COF technical analysis
COF Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 6, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 5, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
COF Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- COF
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 5, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 221.63 | August 5, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 221.63 | August 5, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
COF Technical Analysis Summary
COF has extended its recovery off the June low near 174 and is holding above all three daily moving averages, closing at 221.63 on August 5, 2026. The daily RSI14 at 67.37 is elevated but not overbought, and the close remains just above the upper Bollinger band, pointing to a strong but extended short-term move. The weekly chart is turning more constructive, with price back above its 50-week average and a positive, rising MACD histogram. A sustained break above the recent high at 223.62 would open the path toward the 52-week high at 257.54, while a loss of the SMA20 and SMA200 confluence near 206 to 208 would signal near-term exhaustion.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 5, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed to improving. Price at 221.63 sits above SMA20 (208.22), SMA50 (199.05), and SMA200 (206.44). The SMA20 has moved above the SMA200, but the SMA50 remains below the SMA200, so the moving-average stack is not yet fully aligned.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 67.37 is elevated but not overbought. The MACD line at 4.98 is above the signal line at 3.71 with a positive histogram of 1.26, confirming and extending upward momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate with an extended close. ATR14 at 5.95 (2.68% of price) reflects average daily moves near 2.7%. Bollinger Bands span 195.64 to 220.80, and the close at 221.63 sits just above the upper band, which can indicate a stretched move prone to a pullback or consolidation.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 3,477,800 is 79.0% of the 20-period average (4,401,520), so the recent advance has not yet been confirmed by stronger participation.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a decisive recovery from the 60-day low of 174.24. Price has climbed back above all three daily moving averages and is testing the 20-day and 60-day high at 223.62. RSI near 67 and a close above the upper Bollinger band point to a strong but extended move, while below-average volume on the latest bar leaves room for a near-term pause.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 209.01 is above SMA20 (193.24) and SMA200 (153.00) and just above SMA50 (208.29), but the SMA20 remains below the SMA50, so the longer-term moving-average stack is still realigning.
- Momentum
- Improving. RSI14 at 55.88 is neutral. The MACD line at 0.25 is above the signal line at -2.70 with a positive and rising histogram of 2.95, showing that prior bearish momentum has faded.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 12.90 (6.17% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges for a mid-to-large cap financial stock. Bollinger Bands span 172.75 to 213.73, with price trading in the upper half of the band.
- Volume
- Near average. Latest weekly volume of 22,329,200 is 99.6% of the 20-week average (22,416,145), indicating normal participation.
Assessment
The weekly chart is turning constructive. Price has reclaimed the 20-week and 50-week averages, and the weekly MACD histogram has turned positive and is expanding. A weekly close above the 20-week high at 213.32 would confirm the improvement, with the 60-week high at 257.54 as the larger reference.
Key indicators
COF Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 67.37 | 55.88 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 4.98 / 3.71 / 1.26 | 0.25 / -2.70 / 2.95 |
| ATR (14) | 5.95 (2.68%) | 12.90 (6.17%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 195.64 - 220.80 | 172.75 - 213.73 |
| SMA (20) | 208.22 | 193.24 |
| SMA (50) | 199.05 | 208.29 |
| SMA (200) | 206.44 | 153.00 |
Price structure
COF Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 221.63 | 209.01 |
| 1-Period Return | -0.13% | +3.04% |
| 5-Period Return | +6.19% | +2.46% |
| 20-Period Return | +15.46% | +16.75% |
| 60-Period Return | +17.47% | +7.04% |
| 252-Period Return | +6.69% | +36.57% |
| 52-Week Low | 174.23 | 174.23 |
| 52-Week High | 257.54 | 257.54 |
| 52-Week Position | 56.89% | 41.74% |
Key levels
COF Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 223.62 | 213.32 |
| 20-Period Low | 193.03 | 174.23 |
| 60-Period High | 223.62 | 257.54 |
| 60-Period Low | 174.24 | 174.23 |
Scenarios
COF Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks and sustains above the recent high at 223.62 with above-average volume.
Invalidation
Price closes back below SMA20 at 208.22.
What to watch
Daily MACD histogram continuing to expand, RSI holding above 60, and volume rising toward or above the 20-day average.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between the 20-day low at 193.03 and the recent high at 223.62.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with expanding volume.
What to watch
RSI drifting between 40 and 60 on the daily chart and volume staying below average.
Bearish
Trigger
Price fails near the recent high of 223.62 and breaks below the 20-day low at 193.03.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds SMA20 at 208.22.
What to watch
Daily MACD histogram turning negative, RSI dropping below 50, and downside volume expanding.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 5, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 5, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 6, 2026.
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