DOW technical analysis
DOW Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 14, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 13, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
DOW Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- DOW
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 13, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 30.37 | July 13, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 30.37 | July 13, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
DOW Technical Analysis Summary
DOW displays a mixed technical picture with a divergence between timeframes. The daily chart shows a strong bounce from the 26.80 support level with a fresh MACD bullish crossover, while the weekly chart remains in a broader downtrend. Price at 30.37 sits above SMA20 (29.80) and SMA200 (29.50) but below SMA50 (33.79) on the daily timeframe. RSI at 48.09 is neutral with room in either direction. The daily MACD histogram has just turned positive, signaling a potential short-term bullish shift. Key support is at 26.80 (20/60-day low). Resistance is at SMA50 (33.79) and the 20-day high of 34.19. A sustained move above 33.79 would suggest a trend reversal, while a breakdown below 26.80 would confirm the continuation of the long-term downtrend.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 13, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 30.37 is above SMA20 (29.80) and SMA200 (29.50) but below SMA50 (33.79). The SMA20 is below SMA50, indicating the short-term uptrend has not yet overcome the medium-term downtrend. The SMA200 at 29.50 is below price, providing a long-term floor.
- Momentum
- Neutral with early bullish signals. RSI14 at 48.09 is in neutral territory. MACD at -1.42 has crossed above the signal line at -1.75 with a positive histogram of 0.33, indicating a nascent bullish momentum shift after a prolonged bearish phase.
- Volatility
- Moderate-high. ATR14 at 1.22 (4.01% of price) reflects above-average daily swings. Bollinger Bands (25.71 to 33.89) are moderately wide with price near the middle band at 29.80, suggesting the recent volatility spike from the 26.80 low is normalizing.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Latest volume of 12,374,700 is 93.8% of the 20-period average (13,187,635), indicating moderate participation during the bounce.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a sharp recovery from the 26.80 low with a +11.12% gain over the last 5 sessions. Price has reclaimed SMA20 and SMA200 but remains below SMA50, which is a key resistance. The MACD bullish crossover is the most constructive signal, suggesting the downtrend may be losing steam. However, RSI at neutral and below-average volume on the bounce warrant caution. A sustained move above SMA50 (33.79) would significantly improve the technical outlook.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed-bearish. Price at 29.03 is below SMA20 (34.94) and SMA200 (38.62) but above SMA50 (28.33). The SMA200 is sloping downward, confirming a long-term downtrend. The wide gap between SMA20 and SMA200 highlights the structural weakness.
- Momentum
- Bearish. RSI14 at 43.18 is in bearish territory. MACD at 0.13 is below the signal line at 1.53 with a negative histogram of -1.40, indicating ongoing bearish momentum on the weekly scale.
- Volatility
- High. ATR14 at 3.29 (11.34% of price) reflects very wide weekly ranges, typical of a volatile, trendless or declining market.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 53,711,800 is 82.6% of the 20-week average (65,035,750), showing below-normal participation.
Assessment
The weekly chart confirms the longer-term bearish context. Price is below both the 20-week and 200-week SMAs, and the 252-bar return of -37.55% reflects a significant multi-year decline. The RSI at 43.18 and negative MACD histogram both point to persistent bearish momentum. The 52-week position at 42.07% places price in the lower half of its annual range. The weekly chart offers no confirmation of a trend reversal yet, though the bounce from the 19.39 52-week low is a potential basing pattern if it holds.
Key indicators
DOW Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 48.09 | 43.18 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -1.42 / -1.75 / 0.33 | 0.13 / 1.53 / -1.40 |
| ATR (14) | 1.22 (4.01%) | 3.29 (11.34%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 25.71 - 33.89 | 27.28 - 42.61 |
| SMA (20) | 29.80 | 34.94 |
| SMA (50) | 33.79 | 28.33 |
| SMA (200) | 29.50 | 38.62 |
Price structure
DOW Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 30.37 | 29.03 |
| 1-Period Return | +4.62% | +4.76% |
| 5-Period Return | +11.12% | -14.54% |
| 20-Period Return | -9.69% | -2.78% |
| 60-Period Return | -21.01% | +3.71% |
| 252-Period Return | +5.72% | -37.55% |
| 52-Week Low | 19.39 | 19.39 |
| 52-Week High | 42.31 | 42.31 |
| 52-Week Position | 47.91% | 42.07% |
Key levels
DOW Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 34.19 | 42.31 |
| 20-Period Low | 26.80 | 26.80 |
| 60-Period High | 41.06 | 42.31 |
| 60-Period Low | 26.80 | 19.39 |
Scenarios
DOW Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above the SMA50 at 33.79 with above-average volume, confirming a daily trend reversal.
Invalidation
Price falls below the 20-day low of 26.80.
What to watch
Sustained close above 33.79 followed by the MACD histogram remaining positive; RSI breaking above 55 on pullbacks.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to oscillate between 26.80 support and the SMA50 at 33.79 resistance.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 40 and 55; volume remaining near or below average; MACD histogram flattening near zero.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 20-day and 60-day low at 26.80, resuming the long-term downtrend.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA50 (33.79) and holds above it.
What to watch
Sustained closes below SMA20 (29.80); MACD histogram turning negative again; RSI falling below 40.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (500 completed bars) ending July 13, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 13, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 14, 2026.
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