CF technical analysis
CF Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 14, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 13, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
CF Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- CF
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 13, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 120.92 | July 13, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Nasdaq.com API (independent) | 120.92 | July 13, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
CF Technical Analysis Summary
CF displays a bullish technical picture on the daily timeframe with price above all key SMAs (SMA20 at 109.01, SMA50 at 115.00, SMA200 at 100.15) and RSI at 65.37 in bullish territory. The weekly chart shows a mixed but leaning-bullish view with price marginally below SMA20 at 117.09 but well above SMA50 at 97.54 and SMA200 at 83.12, though the weekly MACD histogram is negative at -2.02, signaling weakening momentum. The stock sits in the upper half of its 52-week range at 69.3% daily, reflecting a broadly positive trend. Key support rests at the 20-day low of 100.70 and SMA50 at 115.00. Resistance is at the 20-day high of 121.42, followed by the 60-day high of 129.90. A sustained close above 121.42 would confirm bullish momentum; a break below SMA50 at 115.00 would weaken the near-term setup.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 13, 2026)
- Trend
- Bullish-leaning. Price at 120.92 is above SMA20 (109.01), SMA50 (115.00), and SMA200 (100.15). All SMAs are sloping upward, with SMA200 providing a solid long-term floor. The SMA20 crossed above SMA50 and SMA200 in the past quarter, confirming the bullish alignment. Price is close to testing the 20-day high, reflecting strong near-term momentum.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 65.37 is above the 50 midline, indicating bullish momentum without being overbought (below 70). MACD at 1.13 is above the signal line at -0.82 with a positive histogram of 1.95, a strongly bullish MACD configuration that confirms accelerating upside momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 4.12 (3.41% of price) reflects normal daily swings for a mid-cap fertilizer stock. Bollinger Bands (98.42 to 119.60) show price slightly above the upper band at 119.60, indicating potential extension but not extreme overextension given the large bandwidth.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Latest volume of 2,525,800 is 88.4% of the 20-period average (2,858,570), indicating moderate participation during the recent rally.
Assessment
The daily chart presents a clearly bullish configuration with price above all major SMAs and strong momentum readings. RSI at 65.37 suggests bullish momentum without crowding into overbought territory. The positive MACD crossover with rising histogram confirms accelerating upside momentum. Price testing above the upper Bollinger Band at 119.60 indicates strong buying pressure. The key level to watch is the 20-day high at 121.42; a clean break above this level would open the path toward the 60-day high at 129.90.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed but leaning bullish. Price at 116.92 is marginally below SMA20 (117.09) but comfortably above SMA50 (97.54) and SMA200 (83.12). The SMA20 being nearly flat at current levels reflects a recent pullback from the highs. SMA200 is sloping upward, confirming the long-term uptrend remains intact. The SMA50 at 97.54 has served as a reliable support zone.
- Momentum
- Neutral-bearish. RSI14 at 55.84 is above the 50 midline but not convincingly bullish. MACD at 3.60 is below the signal line at 5.62 with a negative histogram of -2.02, showing bearish momentum divergence on the weekly timeframe. This weekly MACD configuration contrasts with the bullish daily MACD, warranting caution.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 10.44 (8.93% of price) reflects significant weekly ranges, typical for a commodity-sensitive fertilizer stock.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 14,077,000 is 71.9% of the 20-week average (19,579,165), showing reduced participation during the recent consolidation.
Assessment
The weekly chart offers a cautiously bullish structural view with price above the key SMA50 and SMA200, but momentum indicators are mixed. RSI at 55.84 shows mild bullish bias while the negative MACD histogram warns of deteriorating momentum. The 20-week SMA at 117.09 is the immediate resistance; reclaiming it on a weekly closing basis would re-establish near-term bullish momentum. The broader trend remains supported by SMA50 at 97.54 and SMA200 at 83.12. The 52-week position at 63.3% reflects a stock still in the upper half of its yearly range despite the recent pullback from the 141.38 high.
Key indicators
CF Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 65.37 | 55.84 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 1.13 / -0.82 / 1.95 | 3.60 / 5.62 / -2.02 |
| ATR (14) | 4.12 (3.41%) | 10.44 (8.93%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 98.42 - 119.60 | 98.85 - 135.33 |
| SMA (20) | 109.01 | 117.09 |
| SMA (50) | 115.00 | 97.54 |
| SMA (200) | 100.15 | 83.12 |
Price structure
CF Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 120.92 | 116.92 |
| 1-Period Return | +3.42% | +5.77% |
| 5-Period Return | +6.82% | +3.02% |
| 20-Period Return | +13.48% | +20.80% |
| 60-Period Return | +0.50% | +36.05% |
| 252-Period Return | +28.98% | +183.04% |
| 52-Week Low | 74.71 | 74.71 |
| 52-Week High | 141.38 | 141.38 |
| 52-Week Position | 69.31% | 63.31% |
Key levels
CF Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 121.42 | 141.38 |
| 20-Period Low | 100.70 | 93.26 |
| 60-Period High | 129.90 | 141.38 |
| 60-Period Low | 100.70 | 74.71 |
Scenarios
CF Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks and sustains above the 20-day high at 121.42 with rising volume, followed by reclaiming the weekly SMA20 at 117.09 on a weekly closing basis.
Invalidation
Price fails to hold above SMA50 at 115.00 and breaks below the 20-day low at 100.70.
What to watch
Sustained close above 121.42 (20-day high); daily RSI trending toward 70; MACD histogram continuing to expand positively; volume picking up above the 20-period average.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between SMA50 support at 115.00 and the 20-day high at 121.42.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI fluctuating between 50 and 70; daily MACD converging toward the signal line; volume staying average; Bollinger Bands narrowing.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below SMA50 at 115.00 and subsequently the 20-day low at 100.70, with weekly MACD histogram deepening further negative.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the 20-day high at 121.42 with strong volume.
What to watch
Sustained closes below SMA50 (115.00); daily RSI trending below 50; MACD histogram turning negative; expansion of Bollinger Bands lower band.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Nasdaq.com API (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (500 completed bars) ending July 13, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 13, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 14, 2026.
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