AES technical analysis
AES Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 14, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 13, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
AES Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- AES
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 13, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 14.76 | July 13, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 14.76 | July 13, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
AES Technical Analysis Summary
AES shows a bullish daily trend with price above all key SMAs, but the weekly chart reveals a stock still below its SMA200, creating a mixed multi-timeframe picture. The daily RSI at 62.30 suggests moderate bullish momentum, while MACD confirms mild upside on the daily but has turned negative on the weekly. The stock is trading in a tight daily range near the upper Bollinger Band, reflecting compressed volatility. Key resistance sits at the daily 20-period high of 14.82 and the weekly SMA200 at 15.59. Support rests at the daily 20-period low of 14.53 and the daily 60-period low of 14.24. A decisive break above 14.82 would signal continued short-term strength; a breakdown below 14.24 would suggest the recovery is losing steam.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 13, 2026)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 14.76 is above SMA20 (14.66), SMA50 (14.59), and SMA200 (14.24), with all three SMAs in a healthy bullish alignment. The SMA50 crossed above SMA200 in early 2026, confirming a golden cross that has been sustained.
- Momentum
- Mildly bullish. RSI14 at 62.30 is in the upper neutral zone, not yet overbought. MACD at 0.030 with signal at 0.023 and a positive histogram of 0.008 indicates mild upside momentum, though the MACD line is close to the signal line.
- Volatility
- Low. ATR14 at 0.08 (0.51% of price) indicates below-average daily movement. Bollinger Bands (14.56 to 14.76) are tight and converging, reflecting a period of compressed volatility that often precedes a directional move.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Latest volume of 8,229,800 is 94.4% of the 20-period average (8,715,725), indicating normal participation.
Assessment
The daily timeframe is bullish with price above all key moving averages. The golden cross (SMA50 above SMA200) supports the positive structure. However, tight Bollinger Bands and low ATR suggest a consolidation phase. A breakout above 14.82 (20-period high) would confirm the next leg higher.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed with bearish long-term bias. Price at 14.78 is above SMA20 (14.51) and SMA50 (14.03) but below SMA200 (15.59). The SMA200 is sloping downward, reflecting the stocks long-term downtrend despite the recent recovery.
- Momentum
- Neutral. RSI14 at 56.50 is near the midline. MACD at 0.187 with signal at 0.215 and a negative histogram at -0.028 suggests weekly momentum is fading after a previous bullish crossover.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 0.42 (2.84% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges for the stock. Bollinger Bands are moderately wide (13.21 to 15.81).
- Volume
- Near average. Weekly volume of 57,494,900 is 98.6% of the 20-week average (58,324,285), indicating normal weekly participation.
Assessment
The weekly timeframe shows a stock in transition. Price has recovered off its 52-week lows and reclaimed the SMA20 and SMA50, but the SMA200 remains a significant overhead resistance. The negative MACD histogram signals caution, as the weekly momentum is turning. The stock needs to reclaim the SMA200 (15.59) to confirm a true trend reversal on the weekly scale.
Key indicators
AES Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 62.30 | 56.50 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 0.030 / 0.023 / 0.008 | 0.187 / 0.215 / -0.028 |
| ATR (14) | 0.08 (0.51%) | 0.42 (2.84%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 14.56 - 14.76 | 13.21 - 15.81 |
| SMA (20) | 14.66 | 14.51 |
| SMA (50) | 14.59 | 14.03 |
| SMA (200) | 14.24 | 15.59 |
Price structure
AES Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 14.76 | 14.78 |
| 1-Period Return | -0.14% | +1.37% |
| 5-Period Return | +1.30% | +0.75% |
| 20-Period Return | +0.61% | -9.37% |
| 60-Period Return | +3.40% | +27.27% |
| 252-Period Return | +25.05% | -24.81% |
| 52-Week Low | 11.56 | 11.81 |
| 52-Week High | 17.44 | 17.44 |
| 52-Week Position | 54.50% | 52.78% |
Key levels
AES Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 14.82 | 17.44 |
| 20-Period Low | 14.53 | 13.82 |
| 60-Period High | 14.82 | 17.44 |
| 60-Period Low | 14.24 | 9.00 |
Scenarios
AES Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above 14.82 (20-day high) with conviction, followed by a sustained move toward 15.59 (weekly SMA200).
Invalidation
Price falls below the 60-day low of 14.24.
What to watch
A close above 14.76 (upper Bollinger Band) would signal expanding daily momentum. Watch for RSI crossing above 65 for confirmed bullish momentum.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to oscillate between 14.53 support and 14.82 resistance on the daily chart.
Invalidation
A decisive breakout above 14.82 or breakdown below 14.24 with volume.
What to watch
Bollinger Band width narrowing further would signal an impending expansion. Volume declining below average supports the range-bound view.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the daily 60-period low at 14.24 and then the SMA200 at 14.24, suggesting the recovery has failed.
Invalidation
Price holds above SMA20 (14.66) and reclaims the 14.82 high.
What to watch
A weekly close below SMA50 (14.03) would be a concerning sign of trend reversal. Increasing downside volume on breakdowns would confirm bearish pressure.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (500 completed bars) ending July 13, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 13, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 14, 2026.
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