DOW technical analysis
DOW Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 4, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 3, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
DOW Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- DOW
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 3, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 29.89 | August 3, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 29.89 | August 3, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
DOW Technical Analysis Summary
DOW shows a mixed technical picture with divergence across timeframes. On the daily chart, price at 29.89 has reclaimed the SMA20 (29.80) after a bounce from the 27.55 low, and the MACD histogram is positive after a recent bullish crossover, yet price remains below the SMA50 (31.27) and SMA200 (30.12). RSI at 47.76 is neutral. The weekly chart is still bearish, with price below the 20-week and 200-week averages and a negative MACD histogram. Key support is at 27.55 (20-day low) and 26.80 (60-day low). Key resistance is at 30.12 (SMA200), 31.27 (SMA50) and the 20-day high of 32.73. A sustained close above 31.27 would improve the daily outlook, while a break below 26.80 would confirm continued weakness on the longer timeframe.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 3, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 29.89 is just above the SMA20 (29.80) but below the SMA50 (31.27) and SMA200 (30.12). The SMA20 is below the SMA50, and the SMA200 sits just above price, acting as immediate overhead resistance. The recent bounce has reclaimed the 20-day average but has not cleared the medium-term averages.
- Momentum
- Neutral with early bullish signals. RSI14 at 47.76 is in neutral territory. MACD at -0.27 has crossed above the signal line at -0.45 with a positive histogram of 0.18, indicating a nascent bullish momentum shift after a period of weakness.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 1.19 (3.97% of price) reflects average daily swings. Bollinger Bands (28.25 to 31.34) are relatively narrow, with price near the middle band at 29.80, suggesting recent volatility has compressed.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Latest volume of 9,264,400 is 86.9% of the 20-period average (10,662,740), indicating modest participation in the bounce.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a recovery from the 27.55 low with a +3.97% gain over the last 5 sessions. Price has reclaimed the SMA20 but remains below the SMA50 (31.27) and SMA200 (30.12), which form overhead supply. The MACD bullish crossover with a positive histogram is the most constructive signal, though RSI at 47.76 and below-average volume on the bounce warrant caution. A sustained move above the SMA50 (31.27) would meaningfully improve the daily technical picture.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 30.29 is below the SMA20 (34.47) and SMA200 (38.53) but above the SMA50 (28.87). The downward-sloping SMA200 confirms a longer-term downtrend, and the gap between price and the 20-week average highlights structural weakness.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 46.36 sits below the neutral 50 level. MACD at -0.32 is below the signal line at 0.67 with a negative histogram of -0.99, indicating persistent bearish momentum on the weekly scale.
- Volatility
- High. ATR14 at 3.17 (10.46% of price) reflects wide weekly ranges, consistent with a volatile, declining market.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Weekly volume of 57,425,300 is 94.3% of the 20-week average (60,922,805), showing below-normal participation.
Assessment
The weekly chart confirms the broader bearish context. Price is below both the 20-week and 200-week averages, and the 252-week return of -32.80% reflects a significant multi-year decline. RSI at 46.36 and a negative MACD histogram both point to persistent downside pressure. The 52-week position at 47.56% places price in the lower half of the annual range. The weekly chart shows no confirmation of a trend reversal, though the bounce from the 19.39 52-week low remains a potential basing zone if it holds.
Key indicators
DOW Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 47.76 | 46.36 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -0.27 / -0.45 / 0.18 | -0.32 / 0.67 / -0.99 |
| ATR (14) | 1.19 (3.97%) | 3.17 (10.46%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 28.25 - 31.34 | 26.27 - 42.67 |
| SMA (20) | 29.80 | 34.47 |
| SMA (50) | 31.27 | 28.87 |
| SMA (200) | 30.12 | 38.53 |
Price structure
DOW Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 29.89 | 30.29 |
| 1-Period Return | -1.32% | +1.51% |
| 5-Period Return | +3.97% | +4.30% |
| 20-Period Return | +9.37% | -16.44% |
| 60-Period Return | -21.57% | +11.64% |
| 252-Period Return | +35.05% | -32.80% |
| 52-Week Low | 19.39 | 19.39 |
| 52-Week High | 42.31 | 42.31 |
| 52-Week Position | 45.82% | 47.56% |
Key levels
DOW Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 32.73 | 42.31 |
| 20-Period Low | 27.55 | 26.80 |
| 60-Period High | 39.77 | 42.31 |
| 60-Period Low | 26.80 | 19.39 |
Scenarios
DOW Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price closes above the SMA50 at 31.27 and the SMA200 at 30.12 with rising volume, signaling a daily trend reversal.
Invalidation
Price falls back below the 20-day low of 27.55.
What to watch
Sustained closes above 31.27; MACD histogram staying positive; RSI moving above 55 on pullbacks.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to oscillate between 26.80 support and the 31.27 to 32.73 resistance zone.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary on increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 40 and 55; volume near or below average; MACD histogram flattening toward zero.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 60-day low at 26.80, resuming the longer-term downtrend.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above the SMA200 at 30.12.
What to watch
Sustained closes below SMA20 (29.80); MACD histogram turning negative again; RSI falling below 40.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 3, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 3, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 4, 2026.
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