ACGL technical analysis
ACGL Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 14, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 13, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
ACGL Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- ACGL
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 13, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 103.06 | July 13, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 103.06 | July 13, 2026 (last close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
ACGL Technical Analysis Summary
ACGL (Arch Capital Group) shows a bullish technical picture on both daily and weekly timeframes. Price at 103.06 is above all three key moving averages on the daily chart: SMA20 (97.01), SMA50 (94.45), and SMA200 (94.04), with a perfectly ascending SMA alignment (SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200) confirming a well-established uptrend. RSI14 at 69.79 on the daily timeframe is in bullish territory and approaching but not yet in overbought conditions. The daily MACD is positive and expanding with the line at 2.64 above the signal at 2.02 and a positive histogram at 0.62, reflecting active upward momentum. On the weekly chart, RSI14 at 59.91 and MACD with the line at 0.93 above the signal at 0.29 and a growing histogram at 0.64 confirm a sustained medium-term bullish structure. The stock is trading near its 52-week high of 105.09, occupying the 91st percentile of its 52-week range. Key resistance rests at 105.09 (20-period and 60-period high on both timeframes), while key support levels stand at 90.23 (20-day low), 87.05 (60-day low), and 82.45 (52-week low). A breakout above 105.09 would signal continued upside momentum, while a breakdown below 90.23 would suggest near-term weakness.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 13, 2026)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 103.06 is above SMA20 (97.01), SMA50 (94.45), and SMA200 (94.04). The SMA alignment is perfectly ascending (SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200), confirming a well-established uptrend. The +16.37% 252-bar return reflects sustained upward momentum over the past year.
- Momentum
- Bullish with caution. RSI14 at 69.79 is in bullish territory above the 50 midline and approaching the overbought threshold of 70. MACD at 2.64 is above the signal at 2.02 with a positive histogram at 0.62, confirming active upward momentum. Price is near the 52-week high which is a natural resistance zone.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 2.08 (2.02% of price) reflects average daily movement within normal range. Bollinger Bands (88.42 to 105.60) show price near the upper band, consistent with a strong uptrend. Band width is moderate, suggesting no extreme volatility expansion.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 1,138,400 is 54.9% of the 20-period average (2,074,890), indicating lower participation in the recent price action. This is a minor cautionary signal for trend conviction.
Assessment
The daily timeframe presents a clear bullish structure with perfectly aligned moving averages supporting the upward trend. The near-overbought RSI at 69.79 warrants attention but does not signal an imminent reversal. MACD remains well-positioned with all components positive. The below-average volume on the latest bar suggests the recent advance may lack strong institutional participation, a factor to monitor. A decisive move above 105.09 (20-day high and 52-week high) would confirm breakout momentum.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bulllish. Price at 101.06 is above SMA20 (95.26), SMA50 (93.53), and SMA200 (83.79). All three SMAs are ascending with SMA20 above SMA50 above SMA200, confirming a robust long-term uptrend. The +172.93% 252-week return highlights exceptional long-term price appreciation.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 59.91 is in bullish territory above the neutral 50 level with room to run before reaching overbought. MACD at 0.93 is above the signal at 0.29 with a positive and building histogram at 0.64, suggesting sustained medium-term momentum. No bearish divergences are present.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 4.42 (4.37% of price) reflects normal weekly ranges. Bollinger Bands (88.51 to 102.00) show price near the upper band, consistent with the uptrend.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 8,009,400 is 77.9% of the 20-week average (10,285,915), indicating moderate participation.
Assessment
The weekly timeframe confirms a strong and sustained uptrend. The bullish SMA alignment across all three key averages, the well-positioned RSI below overbought levels, and the positive expanding MACD all point to a healthy trend structure. The stock has delivered exceptional returns over the past five years. The key technical question is whether ACGL can break above the 105.09 resistance level to open further upside.
Key indicators
ACGL Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 69.79 | 59.91 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 2.64 / 2.02 / 0.62 | 0.93 / 0.29 / 0.64 |
| ATR (14) | 2.08 (2.02%) | 4.42 (4.37%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 88.42 - 105.60 | 88.51 - 102.00 |
| SMA (20) | 97.01 | 95.26 |
| SMA (50) | 94.45 | 93.53 |
| SMA (200) | 94.04 | 83.79 |
Price structure
ACGL Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 103.06 | 101.06 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.98% | -1.12% |
| 5-Period Return | +1.23% | +10.82% |
| 20-Period Return | +13.09% | +2.61% |
| 60-Period Return | +5.74% | +6.84% |
| 252-Period Return | +16.37% | +172.93% |
| 52-Week Low | 82.45 | 82.45 |
| 52-Week High | 105.09 | 105.09 |
| 52-Week Position | 91.03% | 82.20% |
Key levels
ACGL Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 105.09 | 105.09 |
| 20-Period Low | 90.23 | 87.05 |
| 60-Period High | 105.09 | 105.09 |
| 60-Period Low | 87.05 | 82.45 |
Scenarios
ACGL Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks and sustains above 105.09 (20/60-period high and 52-week high) with expanding volume.
Invalidation
Price falls below the 20-day low of 90.23.
What to watch
Sustained close above SMA20 (97.01) and increasing volume to confirm breakout. Watch for RSI maintaining above 60 on the daily chart.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to trade between 90.23 support and 105.09 resistance.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with above-average volume.
What to watch
RSI oscillating between 50 and 70; volume remaining below average. The stock digesting gains near the 52-week high.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below 90.23 (20-day low) and then 87.05 (60-day low).
Invalidation
Price reclaims SMA20 (97.01) and holds above it.
What to watch
Sustained closes below SMA50 (94.45); RSI breaking below 55; increasing downside volume signaling distribution.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (500 completed bars) ending July 13, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 13, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 14, 2026.
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