ASX technical analysis
ASX Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
ASX Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- ASX
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial Modeling Prep (primary) | 40.36 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Yahoo Finance (independent) | 40.36 | July 14, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
ASX Technical Analysis Summary
ASX (ASE Technology Holding) is in a powerful long-term uptrend driven by the broader semiconductor cycle and AI-related demand. On the daily chart, price at $40.36 has pulled back from the 20-period high of $44.67 and now sits slightly below SMA20 ($40.83, -1.15%), indicating short-term weakness. However, price remains well above SMA50 ($37.35, +8.06%) and SMA200 ($23.25, +73.59%), confirming the medium and long-term trends remain firmly bullish. RSI14 at 52.07 is neutral — not overbought nor oversold — leaving room for either direction. The daily MACD histogram is positive at 0.55 with the MACD line (-1.59) above the signal line (-2.15), suggesting the recent pullback may be losing momentum. On the weekly timeframe, the structural uptrend is unmistakable: price at $40.36 trades well above all three major SMAs (SMA20 $32.89, SMA50 $22.34, SMA200 $11.78), and RSI14 at 71.88 reflects strong bullish momentum but is approaching overbought levels. The weekly MACD histogram remains negative (-1.23), suggesting the pace of the uptrend is decelerating. The stock has rallied approximately 291% over the past year and sits at the 87.78th percentile of its 52-week range, making it technically extended on a long-term basis despite the recent pullback.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed but leaning bullish. Price at $40.36 is slightly below SMA20 ($40.83, -1.15%), indicating a short-term pullback from the recent high of $44.67. However, price remains above SMA50 ($37.35, +8.06%) and SMA200 ($23.25, +73.59%). The SMA20 remains above SMA50 which is above SMA200 — a bullish alignment overall. The short-term pullback below SMA20 is a cautionary signal that momentum has stalled temporarily.
- Momentum
- Neutral with early bullish crossover. RSI14 at 52.07 sits right at the 50 midline, indicating no clear directional conviction. MACD line at -1.59 is below zero but has crossed above the signal line at -2.15, and the histogram at 0.55 is positive. This bullish crossover from below zero is a potentially constructive early signal that the pullback may be running out of steam.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at $2.98 (7.38% of price) reflects above-average daily swings for a large-cap semiconductor stock. Bollinger Bands (36.67 to 45.00) are fairly wide, with price currently in the middle-lower portion after retreating from the upper band. The wide bands are consistent with the stock's high-beta nature.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 7,301,454 is 58.1% of the 20-day average (12,560,413), indicating reduced participation during the pullback. The declining volume on the pullback is not a strongly bearish signal — it suggests sellers are not aggressively pressing, but buyers are also not stepping in with conviction.
Assessment
The daily chart presents a mixed picture. The stock is in a well-established structural uptrend above SMA50 and SMA200, but the pullback below SMA20 and the neutral RSI suggest short-term uncertainty. The bullish MACD crossover with a positive histogram is encouraging and hints the pullback could be nearing an end. However, the below-average volume on the pullback and the elevated 52-week position (87.78%) suggest the stock is technically extended. A reclaim of SMA20 ($40.83) and the 20-period high ($44.67) would be needed to re-establish short-term bullish momentum.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Strongly bullish. Price at $40.36 is well above SMA20 ($32.89), SMA50 ($22.34), and SMA200 ($11.78). All three SMAs are in a golden alignment with steep upward slopes, confirming a powerful multi-year uptrend. The stock has rallied from under $10 to over $40 in the past two years.
- Momentum
- Bullish but potentially peaking. RSI14 at 71.88 is above 70, approaching overbought territory for the first time during this leg of the uptrend. This suggests strong bullish momentum but also implies the stock may be due for a consolidation or correction. MACD line at -9.37 is below the signal line at -8.14, and the histogram at -1.23 is negative, indicating that the rate of momentum gain has been decelerating despite the overall bullish trend.
- Volatility
- High. ATR14 at $4.56 (11.30% of weekly price) reflects the stock's high-beta nature and the dramatic price appreciation over the past year. Bollinger Bands (18.35 to 47.43) are very wide, with price trading near the upper band — consistent with an extended uptrend.
- Volume
- Below average but not concerning. Weekly volume of 7,301,454 is below the 20-week average, though this is partly attributable to the weekly aggregation and holiday effects. Volume patterns over the longer term have supported the uptrend.
Assessment
The weekly chart confirms a powerful and persistent uptrend. The golden alignment of all three major SMAs with steep positive slopes is as bullish as it gets for structural trend analysis. Price has appreciated nearly 500% over five years and about 293% in the past year alone. However, the weekly RSI at 71.88 entering overbought territory and the negative MACD histogram both suggest the uptrend may be maturing. The stock has risen from $9.30 (52-week low) to $45.52 (52-week high) — a nearly 390% range — meaning it is extremely extended from a long-term perspective. While the trend remains bullish, the risk of a meaningful correction increases as RSI remains above 70 and the MACD continues to diverge negatively.
Key indicators
ASX Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 52.07 | 71.88 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -1.59 / -2.15 / 0.55 | -9.37 / -8.14 / -1.23 |
| ATR (14) | 2.98 (7.38%) | 4.56 (11.30%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 36.67 - 45.00 | 18.35 - 47.43 |
| SMA (20) | 40.83 | 32.89 |
| SMA (50) | 37.35 | 22.34 |
| SMA (200) | 23.25 | 11.78 |
Price structure
ASX Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 40.36 | 40.36 |
| 1-Period Return | -0.49% | -0.49% |
| 5-Period Return | +1.79% | +0.51% |
| 20-Period Return | +6.94% | +93.02% |
| 60-Period Return | +47.70% | +350.23% |
| 252-Period Return | +291.60% | +492.87% |
| 52-Week Low | 9.30 | 9.30 |
| 52-Week High | 45.52 | 45.52 |
| 52-Week Position | 87.78% | 93.02% |
Key levels
ASX Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 44.67 | 42.66 |
| 20-Period Low | 36.47 | 21.10 |
| 60-Period High | 44.67 | 42.66 |
| 60-Period Low | 28.31 | 9.27 |
Scenarios
ASX Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price reclaims SMA20 ($40.83) on above-average volume and breaks above the 20-period high ($44.67), extending the established structural uptrend.
Invalidation
Price falls below SMA50 ($37.35) on the daily chart and breaks the 20-period low ($36.47).
What to watch
Daily RSI climbing above 55 to confirm renewed momentum; MACD histogram continuing to expand above zero; weekly RSI not exceeding 75 to avoid extreme overbought conditions; volume increasing on break attempts.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between SMA20 ($40.83) and the 20-period low ($36.47) as the stock consolidates after its extended rally, with weekly momentum indicators plateauing.
Invalidation
A decisive break above $44.67 or below $36.47 with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 45 and 60; MACD histogram fluctuating around zero; Bollinger Bands narrowing; volume remaining below average during the consolidation phase.
Bearish
Trigger
Price fails to hold above SMA50 ($37.35) and breaks below the 20-period low ($36.47), potentially signaling a deeper correction after an extended rally of over 290% in the past year.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 ($40.83) and establishes support above $37.35.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 45; MACD histogram turning negative; weekly MACD line crossing further below the signal line; volume increasing on distribution days; weekly RSI breaking below 60.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP, primary) and Yahoo Finance (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (263 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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