ADP technical analysis
ADP Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 14, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 13, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
ADP Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- ADP
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 13, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 251.05 | July 13, 2026 | - | Verified |
| CNBC (independent) | 251.05 | July 13, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
ADP Technical Analysis Summary
ADP shows a mixed technical picture with a notable divergence between timeframes. On the daily chart, price has rallied sharply from the 60-day low of 193.43 to 251.05, breaking above SMA20 (229.55), SMA50 (222.82), and SMA200 (235.05). However, the weekly chart tells a more cautious story, with price at 241.92 trading below both SMA50 (244.38) and SMA200 (243.44), indicating the broader trend remains challenged. The daily RSI at 70.37 has entered overbought territory, suggesting the recent rally may be due for a pause. The MACD histogram is positive and rising on both timeframes, supporting the bullish momentum in the near term. Key resistance is at 251.64 and the 52-week high of 307.44. Support rests at the SMA20 (229.55) and the 20-day low of 213.80.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 13, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed/bullish leaning. Price at 251.05 is above SMA20 (229.55), SMA50 (222.82), and SMA200 (235.05), a positive configuration. However, the SMA50 at 222.82 remains below SMA200, indicating the short-term moving average has not yet confirmed a golden cross. The SMA200 is roughly flat, reflecting the ongoing consolidation after the broader downtrend.
- Momentum
- Bullish but overbought. RSI14 at 70.37 is at the overbought threshold, suggesting strong recent gains but limited immediate upside without a pullback or consolidation. MACD at 6.82 with signal at 4.86 and a positive rising histogram of 1.96 indicates accelerating bullish momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 6.50 (2.59% of price). Bollinger Bands (207.37 to 251.74) are moderately wide with price touching the upper band, reflecting strong upward momentum and potential overextension.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 2,572,600 is 88.5% of the 20-period average (2,907,985), suggesting the rally has occurred on relatively light participation.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a powerful short-term rally with price breaking above all three key moving averages. The price has gained 12.04% over the last 20 sessions and sits near the 20-day high of 251.64. However, the overbought RSI and below-average volume warrant caution. The price is in the middle of its 52-week range (53.3%), leaving room for further upside but also vulnerable to resistance at the recent highs. A consolidation or pullback to test the SMA20 around 229.55 would be a healthy development.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed/bearish leaning. Price at 241.92 is above SMA20 (214.73) but below SMA50 (244.38) and SMA200 (243.44). The SMA50 and SMA200 are nearly converged, suggesting the stock is at a critical juncture. The SMA200 at 243.44 is acting as overhead resistance.
- Momentum
- Neutral. RSI14 at 57.62 is in neutral territory, neither overbought nor oversold. MACD at -1.72 with signal at -7.47, but the histogram is positive at 5.76 and rising, indicating improving momentum. The MACD line has not yet crossed above the signal line, waiting for confirmation.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 13.19 (5.45% of price) reflects normal weekly ranges for a large-cap stock.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 8,938,100 is 56.5% of the 20-week average (15,814,125), indicating low participation in the recent weekly price action.
Assessment
The weekly chart reveals that the broader trend remains uncertain. While the 20-week return of +14.59% shows the recent strength, the price still sits below both the SMA50 and SMA200, and the 60-week return of -21.76% reflects the prior downtrend. The 52-week position at 45.7% is below the midpoint, suggesting the stock has not yet fully recovered from its lows. A decisive break above 244.38 (SMA50) and 243.44 (SMA200) would be an important bullish signal on the weekly timeframe.
Key indicators
ADP Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 70.37 | 57.62 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 6.82 / 4.86 / 1.96 | -1.72 / -7.47 / 5.76 |
| ATR (14) | 6.50 (2.59%) | 13.19 (5.45%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 207.37 - 251.74 | 186.29 - 243.17 |
| SMA (20) | 229.55 | 214.73 |
| SMA (50) | 222.82 | 244.38 |
| SMA (200) | 235.05 | 243.44 |
Price structure
ADP Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 251.05 | 241.92 |
| 1-Period Return | +3.77% | -0.14% |
| 5-Period Return | +4.83% | +5.09% |
| 20-Period Return | +12.04% | +14.59% |
| 60-Period Return | +28.46% | -21.76% |
| 252-Period Return | -15.63% | +33.82% |
| 52-Week Low | 186.74 | 186.74 |
| 52-Week High | 307.44 | 307.44 |
| 52-Week Position | 53.28% | 45.72% |
Key levels
ADP Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 251.64 | 248.42 |
| 20-Period Low | 213.80 | 186.74 |
| 60-Period High | 251.64 | 319.41 |
| 60-Period Low | 193.43 | 186.74 |
Scenarios
ADP Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above the 20-day high at 251.64 with conviction, followed by the weekly SMA50 at 244.38.
Invalidation
Price falls back below the SMA200 at 235.05 on the daily chart.
What to watch
Weekly close above SMA50 (244.38) and SMA200 (243.44); RSI on daily pulling back from overbought without breaking below 50; MACD line crossing above signal on the weekly.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between the SMA20 (229.55) support and the 20-day high (251.64) resistance.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either the SMA20 on the downside or the 20-day high on the upside.
What to watch
RSI oscillating between 50 and 70; volume remaining below average; MACD histogram flattening.
Bearish
Trigger
Price fails at the 20-day high and breaks below the SMA20 (229.55) and the 60-day low of 193.43.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA50 (222.82) and holds above the SMA200 (235.05).
What to watch
Daily RSI dropping below 50; MACD histogram turning negative; increasing volume on down days; weekly price failing at SMA200 resistance.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and CNBC (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (500 completed bars) ending July 13, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 13, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 14, 2026.
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