ERIE technical analysis
ERIE Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 14, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 13, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
ERIE Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- ERIE
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 13, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 247.17 | July 13, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 247.17 | July 13, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
ERIE Technical Analysis Summary
ERIE shows a mixed technical picture with significant divergence between timeframes. On the daily chart, price has rallied above SMA20 and SMA50, the MACD is bullish with a positive rising histogram, and RSI at 58.90 indicates room for further upside. However, the weekly chart remains in a corrective structure with price below SMA50 and SMA200, and the long-term trend is still bearish as shown by the 252-day return of -28.17%. Price is in the bottom 26% of its 52-week range. The daily recovery attempt is encouraging but has not yet reversed the broader downtrend. Key resistance is at the 20-day high of 262.70; key support is at the 20-day low of 209.58.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 13, 2026)
- Trend
- Leaning bullish on the short term but mixed overall. Price at 247.17 is above SMA20 (236.38) and SMA50 (225.02) but below SMA200 (263.28). The SMA20 is above SMA50, indicating a recent bullish crossover. However, price below the SMA200 confirms the longer-term trend is still bearish. The SMA200 is sloping downward, acting as overhead resistance.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 58.90 is in bullish territory, above the 50 midline and below the 70 overbought threshold. MACD at 7.87 is above the signal line at 6.68 with a positive histogram of 1.20 that is rising, indicating accelerating bullish momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 8.00 (3.24% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 3.2%. Bollinger Bands (207.66 to 265.11) are moderately wide with price near the middle, reflecting neutral volatility conditions.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 212,100 is 85.2% of the 20-period average (249,070), indicating slightly reduced participation during the recent recovery.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a short-term recovery attempt with the rally above both SMA20 and SMA50, accompanied by a bullish MACD crossover and rising histogram. The RSI at 58.90 provides room for further upside. However, price remains below the downward-sloping SMA200, and volume is below average, suggesting the recovery lacks strong conviction. A sustained move above the SMA200 at 263.28 would significantly improve the technical outlook.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 251.81 is above SMA20 (235.55) but below SMA50 (275.76) and SMA200 (310.57). The SMA20 is below SMA50 and well below SMA200, with the SMA200 sloping downward, confirming a mature downtrend on the weekly scale.
- Momentum
- Neutral to improving. RSI14 at 51.46 is in neutral territory, right at the 50 midline. MACD at -10.75 is below the signal line at -16.59, but the histogram at 5.84 is positive and rising, indicating that the pace of weekly downside momentum is slowing.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 18.05 (7.17% of price) reflects large weekly ranges, consistent with a high-volatility stock in a corrective phase. Bollinger Bands (202.80 to 268.30) are wide, reflecting significant price swings.
- Volume
- Above average. Latest volume of 1,191,900 is 107.0% of the 20-week average (1,114,285), indicating elevated participation during the recent weekly bar.
Assessment
The weekly chart remains in a bearish structure with price below both the SMA50 and SMA200, both of which are sloping downward. The weekly RSI has recovered to the neutral 50 level from deeply oversold territory, and the MACD histogram is positive for the first time after a prolonged negative period. This suggests the selling pressure may be exhausting, but a confirmed trend reversal requires price to reclaim the SMA50 at 275.76.
Key indicators
ERIE Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 58.90 | 51.46 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 7.87 / 6.68 / 1.20 | -10.75 / -16.59 / 5.84 |
| ATR (14) | 8.00 (3.24%) | 18.05 (7.17%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 207.66 - 265.11 | 202.80 - 268.30 |
| SMA (20) | 236.38 | 235.55 |
| SMA (50) | 225.02 | 275.76 |
| SMA (200) | 263.28 | 310.57 |
Price structure
ERIE Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 247.17 | 251.81 |
| 1-Period Return | -1.84% | -2.31% |
| 5-Period Return | -3.32% | +11.46% |
| 20-Period Return | +9.99% | -6.71% |
| 60-Period Return | +1.66% | -30.96% |
| 252-Period Return | -28.17% | +56.50% |
| 52-Week Low | 203.47 | 203.47 |
| 52-Week High | 372.77 | 372.77 |
| 52-Week Position | 25.81% | 28.55% |
Key levels
ERIE Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 262.70 | 275.00 |
| 20-Period Low | 209.58 | 203.47 |
| 60-Period High | 262.70 | 372.77 |
| 60-Period Low | 203.47 | 203.47 |
Scenarios
ERIE Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above SMA200 resistance at 263.28 on the daily chart and reclaims the weekly SMA50 at 275.76.
Invalidation
Price falls back below the 20-day low of 209.58 or the 60-day low of 203.47.
What to watch
Sustained close above the daily SMA200 (263.28); MACD continuing to rise; weekly RSI moving above 60; volume increasing on up days.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between the 20-day low of 209.58 and the 20-day high of 262.70.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 40 and 60; volume remaining near or below average; MACD histogram oscillating around zero on the daily chart.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 60-day low at 203.47, making a new 52-week low.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the daily SMA50 (225.02) and holds above the SMA20 (236.38).
What to watch
Sustained closes below SMA20 (236.38); weekly MACD histogram turning negative again; increasing downside volume.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (500 completed bars) ending July 13, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 13, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 14, 2026.
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