ERIE technical analysis
ERIE Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 6, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 5, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
ERIE Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- ERIE
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 5, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 250.79 | August 5, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 250.79 | August 5, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
ERIE Technical Analysis Summary
ERIE shows a mixed technical picture with improving daily momentum against a still-bearish weekly structure. On the daily chart, price has rallied above SMA20 and SMA50 with a bullish MACD and a positive rising histogram, while RSI at 58.58 leaves room for further upside. However, price remains below the daily SMA200 at 256.38, and the weekly chart still holds price below SMA50 (268.57) and SMA200 (310.96). The 252-day return of -28.10% reflects the broader downtrend, while the 60-day return of +16.83% shows the recent recovery is real. Price sits at 27.95% of its 52-week range. Key resistance is at 258.05 (20-day high) and 262.70 (60-day high); key support is at 205.64 (20-day low) and 203.47 (52-week low).
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 5, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 250.79 is above SMA20 (233.28) and SMA50 (229.77) but below SMA200 (256.38). The SMA20 sits above SMA50, reflecting a short-term bullish alignment, while the downward-sloping SMA200 remains overhead resistance. The longer-term daily trend is still defined by price below SMA200.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 58.58 is in bullish territory above the 50 midline and below the 70 overbought threshold. MACD at 3.18 is above the signal line at 1.10 with a positive rising histogram of 2.08, indicating building upward momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 11.80 (4.71% of price) reflects an average daily range of about 4.7%. Bollinger Bands (206.50 to 260.05) are wide with price in the upper half, consistent with the recent upward push.
- Volume
- Near average. Latest volume of 299,100 is 96.2% of the 20-period average (310,920), indicating participation slightly below the recent norm.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a continuing recovery attempt with price above SMA20 and SMA50, a bullish MACD setup with a rising histogram, and RSI at 58.58 leaving room for further upside. However, price remains below the downward-sloping SMA200 at 256.38, and volume is near average rather than expanding on the rally. A sustained close above SMA200 and the 60-day high at 262.70 would strengthen the technical outlook.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 242.04 sits above SMA20 (231.83) but below SMA50 (268.57) and SMA200 (310.96). The moving averages remain in bearish alignment with the SMA200 sloping downward well above price, so the weekly trend has improved short term but the larger downtrend is still intact.
- Momentum
- Improving. RSI14 at 48.87 is in neutral territory near the 50 midline. MACD at -9.34 remains below the signal line at -13.46, but the histogram at 4.12 is positive and rising, signaling that the pace of weekly downside momentum is slowing and a bullish crossover may be approaching.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 20.73 (8.56% of price) reflects wide weekly ranges. Bollinger Bands (204.03 to 259.62) are wide, consistent with a volatile corrective phase.
- Volume
- Above average. Latest volume of 1,815,000 is 153.7% of the 20-week average (1,180,960), indicating elevated participation in the latest completed week.
Assessment
The weekly chart remains in a corrective structure with price below SMA50 and SMA200, both sloping downward. The weekly RSI has recovered to the neutral 50 area from oversold levels, and the MACD histogram has turned positive after a prolonged negative stretch, suggesting selling pressure is fading. A confirmed reversal requires price to reclaim the weekly SMA50 at 268.57.
Key indicators
ERIE Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 58.58 | 48.87 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 3.18 / 1.10 / 2.08 | -9.34 / -13.46 / 4.12 |
| ATR (14) | 11.80 (4.71%) | 20.73 (8.56%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 206.50 - 260.05 | 204.03 - 259.62 |
| SMA (20) | 233.28 | 231.83 |
| SMA (50) | 229.77 | 268.57 |
| SMA (200) | 256.38 | 310.96 |
Price structure
ERIE Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 250.79 | 242.04 |
| 1-Period Return | +2.56% | +8.27% |
| 5-Period Return | +0.90% | +1.98% |
| 20-Period Return | -0.23% | -0.84% |
| 60-Period Return | +16.83% | -33.23% |
| 252-Period Return | -28.10% | +45.35% |
| 52-Week Low | 203.47 | 203.47 |
| 52-Week High | 372.77 | 372.77 |
| 52-Week Position | 27.95% | 22.78% |
Key levels
ERIE Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 258.05 | 262.70 |
| 20-Period Low | 205.64 | 203.47 |
| 60-Period High | 262.70 | 372.77 |
| 60-Period Low | 203.47 | 203.47 |
Scenarios
ERIE Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price closes above the daily SMA200 at 256.38, breaks the 60-day high at 262.70, and reclaims the weekly SMA50 at 268.57.
Invalidation
Price falls back below the 20-day low of 205.64 or the 52-week low of 203.47.
What to watch
Sustained closes above the daily SMA200 (256.38); MACD continuing to rise on both timeframes; weekly RSI moving above 60; volume expanding on up days.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between the 20-day low of 205.64 and the 20-day high of 258.05.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary on rising volume.
What to watch
RSI holding between 40 and 60; volume staying near or below average; the daily MACD histogram flattening near zero.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 52-week low at 203.47 and loses the daily SMA20 at 233.28.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the daily SMA200 at 256.38 and holds above it.
What to watch
Sustained closes below SMA20 (233.28); the weekly MACD histogram turning negative again; increasing downside volume.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 5, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 5, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 6, 2026.
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