MCHP technical analysis
MCHP Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
MCHP Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- MCHP
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 87.11 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 87.11 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
MCHP Technical Analysis Summary
MCHP shows a mixed daily picture with price at 87.11 trading below both the SMA20 (90.97) and SMA50 (93.30) but well above the SMA200 (73.90), reflecting a short-term pullback within a longer-term uptrend. The RSI at 46.35 is neutral, while the MACD remains below its signal line with a negative histogram, confirming bearish daily momentum. The weekly chart is more constructive: price holds above all major moving averages and RSI at 55.85 sits in neutral territory, supported by a strong 60-week return of +49.81%. The divergence between bearish daily momentum and a bullish weekly trend means a close above the SMA20 at 90.97 would signal renewed bullish momentum, while a break below the 20-day low at 81.60 could trigger further downside.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 87.11 is below SMA20 (90.97) and SMA50 (93.30) but above SMA200 (73.90). The SMA20 and SMA50 are angled slightly lower, reflecting a short-term pullback, while the SMA200 continues its upward slope, confirming the longer-term uptrend. Price sits between short-term resistance at the SMA band and long-term support from the SMA200.
- Momentum
- Slightly bearish. RSI14 at 46.35 is in neutral territory with a mild bearish tilt, neither oversold nor overbought. MACD at -1.88 is below the signal line at -1.39 with a negative histogram of -0.49, indicating bearish momentum that is not yet accelerating sharply.
- Volatility
- Moderate to elevated. ATR14 at 4.94 (5.67% of price) reflects above-average daily swings for a large-cap semiconductor stock. Bollinger Bands (80.28 to 101.66) show price trading in the lower half of the band range, suggesting mild bearish pressure without extreme oversold conditions.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 10,181,353 is 80.1% of the 20-period average (12,712,348), indicating reduced participation during the pullback. Below-average volume on the decline suggests a lack of aggressive distribution but also a lack of buying conviction.
Assessment
The daily chart presents a mixed picture with a bearish short-term bias. Price has pulled back from the recent high near 105.38 and is now testing the area between the SMA200 support at 73.90 and the SMA20 resistance at 90.97. The RSI is neutral, volume is declining, and the MACD histogram is negative but not deeply so. The key question is whether price can reclaim the SMA20 at 90.97 to re-establish a bullish short-term stance, or whether it will continue lower toward the SMA200. A close above 90.97 with expanding volume would be the first bullish signal.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 88.59 is above SMA20 (82.33), SMA50 (71.91), and SMA200 (71.05). All three major moving averages are sloping upward with a healthy bullish alignment (SMA20 above SMA50 above SMA200). Price recently bounced from near the SMA20, confirming its role as dynamic support.
- Momentum
- Neutral to slightly cautious. RSI14 at 55.85 is in neutral territory, providing no extreme signal on either side. MACD at 6.06 is above the zero line but below the signal line at 6.50 with a negative histogram of -0.44, indicating a loss of upside momentum that warrants monitoring but does not yet signal a trend reversal.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 8.75 (9.88% of price) reflects above-average weekly swings, typical for the semiconductor sector. Bollinger Bands (55.98 to 108.67) are wide, and price is trading near the middle of the band, suggesting no extreme pressure.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Weekly volume of 46,048,800 is 89.8% of the 20-week average (51,294,280), showing normal participation levels without unusual accumulation or distribution.
Assessment
The weekly chart remains bullish. Price holds above all major moving averages with a well-aligned uptrend structure. The bounce from the SMA20 at 82.33 is a positive sign, and the 60-week return of +49.81% confirms strong intermediate-term momentum. The weekly MACD histogram turning negative is a cautionary signal, but the MACD line remains well above zero and the RSI is comfortably neutral. The 20-week low at 59.01 and the SMA20 at 82.33 are key support levels that would need to break for the weekly trend to turn bearish.
Key indicators
MCHP Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 46.35 | 55.85 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -1.88 / -1.39 / -0.49 | 6.06 / 6.50 / -0.44 |
| ATR (14) | 4.94 (5.67%) | 8.75 (9.88%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 80.28 - 101.66 | 55.98 - 108.67 |
| SMA (20) | 90.97 | 82.33 |
| SMA (50) | 93.30 | 71.91 |
| SMA (200) | 73.90 | 71.05 |
Price structure
MCHP Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 87.11 | 88.59 |
| 1-Period Return | +3.42% | +4.67% |
| 5-Period Return | +3.52% | +0.28% |
| 20-Period Return | -8.54% | +15.22% |
| 60-Period Return | +13.89% | +49.81% |
| 252-Period Return | +20.00% | +24.73% |
| 52-Week Low | 47.57 | 47.57 |
| 52-Week High | 105.38 | 105.38 |
| 52-Week Position | 68.40% | 70.96% |
Key levels
MCHP Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 104.03 | 105.38 |
| 20-Period Low | 81.60 | 59.01 |
| 60-Period High | 105.38 | 105.38 |
| 60-Period Low | 77.37 | 47.57 |
Scenarios
MCHP Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price reclaims the SMA20 at 90.97 on above-average daily volume, followed by a close above the SMA50 at 93.30.
Invalidation
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 81.60.
What to watch
RSI recovering above 50; MACD histogram turning positive; volume expanding on up days; weekly RSI holding above 50.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between the 20-day low at 81.60 and the SMA20 resistance near 90.97.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with above-average volume.
What to watch
RSI hovering around 40-50; declining ATR suggesting consolidation; volume staying below average.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks and sustains below the 20-day low at 81.60 with increasing volume.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA20 at 90.97 and holds above it.
What to watch
RSI falling below 40; MACD histogram becoming more negative; volume expanding on down days; weekly price closing below SMA20 at 82.33.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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