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 42.22 / 90.66 / -48.45 | -202.39 / -282.27 / 79.88 |
| ATR (14) | 175.04 (2.74%) | 416.43 (6.43%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 6193.06 - 6937.19 | 5640.71 - 7321.51 |
| SMA (20) | 6565.13 | 6481.11 |
| SMA (50) | 6252.94 | 7216.38 |
| SMA (200) | 7039.97 | 6935.80 |
Price structure
NVR Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 6378.80 | 6479.39 |
| 1-Period Return | -0.92% | -4.02% |
| 5-Period Return | -4.70% | +4.80% |
| 20-Period Return | +0.06% | -14.53% |
| 60-Period Return | -4.85% | -12.09% |
| 252-Period Return | -16.42% | +26.25% |
| 52-Week Low | 5501.01 | 5501.01 |
| 52-Week High | 8618.28 | 8618.28 |
| 52-Week Position | 28.16% | 31.39% |
Key levels
NVR Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 6956.48 | 7663.17 |
| 20-Period Low | 6257.69 | 5501.01 |
| 60-Period High | 7294.50 | 8618.28 |
| 60-Period Low | 5501.01 | 5501.01 |
Scenarios
NVR Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above the 20-day high at 6956.48 with above-average volume, followed by a reclaim of the SMA20 at 6565.13.
Invalidation
Price breaks below the 52-week low at 5501.01.
What to watch
Weekly MACD histogram continuing to rise; RSI crossing back above 50 on the daily chart.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to oscillate between 6257.69 support and 7294.50 resistance.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI oscillating between 40 and 60; volume remaining below average; MACD histogram flattening.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 6257.69 and then the 60-day low at 5501.01.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA50 (6252.94) and holds above the SMA20 (6565.13).
What to watch
Sustained closes below SMA50; daily MACD histogram continuing to widen negatively; increasing downside volume.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. NVR does not pay dividends, so adjusted and raw prices are identical. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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