ACGL technical analysis
ACGL Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 6, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 5, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
ACGL Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- ACGL
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 5, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 99.09 | August 5, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 99.09 | August 5, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
ACGL Technical Analysis Summary
ACGL (Arch Capital Group) is pulling back from its recent high after an extended uptrend. On the daily chart, price at 99.09 has slipped below the SMA20 (101.40) but remains above the SMA50 (96.71) and SMA200 (94.93), with the moving averages still in ascending order (SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200). The daily RSI14 at 47.14 is below the 50 midline, and the daily MACD histogram is negative with the line at 0.85 below the signal at 1.47, reflecting a short-term loss of momentum after the stock fell 5.22% over the past five sessions from the 52-week high of 107.09. On the weekly chart the structure is more constructive: price at 100.53 is above all three weekly moving averages, RSI14 at 57.18 is bullish, and MACD stays positive with the line at 1.79 above the signal at 0.94 and a growing histogram at 0.85. The stock trades at 67.53% of its 52-week range on the daily series. Key resistance is at 101.40 (SMA20) and then 107.09 (20/60-period high and 52-week high). Key support stands at 97.58 (20-day low) and 87.05 (60-day low). A reclaim and close above the SMA20 would shift the short-term bias back bullish, while a close below 97.58 would suggest the pullback is extending.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 5, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed to bullish. Price at 99.09 is below SMA20 (101.40) but above SMA50 (96.71) and SMA200 (94.93). The SMA alignment remains ascending (SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200), so the medium-term structure is intact even though price has pulled back below the 20-period average. The +11.95% 252-bar return reflects a positive past year.
- Momentum
- Neutral with a short-term bearish lean. RSI14 at 47.14 is below the 50 midline after the pullback from the recent high. MACD line at 0.85 is below the signal at 1.47 with a negative histogram at -0.62, indicating fading momentum. A move back above the SMA20 would need MACD to recross above its signal.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 2.56 (2.58% of price) reflects average daily movement within a normal range. Bollinger Bands (97.43 to 105.37) show price at 99.09 in the lower half of the band, consistent with the recent pullback from the upper band.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Latest volume of 1,726,500 is 92.6% of the 20-period average (1,865,220), indicating participation in the pullback has not meaningfully expanded, which could limit the downside pressure.
Assessment
The daily chart is consolidating after a sharp run-up. Price has slipped below the SMA20 while the SMA50 and SMA200 remain support, and the ascending SMA structure keeps the medium-term uptrend intact. RSI is back to neutral and the negative MACD histogram points to short-term weakness. The pullback so far looks orderly. A daily close back above the SMA20 (101.40) would signal the correction is over, while a close below the 20-day low of 97.58 would point to a deeper retracement toward the 60-day low of 87.05.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 100.53 is above SMA20 (95.98), SMA50 (94.28), and SMA200 (84.67). All three SMAs are ascending with SMA20 above SMA50 above SMA200, confirming a well-established long-term uptrend. The +176.90% 252-week return highlights strong long-term appreciation.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 57.18 is above the neutral 50 level with room before reaching overbought. MACD line at 1.79 is above the signal at 0.94 with a positive histogram at 0.85, confirming sustained medium-term momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 4.82 (4.80% of price) reflects normal weekly ranges. Bollinger Bands (88.02 to 103.93) show price in the middle of the band after the recent pullback, consistent with a consolidation within the uptrend.
- Volume
- Around average. Weekly volume of 10,716,500 is 101.7% of the 20-week average (10,542,195), indicating participation is normal.
Assessment
The weekly timeframe keeps a healthy uptrend structure. Price remains above all three key weekly averages, RSI is comfortably bullish, and MACD is positive and expanding. The recent daily pullback shows up as a modest weekly loss of 2.74%, but it has not damaged the weekly trend. The medium-term question is whether ACGL regains the 107.09 level to resume the advance.
Key indicators
ACGL Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 47.14 | 57.18 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 0.85 / 1.47 / -0.62 | 1.79 / 0.94 / 0.85 |
| ATR (14) | 2.56 (2.58%) | 4.82 (4.80%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 97.43 - 105.37 | 88.02 - 103.93 |
| SMA (20) | 101.40 | 95.98 |
| SMA (50) | 96.71 | 94.28 |
| SMA (200) | 94.93 | 84.67 |
Price structure
ACGL Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 99.09 | 100.53 |
| 1-Period Return | -0.43% | -2.74% |
| 5-Period Return | -5.22% | +3.07% |
| 20-Period Return | -2.86% | +7.55% |
| 60-Period Return | +5.64% | +5.23% |
| 252-Period Return | +11.95% | +176.90% |
| 52-Week Low | 82.45 | 82.45 |
| 52-Week High | 107.09 | 107.09 |
| 52-Week Position | 67.53% | 73.38% |
Key levels
ACGL Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 107.09 | 107.09 |
| 20-Period Low | 97.58 | 87.05 |
| 60-Period High | 107.09 | 107.09 |
| 60-Period Low | 87.05 | 82.45 |
Scenarios
ACGL Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 (101.40) on the daily chart and then breaks above the 20/60-period high of 107.09 with increasing volume.
Invalidation
Price closes below the 20-day low of 97.58.
What to watch
A daily MACD histogram turning positive and RSI rising back above 50 would confirm momentum is recovering. Volume should expand on up days.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to trade between the 20-day low of 97.58 and the 20/60-period high of 107.09.
Invalidation
A decisive close beyond either boundary with above-average volume.
What to watch
RSI oscillating in the 40 to 60 zone and MACD flattening toward the zero line while the weekly trend stays intact.
Bearish
Trigger
Price closes below 97.58 (20-day low) and then 87.05 (60-day low).
Invalidation
Price reclaims SMA20 (101.40) and holds above it.
What to watch
Closes below SMA50 (96.71) on the daily chart, a weekly MACD histogram turning negative, and volume expanding on down days.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 5, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 5, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 6, 2026.
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