AES technical analysis
AES Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 5, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 4, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
AES Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- AES
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 4, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 14.68 | August 4, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 14.68 | August 4, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
AES Technical Analysis Summary
AES trades with a bullish daily structure, holding above SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200, but the weekly chart still shows price below its SMA200 at 15.32, so the multi-timeframe picture remains mixed. The daily RSI at 61.90 is in neutral-bullish territory while the MACD histogram is flat near zero, signaling that momentum has cooled. Volatility is compressed with ATR14 at 0.06, and the stock is pressing against the upper Bollinger Band at 14.74. Immediate resistance is the daily 20 and 60-period high at 14.72, with a breakout opening the path toward 14.85 and the weekly SMA200 at 15.32. Support sits at the daily 20-period low of 14.44 and the 60-period low of 14.08. A close above 14.72 would confirm short-term strength; a drop below 14.08 would put the recovery in question.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 4, 2026)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 14.68 is above SMA20 (14.63), SMA50 (14.55), and SMA200 (14.17), with the three moving averages stacked in a bullish alignment. The structure stays constructive as long as price holds above the SMA20.
- Momentum
- Neutral to mildly positive. RSI14 at 61.90 is in the upper neutral zone and short of overbought. The MACD line at 0.050 is essentially flat against its signal at 0.050, with a histogram near zero at -0.000, indicating that the earlier upside momentum has stalled.
- Volatility
- Low. ATR14 at 0.06 (0.38% of price) points to a quiet tape. Bollinger Bands are narrow (14.53 to 14.74), and price at 14.68 is testing the upper band, a setup that often precedes an expansion in trading range.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 4,160,344 is 53.8% of the 20-period average (7,730,132), showing lighter participation on the latest session.
Assessment
The daily setup is bullish in structure, with price above all key moving averages. Momentum has flattened near zero and volatility is compressed, suggesting the market is deciding on the next move. A close above 14.72 (20 and 60-period high) would confirm renewed upside, while a break below 14.44 (20-period low) would weaken the setup.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed with a bearish long-term bias. Price at 14.68 sits above SMA20 (14.31) and SMA50 (13.98) but below SMA200 (15.32), which is still pointing down. The recovery is intact but has not yet reversed the longer-term downtrend.
- Momentum
- Neutral to slightly negative. RSI14 at 57.64 is near the middle of its range. The MACD line at 0.190 is below its signal at 0.200 with a negative histogram at -0.011, so weekly momentum is drifting lower after the recent bounce.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 0.36 (2.44% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges. Bollinger Bands span 13.73 to 14.89, and price is trading in the upper half of the band.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 34,346,000 is 71.7% of the 20-week average (47,890,790), suggesting the advance is running on lighter participation.
Assessment
The weekly picture shows a stock recovering off its 60-period low of 9.42, up 43.43% over the last 60 weeks, but still capped below the SMA200 at 15.32. Momentum is flattening after a strong run, with a negative MACD histogram. A sustained close above 14.85 (20-week high) would strengthen the case for a longer-term reversal; a move below 13.66 (20-week low) would suggest the rebound has run its course.
Key indicators
AES Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 61.90 | 57.64 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 0.050 / 0.050 / -0.000 | 0.190 / 0.200 / -0.011 |
| ATR (14) | 0.06 (0.38%) | 0.36 (2.44%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 14.53 - 14.74 | 13.73 - 14.89 |
| SMA (20) | 14.63 | 14.31 |
| SMA (50) | 14.55 | 13.98 |
| SMA (200) | 14.17 | 15.32 |
Price structure
AES Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 14.68 | 14.68 |
| 1-Period Return | -0.20% | +0.11% |
| 5-Period Return | +0.18% | +1.27% |
| 20-Period Return | +1.61% | +5.98% |
| 60-Period Return | +3.96% | +43.43% |
| 252-Period Return | +16.48% | -21.56% |
| 52-Week Low | 11.75 | 11.75 |
| 52-Week High | 17.23 | 17.23 |
| 52-Week Position | 53.52% | 53.52% |
Key levels
AES Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 14.72 | 14.85 |
| 20-Period Low | 14.44 | 13.66 |
| 60-Period High | 14.72 | 17.23 |
| 60-Period Low | 14.08 | 9.42 |
Scenarios
AES Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
A daily close above 14.72 (20 and 60-period high) on rising volume, followed by a push toward the weekly 20-period high at 14.85 and the weekly SMA200 at 15.32.
Invalidation
A daily close back below 14.44 (20-period low), especially on expanding downside volume.
What to watch
Momentum confirmation: the daily MACD histogram turning positive again and RSI14 moving above 65 would support the breakout case. A Bollinger Band expansion to the upside would add conviction.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price keeps trading between support at 14.44 and resistance at 14.72 on the daily chart, with volume staying light.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 14.72 or below 14.08 (60-period low).
What to watch
Bollinger Band width stays narrow and RSI14 oscillates in the 45 to 65 zone. Volume well below the 20-period average supports the range view.
Bearish
Trigger
A daily close below 14.44, followed by a loss of the 60-period low at 14.08 and the SMA200 at 14.17, which would signal that the recovery is failing.
Invalidation
Price reclaims 14.72 and holds above the SMA20 at 14.63.
What to watch
A weekly close below the SMA50 at 13.98 would be a more serious warning. Light volume would argue against a breakdown, while a pickup in downside volume would confirm it.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 4, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 4, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 5, 2026.
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