Bullish case
$720 to $765
More likely if insurance underwriting stays profitable, BNSF volume improves, energy liabilities remain contained, large cash balances are deployed well, and the market accepts a higher earnings multiple under Abel.
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. research snapshot
BRK.B AI Stock Analysis
BRK.B AI stock analysis currently reads Berkshire Hathaway as a high-quality, defensive conglomerate with a fortress balance sheet, broad insurance float, BNSF rail earnings, regulated energy assets, and a large equity portfolio. The analysis does not treat BRK.B as a precise price prediction. At a July 7, 2026 close of $504.00 and a market value near $1.09 trillion, the stock looks financially durable, but the near-term setup depends on capital deployment under Greg Abel, insurance underwriting discipline, and whether the market continues to value Berkshire near 1.5 times book value.
Current price
$504.00
Market cap
$1.09 trillion
AI score
74 / 100
Rating
High-quality compounder, cash-heavy valuation watch
Trend status
Constructive but close to 52-week resistance
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 8, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Research quality check
- information Richness
- A-level information richness. Berkshire is a long-listed mega-cap with detailed annual and quarterly reports, broad market coverage, segment-level disclosure, and active technical data.
- bias Check
- The main AI research risk is consensus bias. Berkshire is widely studied, so this page emphasizes counterpoints: key-person transition risk, insurance cycle volatility, equity portfolio concentration, regulated utility liabilities, and the drag from very large cash balances.
- ai Confidence
- High for reported financials, cash balances, shares outstanding, and market data. Medium for forward valuation because investment gains, catastrophe losses, and acquisition timing can change the earnings base quickly.
- investment Certainty
- Medium-high for business resilience, but medium for expected returns at the current price. The company is easier to trust than to forecast.
Quick verdict table
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Berkshire combines insurance, rail, utilities, manufacturing, service, retail, cash, and public equities into a resilient cash-generation engine. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from insurance float, low-cost capital, decentralized operators, permanent capital, brand trust, and scale in rail and regulated energy. | High |
| Management | Greg Abel is now CEO while Warren Buffett remains chairman, making capital allocation continuity and cultural preservation the key management variables. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue was $371.44 billion and Q1 2026 revenue rose to $93.68 billion, while cash and Treasury bills reached about $397.38 billion at March 31, 2026. | High |
| Valuation | At about 15.0x TTM EPS, 1.5x book value, and 2.9x sales, BRK.B is not expensive on earnings, but free cash flow yield is modest after heavy capital spending. | Medium |
| Technical trend | BRK.B trades above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, with RSI still neutral and resistance near the 52-week high. | Medium |
| Risk level | Major risks are succession execution, catastrophe losses, regulated utility wildfire and liability exposure, equity market drawdowns, and low reinvestment returns on cash. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for descriptive analysis, lower for forward returns because Berkshire earnings include volatile investment marks and irregular capital deployment. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Business durability is high, but the current entry price requires patience and realistic return expectations. | Medium |
BRK.B AI stock forecast
BRK.B AI Stock Forecast Scenarios
The BRK.B AI stock forecast should be read as scenario math, not a promise. Using TTM EPS of about $33.59, a July 7, 2026 close near $504.00, and a three-year framework, the tested range spans a bearish $379 area, a base $567 area, and a bullish $762 area before any change in book value multiple or capital allocation surprises.
Base case
$540 to $570
More likely if Berkshire compounds EPS at a mid single-digit rate, book value grows steadily, and the stock keeps a mid-teens earnings multiple.
Bearish case
$360 to $385
More likely if catastrophe losses rise, equity holdings decline, utility liabilities expand, acquisition returns disappoint, or the market reduces Berkshire premium after the CEO transition.
BRK.B AI technical analysis
BRK.B AI Technical Analysis
BRK.B AI technical analysis is constructive but close to a resistance zone. As of the July 8, 2026 data cutoff, the latest full-session close was $504.00 on July 7. BRK.B was above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, while RSI was below the standard overbought threshold.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $504.00 | StockAnalysis reported the July 7, 2026 close at $504.00, with after-hours trading near $504.44. |
| Near support | $493 to $504 | The 20-day and short moving-average area overlaps the latest trading range. A close below this zone would weaken near-term momentum. |
| Deeper support | $487 to $489 | AltIndex reported the 50-day moving average near $489.20 and the 200-day moving average near $487.70. |
| Near resistance | $516 to $520 | The upper zone is near the 52-week high of $516.85 and the StockAnalysis analyst target of $520.33. |
| 50-day SMA | $489.20 | AltIndex reported BRK.B above the 50-day moving average, which supports a constructive trend reading. |
| 200-day SMA | $487.70 | Trading above the 200-day average keeps the long-term trend constructive unless price breaks down. |
| Momentum | RSI 63.4 | Neutral to firm momentum. The reading is below the common 70 overbought threshold. |
| Volume | 3.76 million shares | July 7 volume was below the 5.09 million average shown by Robinhood, so follow-through volume matters. |
| Invalidation | Close below $487 | A decisive close below the 50-day and 200-day area would damage the current trend-following setup. |
BRK.B AI trading strategy
BRK.B AI Trading Strategy Framework
The BRK.B AI trading strategy below is a research framework, not personal advice. It combines business durability with price confirmation, valuation discipline, and explicit invalidation levels.
Trend-following setup
Watch for BRK.B to hold above the $487 to $489 moving-average zone and push through the $516 to $520 resistance zone with stronger volume.
Define risk before entry. A close back below the breakout level or below the 200-day moving average can be used as a rules-based invalidation point.
Mean-reversion setup
If BRK.B pulls back toward the moving-average zone while book value, underwriting, and cash deployment trends remain intact, compare the entry price against book value growth and normalized operating earnings.
Avoid averaging down without a thesis check. A break below $487 shifts the setup from normal pullback to trend damage.
Fundamental monitor
Track Q2 earnings, insurance underwriting margin, catastrophe loss commentary, BNSF volumes, BHE liability disclosures, equity portfolio changes, cash and Treasury bill balances, and buyback activity.
Do not let Berkshire brand quality replace sizing discipline. Scenario ranges can move after earnings, acquisition news, or major market drawdowns.
Investment research summary
Four-master Research Compression
Business essence
Berkshire sells protection, transportation, energy, industrial products, retail services, and capital allocation. Customers pay because its subsidiaries solve recurring real-world needs, while shareholders own a diversified stream of operating earnings and investment assets.
Moat
The moat is not one product. It is a combination of insurance float, permanent capital, decentralized management, reputation, capital strength, BNSF rail network density, regulated utility assets, and a record of rational capital allocation.
Munger risk inversion
The thesis fails if culture weakens after Buffett, insurance float becomes more expensive, BHE liabilities absorb capital, rail returns stagnate, or the cash pile earns less than investors expect from a trillion-dollar company.
Management
Greg Abel gives Berkshire an operator-led succession path, while Buffett remaining chairman reduces abrupt governance risk. The market will judge Abel by capital allocation, buyback discipline, subsidiary autonomy, and communication quality.
Industry trend
Berkshire is tied to long-cycle trends in insurance pricing, U.S. freight, grid investment, housing, energy demand, and public equity markets. It is not a pure AI stock, but its cash and equity portfolio give it optionality across cycles.
Valuation and margin of safety
At roughly 15.0x TTM EPS and 1.5x book value, BRK.B is priced for quality and durability rather than distress. Margin of safety depends on normalized earnings, book value growth, and disciplined use of nearly $400 billion of liquidity.
Source-backed data
BRK.B Data Table
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRK.B price | $504.00 at the July 7, 2026 close | StockAnalysis BRK.B quote | July 8, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $1.09 trillion, verified from $504.00 x 2.157 billion equivalent Class B shares | StockAnalysis quote and financial_rigor.py | July 8, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 505,697 Class A shares and 1,398,308,677 Class B shares as of April 14, 2026, equal to about 2.157 billion Class B equivalent shares | Berkshire Hathaway Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $371.444 billion | Berkshire Hathaway 2025 annual report, cross-checked with StockAnalysis and Macrotrends | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income attributable to Berkshire shareholders | $66.968 billion | Berkshire Hathaway 2025 annual report and StockAnalysis | July 8, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue | $93.675 billion | Berkshire Hathaway Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | July 8, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 net earnings attributable to Berkshire shareholders | $10.106 billion | Berkshire Hathaway Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | July 8, 2026 |
| Cash and short-term Treasury bills | $397.383 billion before unsettled Treasury bill purchase payables at March 31, 2026 | Berkshire Hathaway Q1 2026 Form 10-Q, cross-checked with Barrons reporting | July 8, 2026 |
| Book value per Class B equivalent share | About $337.10, calculated from $727.181 billion Berkshire shareholders equity and 2.157 billion Class B equivalent shares | Berkshire Hathaway Q1 2026 Form 10-Q and financial_rigor.py | July 8, 2026 |
| TTM EPS and valuation | TTM EPS $33.59, PE 15.0x, price to book about 1.5x, and price to sales about 2.9x | StockAnalysis and financial_rigor.py | July 8, 2026 |
| Technical trend | RSI 63.4, 50-day moving average $489.20, 200-day moving average $487.70 | AltIndex BRK.B technical analysis | July 8, 2026 |
| CEO and management transition | Greg Abel is CEO and Warren Buffett remains chairman, based on 2026 public company profile and succession reporting | Robinhood BRK.B profile | July 8, 2026 |
Frequently Asked Questions
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This BRK.B AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future returns. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of July 8, 2026 and can be wrong if earnings, valuation multiples, market conditions, catastrophe losses, regulation, or capital allocation change.