NOC technical analysis

NOC Technical Analysis

Analysis date

July 15, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

July 14, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

NOC Data Verification

Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.

Symbol
NOC
Market
NYSE
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
July 14, 2026

No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.

SourceLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary)528.67July 14, 2026-Verified
Finviz (independent)528.67July 14, 2026 (previous close)0.00%Verified

Bottom line

NOC Technical Analysis Summary

NOC (Northrop Grumman) is in a structurally bearish phase across both timeframes. The daily chart shows price at 528.67 marginally above SMA20 (527.45) but below SMA50 (540.52) and far below SMA200 (607.73), creating a bearish moving average alignment. RSI at 46.59 is below the 50 midline, reflecting weak momentum. The weekly chart confirms the downtrend with price at 539.63 well below SMA20 (607.99) and SMA50 (602.91), a bearish RSI at 41.37, and a deeply negative MACD histogram at -10.13. NOC trades in the bottom 17% of its 52-week range, significantly off the high of 774.00. Key resistance sits at SMA50 (540.52) and SMA20 (527.45), while support rests at the 20-period low (493.84) and the 52-week low (493.84). A sustained move above SMA200 at 607.73 would signal a trend reversal; a breakdown below 493.84 would confirm further downside.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (July 14, 2026)

Trend
Bearish-leaning. Price at 528.67 is marginally above SMA20 (527.45) but below SMA50 (540.52) and well below SMA200 (607.73). The SMA200 is sloping down and acting as a significant overhead resistance. The SMA20 and SMA50 form a bearish alignment with SMA20 below SMA50, reflecting persistent short-term weakness.
Momentum
Bearish. RSI14 at 46.59 is below the 50 midline, indicating bearish momentum. MACD at -2.04 is improving relative to the signal line at -5.29 with a positive histogram of 3.25, showing a potential early momentum stabilization from deeply oversold levels. However, the MACD line remains negative, limiting bullish conviction.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 13.84 (2.62% of price) indicates average daily swings within normal bounds for a defense stock. Bollinger Bands (488.55 to 566.36) are moderately wide with price near the lower band, reflecting recent selling pressure.
Volume
Below average. Latest volume of 773,504 is 74.1% of the 20-period average (1,044,295), indicating reduced participation in the latest session.

Assessment

The daily chart is bearish-leaning with price trapped between SMA20 support and SMA50/SMA200 resistance. The positive MACD histogram offers a glimmer of short-term stabilization, but the bearish moving average structure and RSI below 50 suggest the path of least resistance remains downward. Below-average volume confirms a lack of buying conviction. A close above SMA50 at 540.52 would be the first near-term bullish signal; a break below the 20-period low at 493.84 would confirm continued weakness.

Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)

Trend
Bearish. Price at 539.63 is well below SMA20 (607.99) and SMA50 (602.91) but above SMA200 (494.41). The wide gap between price and SMA20 reflects the severity of the recent correction. Both SMA20 and SMA50 are sloping down, confirming a developing downtrend on the weekly timeframe.
Momentum
Strongly bearish. RSI14 at 41.37 is firmly below the 50 midline, confirming bearish momentum. MACD at -26.62 is far below the signal line at -16.49 with a large negative histogram of -10.13, reflecting sustained and intensifying bearish momentum. This is the most cautionary signal across all indicators.
Volatility
Elevated. ATR14 at 34.47 (6.39% of price) reflects wide weekly ranges, consistent with a stock in a significant correction. Bollinger Bands (447.16 to 768.82) are extremely wide, with price in the lower half, confirming the intensity of the selloff.
Volume
Near average. Weekly volume of 3,969,700 is 91.7% of the 20-week average (4,330,130), showing participation roughly in line with normal weekly activity during the decline.

Assessment

The weekly chart is distinctly bearish. The 20-period return of -24.85% quantifies the scale of the correction from the highs. RSI below 40, a deeply negative MACD histogram, and price far below the converging SMA20 and SMA50 paint a textbook bearish picture. The SMA200 at 494.41 is the critical long-term support. Elevated volatility with near-average volume suggests the downtrend is driven by genuine selling rather than panic.

Key indicators

NOC Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)46.5941.37
MACD (12, 26, 9)-2.04 / -5.29 / 3.25-26.62 / -16.49 / -10.13
ATR (14)13.84 (2.62%)34.47 (6.39%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)488.55 - 566.36447.16 - 768.82
SMA (20)527.45607.99
SMA (50)540.52602.91
SMA (200)607.73494.41

Price structure

NOC Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price528.67539.63
1-Period Return-2.43%-1.71%
5-Period Return-3.71%-0.88%
20-Period Return-3.94%-24.85%
60-Period Return-21.07%+16.39%
252-Period Return+4.34%+64.53%
52-Week Low493.84493.84
52-Week High770.61770.61
52-Week Position12.58%16.54%

Key levels

NOC Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High558.80770.61
20-Period Low493.84493.84
60-Period High674.78770.61
60-Period Low493.84458.86

Scenarios

NOC Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price reclaims SMA50 at 540.52 and then breaks above SMA200 at 607.73 with expanding volume, accompanied by weekly RSI recovering above 50 and MACD histogram turning less negative.

Invalidation

Price falls below the 20-period low at 493.84.

What to watch

Sustained close above SMA20 (527.45); daily RSI crossing above 50; MACD histogram continuing to expand positively; volume picking up above the 20-period average.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price oscillates between the 20-period low at 493.84 and SMA50 at 540.52 without breaking either boundary.

Invalidation

A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume.

What to watch

RSI fluctuating between 35 and 50; daily MACD histogram hovering near zero; volume remaining below average; Bollinger Bands contracting.

Bearish

Trigger

Price breaks below the 20-period low at 493.84 and then the 52-week low at 493.84, with weekly RSI falling below 35.

Invalidation

Price reclaims SMA50 at 540.52 and holds above SMA20 (527.45).

What to watch

Sustained closes below SMA20 (527.45); daily RSI trending below 40; increasing downside volume; weekly MACD histogram becoming even more negative.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.